North Tonawanda (NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lumberjacks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Rick Tomm
League: Section 6 A - North (moving from Section 6 AA - North)
Playoff Division: A
Playoff Division Rank: #44

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2010 JV Record: 4-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Ian Gilhousen 6'2" 170 Junior WR/FS 4.71
Evan Volmrich 6'2" 200 Senior OL/DE 5.00
Tyler Durham 5'10" 190 Junior RB/LB 4.80

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Senior Leadership
Team Weaknesses: Experience, Team Speed

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 10
2010 National Rank: #5432
2010 State Rank: #133
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 5.2
2011 National Rank: #6232
2011 State Rank: #162
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 24.4
Dynasty National Rank: #1751
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 17.9
Dynasty Record: 39-10 (21-5 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 6-3
2010 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 4th)
2010 Points For Average: 32.2
2010 Points Against Average: 17.3
2010 Differential: +14.9
2010 Wins: #5637 Riverside (Buffalo) (20-13), #5669 Lancaster (28-14), #8718 Niagara Falls (34-26), #10101 West Seneca West (West Seneca) (35-0), #12712 Hutchinson-Central Tech (Buffalo) (71-6), #13620 Tonawanda (35-0)
2010 Losses: #3179 Kenmore West (Buffalo) (30-22), #4679 Williamsville North (Williamsville) (46-25), #5323 Lockport (21-20)
2010 Opponents W-L: 27-54
Recent State Championships: 2009 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2009 (Section 6 AA - North), 2008 (Section 6 AA - North), 2007 (Section 6 AA - North), 2005 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA North), 2004 (Section 6 AA North), 2003 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 6
Streak List: 9/9/11 Williamsville North (Williamsville) (48-2), 9/17/11 Grand Island (28-7), 9/24/11 Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (42-7), 9/30/11 Williamsville East (East Amherst) (41-18), 10/7/11 Starpoint (Lockport) (7-0), 10/14/11 Tonawanda (40-14)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/3 at McKinley (Buffalo), 9/9 Williamsville North (Williamsville), 9/17 at Grand Island, 9/24 at Kenmore East (Tonawanda), 9/30 Williamsville East (East Amherst), 10/7 Starpoint (Lockport), 10/14 Tonawanda, 10/21 Amherst Central (Amherst)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Williamsville North (Williamsville) (11.6), McKinley (Buffalo) (10.4), Starpoint (Lockport) (9.5)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Tonawanda (-31.3), Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (-12.2), Grand Island (3.9)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.2 (-0.2 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.5
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.7
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #219
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8592
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2011 Projected League Finish: 5th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%
Opener: 9/3 at McKinley (Buffalo) [projection: 28-24 loss]