Trabuco Hills (Mission Viejo, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Midnight Blue/Gray/White
Coach: Scott Orloff
League: South Coast
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #20

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 9
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2010 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Micthell Simonsen 5'10" 190 Senior RB/OLB 4.50
Jonathan Newsom 6'1.5" 185 Senior QB 4.70
Michael Talafus 6'3.5" 260 Senior OL/DT 5.10

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Andrew Walsh 6'0" 185 Senior DB 4.46 [Cal Poly]
Scott Thompson 5'11" 220 Senior OL [North Carolina State]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experienced Starters
Team Weaknesses: Depth

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 24
2010 National Rank: #2501
2010 State Rank: #208
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.4
2011 Starting Power Rating: 27.2
2011 National Rank: #1651
2011 State Rank: #146
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 28.9
Dynasty National Rank: #1131
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 0.9
Dynasty Record: 44-20 (18-6 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 4-6
2010 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (5th)
2010 Points For Average: 26.8
2010 Points Against Average: 30.6
2010 Differential: -3.8
2010 Wins: #3032 El Toro (Lake Forest) (37-24), #5291 Gahr [Richard] (Cerritos) (52-42), #5934 Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo) (17-0), #6263 Aliso Niguel (Aliso Viejo) (56-17)
2010 Losses: #23 Mission Viejo (63-12), #277 Tesoro (Rancho Santa Margarita) (21-14), #443 San Clemente (43-19), #930 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (40-17), #1228 Newport Harbor (Newport Beach) (17-6), #1765 Dana Hills (Dana Point) (39-38)
2010 Opponents W-L: 62-48
Recent League Championships: 2009 (Sea View), 2007 (Sea View)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/1 at Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo), 9/8 Newport Harbor (Newport Beach), 9/15 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 9/23 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 9/30 vs Fountain Valley, 10/6 vs San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano), 10/14 San Clemente, 10/21 at Tesoro (Rancho Santa Margarita), 11/4 at Dana Hills (Dana Point), 11/10 Mission Viejo
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Mission Viejo (68.7), San Clemente (58), Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (56.4)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: San Juan Hills (San Juan Capistrano) (10.3), Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo) (14.5), Fountain Valley (19)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 30.1
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.7
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #18
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #92
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/1 at Capistrano Valley (Mission Viejo) [projection: 35-21 win]