Terra Nova (Pacifica, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Bill Gray
League: Peninsula - Bay
Section: Central Coast
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2010 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Chris Forbes 6'4" 225 Senior QB 4.75
Elias Vargas 5'11" 170 Senior SE/CB 4.50
Ivan Mailangi 6'1.5" 210 Senior LB/RB 4.65

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experienced Offense
Team Weaknesses: OL, Youth On Defense

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 25.2
2010 National Rank: #2306
2010 State Rank: #199
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 26.4
2011 National Rank: #1777
2011 State Rank: #154
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 16
Dynasty National Rank: #3484
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.7
Dynasty Record: 33-23-1 [32-24-1 on the field] (18-10-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 9-4
2010 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (1st)
2010 Points For Average: 32.1
2010 Points Against Average: 22.8
2010 Differential: +9.3
2010 Wins: #1756 Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton) (43-21), #3321 Monterey (35-13), #4377 Jefferson (Daly City) (21-19), #4784 Burlingame (23-21), #5641 Menlo-Atherton (Atherton) (31-21), #7589 Pioneer (San Jose) (49-7), #7709 Aragon (San Mateo) (42-7), #8715 Aptos (43-14), #9793 San Mateo (50-29)
2010 Losses: #2138 Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (42-28), #2241 Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (27-14), #4492 Half Moon Bay (34-10), #6150 King's Academy (Sunnyvale) (41-28)
2010 Opponents W-L: 81-63-2
Recent Section Championships: 2010 (III)
Recent League Championships: 2010, 2009
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 vs Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco), 9/9 at Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara), 9/16 Pioneer (San Jose), 9/23 San Mateo, 10/7 at Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton), 10/14 at Jefferson (Daly City), 10/21 at Burlingame, 10/28 King's Academy (Sunnyvale), 11/4 Menlo-Atherton (Atherton), 11/10 Half Moon Bay
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) (25.2), Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton) (24.7), Wilcox [Adrian] (Santa Clara) (20.1)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: San Mateo (-4.6), Burlingame (-1.6), Pioneer (San Jose) (1.9)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.4 (11.7 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #360
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4168
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2011 Projected League Finish: 1st
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 19%
Opener: 9/2 vs Sacred Heart Cathedral (San Francisco) [projection: 31-30 win]