Temecula Valley (Temecula, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Golden Bears
Colors: Brown/Vegas Gold
Coach: Paul McGowen
League: Southwestern
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Inland (II)
Playoff Division Rank: #25

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2010 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Derrik Tarin 6'0" 205 Senior QB 4.80
Jerome McElroy 6'1" 210 Senior DL 4.70
Kason Kennedy 5'8" 190 Senior RB 4.70

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Adam Pulsipher 6'2" 230 Senior LB 4.65 [BYU]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Offense, Talented OL, Experience At RB
Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced Defense

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 20.3
2010 National Rank: #3188
2010 State Rank: #267
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.1
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 19.4
2011 National Rank: #2990
2011 State Rank: #259
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 18.8
Dynasty National Rank: #2837
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 1.9
Dynasty Record: 18-31-1 [17-32-1 on the field] (6-19 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 5-5
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 4th)
2010 Points For Average: 23.4
2010 Points Against Average: 18
2010 Differential: +5.4
2010 Wins: #3263 Great Oak (Temecula) (34-21), #5618 Paloma Valley (Menifee) (29-19), #9501 Lakeside (Lake Elsinore) (31-10), #10402 Murrieta Mesa (Murrieta) (28-6), #11359 Hemet (40-0)
2010 Losses: #155 Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (33-22), #747 Elsinore (Wildomar) (23-17), #1422 Corona (21-17), #1789 Chaparral (Temecula) (24-6), #1987 Murrieta Valley (Murrieta) (23-10)
2010 Opponents W-L: 51-60
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 at Hemet, 9/9 Corona, 9/16 Lakeside (Lake Elsinore), 9/23 at Elsinore (Wildomar), 9/30 Paloma Valley (Menifee), 10/14 Murrieta Valley (Murrieta), 10/21 at Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 10/28 Chaparral (Temecula), 11/4 at Murrieta Mesa (Murrieta), 11/11 at Great Oak (Temecula)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (54.4), Elsinore (Wildomar) (34.1), Chaparral (Temecula) (33.5)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Hemet (-14.5), Lakeside (Lake Elsinore) (3.9), Murrieta Mesa (Murrieta) (5.5)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.7
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.3
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #153
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1432
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2011 Projected League Finish: 5th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 at Hemet [projection: 40-6 win]