San Lorenzo Valley (Felton, CA) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Cougars Colors: Red/Black Coach: Doug Morris League: Santa Cruz Coast Section: Central Coast Playoff Division: none RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 2010 JV Record: 10-0 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Tyler Gilbert 6'1" 185 Senior QB Ian Reavey 6'2" 250 Senior OL/DL Johnny Cooper 5'11" 170 Senior RB/LB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experienced OL, Talented Junior Class Team Weaknesses: Low Roster Numbers RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 5.3 2010 National Rank: #6592 2010 State Rank: #509 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5 2011 Starting Power Rating: -1.2 2011 National Rank: #8359 2011 State Rank: #619 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 5 Dynasty National Rank: #6563 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.2 Dynasty Record: 28-19-6 [26-21-6 on the field] (20-6-3 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 9-2 2010 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st) 2010 Points For Average: 29.6 2010 Points Against Average: 17.3 2010 Differential: +12.3 2010 Wins: #8715 Aptos (54-34), #9294 Scotts Valley (23-7), #10525 Santa Cruz (28-24), #10581 St. Francis (Watsonville) (26-14), #10923 Piedmont (30-6), #11156 Soquel (32-7), #12362 Watsonville (40-16), #12473 Hill [Andrew] (San Jose) (36-16), #13847 Harbor (Santa Cruz) (36-6) 2010 Losses: #1756 Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton) (24-7), #4007 Menlo (Atherton) (36-14) 2010 Opponents W-L: 40-69-7 Recent League Championships: 2010, 2009 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/3 at Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton), 9/10 Piedmont, 9/17 at Hillsdale (San Mateo), 9/24 Watsonville, 10/1 Santa Cruz, 10/7 vs St. Francis (Watsonville), 10/15 Scotts Valley, 10/21 at Soquel, 10/29 Aptos, 11/12 at Harbor (Santa Cruz) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton) (24.7), Scotts Valley (-3.3), Hillsdale (San Mateo) (-3.7) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Harbor (Santa Cruz) (-39.1), Watsonville (-20.4), Soquel (-20.2) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -11.7 (-5.4 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -9 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.7 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #848 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11386 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3 2011 Projected League Finish: 1st 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/3 at Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton) [projection: 35-7 loss] |