Thurston (Springfield, OR)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Colts Colors: Black/Red Coach: Justin Starck League: 6A Southwest (moving from 6A Special District 1) Playoff Division: 6A Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 2010 JV Record: 7-2 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Anthony Tobar 6'1" 240 Senior OL/DL 5.10 Trevor Westover 6'2" 200 Senior RB/LB Devin Chappell 6'0" 190 Senior WR/DB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Skill Players, Many Returning Players, Passing Game Team Weaknesses: DL, Question Marks On OL RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 14.3 2010 National Rank: #4428 2010 State Rank: #38 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 17.5 2011 National Rank: #3375 2011 State Rank: #27 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 19 Dynasty National Rank: #2792 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 0.2 Dynasty Record: 36-18 (22-5 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 6-4 2010 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (3rd) 2010 Points For Average: 23.5 2010 Points Against Average: 18.1 2010 Differential: +5.4 2010 Wins: #4817 South Medford (Medford) (14-7), #5798 West Albany (Albany) (28-14), #7200 North Medford (Medford) (41-14), #8074 Grants Pass (20-19), #9801 Crater (Central Point) (10-3), #10517 South Eugene (Eugene) (49-0) 2010 Losses: #1099 Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (28-0), #1896 South Salem (Salem) (40-26), #2084 Roseburg (35-33), #3778 West Linn (21-14) 2010 Opponents W-L: 54-53 Recent League Championships: 2009 (5A Midwestern), 2008 (5A Midwestern), 2007 (tied for 1st; 5A Midwestern) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1 Streak List: 10/14/11 South Eugene (Eugene) (67-21) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/2 West Albany (Albany), 9/9 at South Salem (Salem), 9/16 at Crater (Central Point), 9/23 Roseburg, 9/30 Grants Pass, 10/7 at South Medford (Medford), 10/14 South Eugene (Eugene), 10/21 at Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene), 10/28 North Medford (Medford) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sheldon [Henry D.] (Eugene) (35.1), South Salem (Salem) (27.7), Roseburg (26.5) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: South Eugene (Eugene) (-10.6), Crater (Central Point) (-4.7), North Medford (Medford) (2) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.9 (11.9 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.6 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.3 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #17 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3578 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-3 2011 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/2 West Albany (Albany) [projection: 31-17 win]