St. Xavier (Louisville, KY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Tigers Colors: Green/Gold Coach: Mike Glaser League: 6A District 4 (moving from 6A District 3) Playoff Division: 6A Playoff Division Rank: #3 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 9 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS CJ Phillips 6'2" 275 Senior T Alex Mattingly 5'11" 180 Senior QB Patrick Sermersheim 6'0" 170 Junior DB ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT George Stone 6'1" 205 Senior OLB 4.60 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION Daylen Hall 5'9" 190 Senior DB 4.33 [Kentucky] LaMont McMurry 5'9" 185 Senior WR 4.47 [Tennessee-Martin] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Passing Game, Experienced OL Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced Defense RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 49.5 2010 National Rank: #219 2010 State Rank: #4 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5 Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 44.2 2011 National Rank: #279 2011 State Rank: #4 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 54.1 Dynasty National Rank: #26 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.6 Dynasty Record: 59-9 (16-1 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 10-3 2010 League Record/Finish: 3-0 (1st) 2010 Points For Average: 29.8 2010 Points Against Average: 21.8 2010 Differential: +8 2010 Wins: #712 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (38-7), #722 Ballard (Louisville) (35-34), #722 Ballard (Louisville) (42-21), #797 Male (Louisville) (14-7), #1159 Covington Catholic (Park Hills) (40-19), #1637 Seneca (Louisville) (48-33), #1980 Lexington Catholic (Lexington) (37-0), #2045 Central (Louisville) (35-20), #2676 Pleasure Ridge Park (Louisville) (27-21), #4277 Butler (Louisville) (51-7) 2010 Losses: #16 Trinity (Louisville) (35-7), #16 Trinity (Louisville) (48-0), #31 St. Xavier (Cincinnati, OH) (32-13) 2010 Opponents W-L: 105-62 Recent State Championships: 2009, 2004 (4A) Recent League Championships: 2010 (6A District 3), 2009 (6A District 3), 2008 (6A District 3), 2007 (6A District 3), 2005 (4A District 4), 2004 (4A District 4), 2003 (4A District 4) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/9/11 Doss (Louisville) (56-0) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/19 Fern Creek (Louisville), 8/27 vs Riverdale (Murfreesboro, TN), 9/2 Bowling Green, 9/9 Doss (Louisville), 9/16 at Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati, OH), 9/23 at Central (Louisville), 9/30 vs Trinity (Louisville), 10/7 Male (Louisville), 10/14 at DuPont Manual (Louisville), 10/28 vs St. Xavier (Cincinnati, OH) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Trinity (Louisville) (74.2), St. Xavier (Cincinnati, OH) (64.2), Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati, OH) (60.6) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Doss (Louisville) (7.2), Fern Creek (Louisville) (7.4), Central (Louisville) (30.9) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29 (40.1 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 41.6 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +12.6 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #30 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2011 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/19 Fern Creek (Louisville) [projection: 49-10 win] |