North Tonawanda (NY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lumberjacks Colors: Red/Blue Coach: Rick Tomm League: Section 6 A - North (moving from Section 6 AA - North) Playoff Division: A Playoff Division Rank: #44 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2010 JV Record: 4-5 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Ian Gilhousen 6'2" 170 Junior WR/FS 4.71 Evan Volmrich 6'2" 200 Senior OL/DE 5.00 Tyler Durham 5'10" 190 Junior RB/LB 4.80 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Senior Leadership Team Weaknesses: Experience, Team Speed RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 10 2010 National Rank: #5432 2010 State Rank: #133 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 5.2 2011 National Rank: #6232 2011 State Rank: #162 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 24.4 Dynasty National Rank: #1751 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 17.9 Dynasty Record: 39-10 (21-5 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 6-3 2010 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 4th) 2010 Points For Average: 32.2 2010 Points Against Average: 17.3 2010 Differential: +14.9 2010 Wins: #5637 Riverside (Buffalo) (20-13), #5669 Lancaster (28-14), #8718 Niagara Falls (34-26), #10101 West Seneca West (West Seneca) (35-0), #12712 Hutchinson-Central Tech (Buffalo) (71-6), #13620 Tonawanda (35-0) 2010 Losses: #3179 Kenmore West (Buffalo) (30-22), #4679 Williamsville North (Williamsville) (46-25), #5323 Lockport (21-20) 2010 Opponents W-L: 27-54 Recent State Championships: 2009 (AA) Recent League Championships: 2009 (Section 6 AA - North), 2008 (Section 6 AA - North), 2007 (Section 6 AA - North), 2005 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA North), 2004 (Section 6 AA North), 2003 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 6 Streak List: 9/9/11 Williamsville North (Williamsville) (48-2), 9/17/11 Grand Island (28-7), 9/24/11 Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (42-7), 9/30/11 Williamsville East (East Amherst) (41-18), 10/7/11 Starpoint (Lockport) (7-0), 10/14/11 Tonawanda (40-14) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/3 at McKinley (Buffalo), 9/9 Williamsville North (Williamsville), 9/17 at Grand Island, 9/24 at Kenmore East (Tonawanda), 9/30 Williamsville East (East Amherst), 10/7 Starpoint (Lockport), 10/14 Tonawanda, 10/21 Amherst Central (Amherst) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Williamsville North (Williamsville) (11.6), McKinley (Buffalo) (10.4), Starpoint (Lockport) (9.5) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Tonawanda (-31.3), Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (-12.2), Grand Island (3.9) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.2 (-0.2 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.5 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.7 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #219 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8592 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3 2011 Projected League Finish: 5th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1% Opener: 9/3 at McKinley (Buffalo) [projection: 28-24 loss] |