South Umpqua (Myrtle Creek, OR)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Kevin Hubbard
League: 4A Far West
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #36

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: -18.2
2010 National Rank: #12036
2010 State Rank: #146
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.2
2011 Starting Power Rating: -22.4
2011 National Rank: #12605
2011 State Rank: #158
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): -18.4
Dynasty National Rank: #12569
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4
Dynasty Record: 13-36 (4-21 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 2-7
2010 League Record/Finish: 0-5 (6th)
2010 Points For Average: 19.9
2010 Points Against Average: 34.7
2010 Differential: -14.8
2010 Wins: #12314 Rogue River (42-14), #14380 Myrtle Point (41-0)
2010 Losses: #2861 Douglas (Winston) (49-6), #4951 Siuslaw (Florence) (34-13), #5814 Sutherlin (48-7), #8293 Brookings-Harbor (Brookings) (60-34), #8593 Newport (27-6), #8627 Hidden Valley (Grants Pass) (35-14), #8954 North Bend/Oregon Coast Tech (North Bend) (45-16)
2010 Opponents W-L: 50-45
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/3 at Newport, 9/9 at Myrtle Point, 9/16 Hidden Valley (Grants Pass), 9/23 at Bandon/Pacific (Bandon), 9/30 North Bend/Oregon Coast Tech (North Bend), 10/7 Sutherlin, 10/14 at Douglas (Winston), 10/21 Brookings-Harbor (Brookings), 10/28 at Siuslaw (Florence)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Siuslaw (Florence) (21.6), Douglas (Winston) (14.5), Sutherlin (6.6)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Myrtle Point (-42.3), Bandon/Pacific (Bandon) (-14.6), North Bend/Oregon Coast Tech (North Bend) (-3.4)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.1
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.9
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #90
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9084
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-8
2011 Projected League Finish: 6th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/3 at Newport [projection: 44-17 loss]



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