GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: II Section II (moving from 5A Southern)
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #5
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2010 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Travis Fister 6'3" 275 Junior OL
Davierre Cummins 6'0" 240 Senior LB
Johnny Pena 5'10" 185 Junior RB
D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jacob Arzouman 6'5" 280 Senior OL 5.37 [Arizona]
Connor Siegal 6'2" 220 Senior OLB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Positions, 3 Talented WRs Are Back, Top RB Returns
Team Weaknesses: Young Defense, Replacing 3 LBs
RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 33.9
2010 National Rank: #1173
2010 State Rank: #18
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.6
2011 Starting Power Rating: 30.6
2011 National Rank: #1267
2011 State Rank: #19
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 28.6
Dynasty National Rank: #1172
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4.5
Dynasty Record: 45-12 (22-1 in league)
HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 10-2
2010 League Record/Finish: 6-0 (1st)
2010 Points For Average: 32.6
2010 Points Against Average: 17.8
2010 Differential: +14.8
2010 Wins: #1151 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (24-21), #3194 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (24-10), #4037 Sunnyside (Tucson) (47-7), #4326 Rio Rancho (NM) (31-8), #4504 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (41-3), #4827 Buena (Sierra Vista) (20-16), #6571 Mountain View (Tucson) (28-7), #6999 Tucson (54-37), #8688 Rincon (Tucson) (41-20), #8694 Casa Grande (47-20)
2010 Losses: #65 Hamilton (Chandler) (31-14), #935 Desert Vista (Phoenix) (34-20)
2010 Opponents W-L: 69-68
Recent League Championships: 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 7
Streak List: 9/2/11 Tucson (52-14), 9/9/11 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (55-6), 9/16/11 Mountain View (Tucson) (34-7), 9/23/11 Marana (Tucson) (57-0), 9/30/11 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (21-12), 10/6/11 Flowing Wells (Tucson) (42-0), 10/14/11 Nogales (45-0)
SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 Chaparral (Scottsdale), 9/2 at Tucson, 9/9 at Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 9/16 Mountain View (Tucson), 9/23 Marana (Tucson), 9/30 at Canyon del Oro (Tucson), 10/6 Flowing Wells (Tucson), 10/14 at Nogales, 10/21 Rincon (Tucson), 10/28 at Ironwood Ridge (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Chaparral (Scottsdale) (60.4), Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (41.1), Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (27.3)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Marana (Tucson) (-12.8), Flowing Wells (Tucson) (-12), Nogales (-5.8)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.3 (18.8 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.5
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #35
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3355
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2011 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 Chaparral (Scottsdale) [projection: 42-19 loss]