Pasco (Dade City, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Pirates
Colors: Red/Black/White
Coach: Tom McHugh
League: 5A District 6 (moving from 3A District 7)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #20

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Trey Dudley-Giles Senior ATH
David Emanuel Junior RB/LB
Janarion Grant Junior RB/DB

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Jacob Guy 6'5" 200 Senior QB

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jamie Byrd 6'0" 180 Senior DB [TCU]
Hakeeme Ishmar 6'1" 200 Senior WR 4.90 [Florida Atlantic]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Players
Team Weaknesses: Lines

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 44.4
2010 National Rank: #399
2010 State Rank: #44
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -16
2011 Starting Power Rating: 32.5
2011 National Rank: #1067
2011 State Rank: #92
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 20.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2460
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 28.1
Dynasty Record: 41-17 (24-3 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 11-1
2010 League Record/Finish: 7-0 (1st)
2010 Points For Average: 40.9
2010 Points Against Average: 13.3
2010 Differential: +27.6
2010 Wins: #785 American Heritage (Plantation) (35-20), #1096 Land O'Lakes (20-14), #1926 Lakewood (St. Petersburg) (27-20), #1973 Sunlake (Land O'Lakes) (49-10), #2468 South Sumter (Bushnell) (37-14), #4864 Mitchell [J. W.] (New Port Richey) (52-0), #5876 Gulf (New Port Richey) (45-13), #7054 Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) (58-13), #7566 Wesley Chapel (43-7), #8469 Zephyrhills (50-7), #8624 Anclote (Holiday) (61-0)
2010 Losses: #8 Jefferson [Thomas] (Tampa) (41-14)
2010 Opponents W-L: 71-59
Recent League Championships: 2010 (3A District 7), 2009 (3A District 7), 2008 (3A District 8), 2007 (tied for 1st; 3A District 8), 2004 (tied for 1st; 3A District 9)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 4
Streak List: 9/2/11 Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach) (54-27), 9/9/11 Land O'Lakes (39-6), 9/16/11 Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) (53-0), 9/23/11 Gulf (New Port Richey) (51-0)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach), 9/9 at Land O'Lakes, 9/16 Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel), 9/23 at Gulf (New Port Richey), 9/30 Anclote (Holiday), 10/7 Wesley Chapel, 10/14 at Hudson, 10/21 Fivay (Hudson), 10/28 at Ridgewood (New Port Richey), 11/4 at Zephyrhills
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Land O'Lakes (32), Gulf (New Port Richey) (4.8), Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach) (2)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Hudson (-33.1), Fivay (Hudson) (-16), Ridgewood (New Port Richey) (-9.2)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.8 (24.7 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.7
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.5
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #444
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9372
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2011 Projected League Finish: 1st
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 83%
Opener: 9/2 Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach) [projection: 56-8 win]