Natchez (MS)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bulldogs
Colors: Royal Blue/Gold
Coach: Lance Reed
League: 6A Region 3
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2010 JV Record: 5-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Larry Chatman 5'11" 180 Senior RB/DB 4.59
Derrian Johnson 5'11" 205 Junior QB/DB 4.56
Xavier Green 6'1" 240 Senior OL/DL 4.88

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Justin Hamilton 6'2" 315 Senior DT [Louisiana]
Javon Washington 5'10" 180 Senior QB [Delta State]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Determination, JV Talent Moving Up
Team Weaknesses: Many Holes To Fill On Offense, Defense Needs More Experience

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 32.3
2010 National Rank: #1332
2010 State Rank: #31
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -11.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 18
2011 National Rank: #3276
2011 State Rank: #73
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 22.7
Dynasty National Rank: #2036
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.4
Dynasty Record: 36-23 (19-16 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 9-3
2010 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (tied for 2nd)
2010 Points For Average: 31.3
2010 Points Against Average: 16.8
2010 Differential: +14.5
2010 Wins: #1529 Brandon (24-17), #3017 Jefferson County (Fayette) (41-14), #3846 Hattiesburg (33-25), #4414 Wilkinson County (Woodville) (34-7), #4875 Terry (40-30), #5555 Ferriday (LA) (14-0), #5939 Wingfield (Jackson) (34-0), #6561 Warren Central (Vicksburg) (29-10), #8970 Hill [Jim] (Jackson) (52-6)
2010 Losses: #136 Meridian (24-20), #760 Oak Grove (Hattiesburg) (31-28), #892 Gulfport (38-27)
2010 Opponents W-L: 74-68
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 4
Streak List: 8/19/11 Wilkinson County (Woodville) (21-12), 8/26/11 Jefferson County (Fayette) (27-20), 9/2/11 Ferriday (LA) (19-0), 9/9/11 Warren Central (Vicksburg) (28-10)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/19 at Wilkinson County (Woodville), 8/26 Jefferson County (Fayette), 9/2 at Ferriday (LA), 9/9 Warren Central (Vicksburg), 9/23 at Meridian, 9/30 Terry, 10/7 at Forest Hill (Jackson), 10/14 Petal, 10/21 at Hattiesburg, 10/28 Brandon, 11/4 at Oak Grove (Hattiesburg)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Meridian (51.9), Petal (45.7), Oak Grove (Hattiesburg) (40.3)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Warren Central (Vicksburg) (2.8), Ferriday (LA) (7.1), Wilkinson County (Woodville) (10.4)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.5 (21.9 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.8
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.3
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1197
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 6th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/19 at Wilkinson County (Woodville) [projection: 28-21 win]