Tamalpais (Mill Valley, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Red-Tailed Hawks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Jon Black
League: Marin County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #13

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2010 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Graeme Black 6'1" 205 Senior QB/SS 4.75
John Finklestein 6'0" 215 Junior FB/G 4.95
Dana Mills 6'0" 175 Senior RB/FS 4.57

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experienced Starters
Team Weaknesses: New Coaching Staff

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: -5.2
2010 National Rank: #9380
2010 State Rank: #697
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +9.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2011 Starting Power Rating: 2.9
2011 National Rank: #6892
2011 State Rank: #527
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): -6
Dynasty National Rank: #9910
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 10.3
Dynasty Record: 19-34 (9-27 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 5-5
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (7th)
2010 Points For Average: 10.8
2010 Points Against Average: 15.9
2010 Differential: -5.1
2010 Wins: #10319 Terra Linda (San Rafael) (10-7), #11033 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (17-12), #11356 Justin-Siena (Napa) (21-18), #12298 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (13-10), #14438 Lincoln [Abraham] (San Francisco) (34-8)
2010 Losses: #1923 Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (42-0), #5552 San Rafael (21-7), #5654 San Marin (Novato) (13-0), #6410 Novato (21-6), #9143 Redwood (Larkspur) (7-0)
2010 Opponents W-L: 47-62
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 at St. Patrick/St. Vincent (Vallejo), 9/10 at Lincoln [Abraham] (San Francisco), 9/17 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 9/24 Redwood (Larkspur), 10/1 at Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo), 10/8 at San Marin (Novato), 10/14 at Justin-Siena (Napa), 10/22 Marin Catholic (Kentfield), 10/29 Terra Linda (San Rafael), 11/5 San Rafael
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (22.6), St. Patrick/St. Vincent (Vallejo) (9.6), San Marin (Novato) (9.4)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Lincoln [Abraham] (San Francisco) (-43.5), Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (-12), Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (-8.7)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.3
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.3
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #729
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9571
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 at St. Patrick/St. Vincent (Vallejo) [projection: 26-20 loss]