Natchez (MS) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Bulldogs Colors: Royal Blue/Gold Coach: Lance Reed League: 6A Region 3 Playoff Division: 6A Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 2 2010 JV Record: 5-0 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Larry Chatman 5'11" 180 Senior RB/DB 4.59 Derrian Johnson 5'11" 205 Junior QB/DB 4.56 Xavier Green 6'1" 240 Senior OL/DL 4.88 D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION Justin Hamilton 6'2" 315 Senior DT [Louisiana] Javon Washington 5'10" 180 Senior QB [Delta State] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Determination, JV Talent Moving Up Team Weaknesses: Many Holes To Fill On Offense, Defense Needs More Experience RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 32.3 2010 National Rank: #1332 2010 State Rank: #31 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -11.5 Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 18 2011 National Rank: #3276 2011 State Rank: #73 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 22.7 Dynasty National Rank: #2036 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.4 Dynasty Record: 36-23 (19-16 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 9-3 2010 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (tied for 2nd) 2010 Points For Average: 31.3 2010 Points Against Average: 16.8 2010 Differential: +14.5 2010 Wins: #1529 Brandon (24-17), #3017 Jefferson County (Fayette) (41-14), #3846 Hattiesburg (33-25), #4414 Wilkinson County (Woodville) (34-7), #4875 Terry (40-30), #5555 Ferriday (LA) (14-0), #5939 Wingfield (Jackson) (34-0), #6561 Warren Central (Vicksburg) (29-10), #8970 Hill [Jim] (Jackson) (52-6) 2010 Losses: #136 Meridian (24-20), #760 Oak Grove (Hattiesburg) (31-28), #892 Gulfport (38-27) 2010 Opponents W-L: 74-68 Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 4 Streak List: 8/19/11 Wilkinson County (Woodville) (21-12), 8/26/11 Jefferson County (Fayette) (27-20), 9/2/11 Ferriday (LA) (19-0), 9/9/11 Warren Central (Vicksburg) (28-10) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/19 at Wilkinson County (Woodville), 8/26 Jefferson County (Fayette), 9/2 at Ferriday (LA), 9/9 Warren Central (Vicksburg), 9/23 at Meridian, 9/30 Terry, 10/7 at Forest Hill (Jackson), 10/14 Petal, 10/21 at Hattiesburg, 10/28 Brandon, 11/4 at Oak Grove (Hattiesburg) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Meridian (51.9), Petal (45.7), Oak Grove (Hattiesburg) (40.3) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Warren Central (Vicksburg) (2.8), Ferriday (LA) (7.1), Wilkinson County (Woodville) (10.4) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.5 (21.9 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.8 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.3 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #27 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1197 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-6 2011 Projected League Finish: 6th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/19 at Wilkinson County (Woodville) [projection: 28-21 win] |