Monte Vista (Danville, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Red/Black
Coach: Craig Bergman
League: East Bay
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #4

TOP PLAYERS
Jeff Lockie 6'2" 175 Senior QB [Oregon]

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jacob Welter 6'5" 290 Senior OL 5.30 [Ohio]
Bryce McGovern 5'11" 190 Senior WR 4.69
Dane Turner 6'1.5" 185 Senior WR [UC Davis]

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 39.1
2010 National Rank: #705
2010 State Rank: #70
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
2011 Starting Power Rating: 37.5
2011 National Rank: #632
2011 State Rank: #65
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 40
Dynasty National Rank: #271
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.4
Dynasty Record: 40-19 (22-11 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 8-4
2010 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (3rd)
2010 Points For Average: 36
2010 Points Against Average: 27.5
2010 Differential: +8.5
2010 Wins: #699 San Ramon Valley (Danville) (38-31), #835 Granada (Livermore) (37-22), #1709 Foothill (Pleasanton) (38-14), #1747 Amador Valley (Pleasanton) (56-28), #2987 Pittsburg (28-20), #4689 Livermore (55-20), #4881 San Leandro (56-12), #7246 Hayward (70-21)
2010 Losses: #1 De La Salle (Concord) (62-14), #132 California (San Ramon) (45-3), #395 Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (28-21), #699 San Ramon Valley (Danville) (27-16)
2010 Opponents W-L: 83-58-1
Recent League Championships: 2005
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 Castro Valley, 9/10 at Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo), 9/16 Pittsburg, 9/30 at Granada (Livermore), 10/7 California (San Ramon), 10/14 at Livermore, 10/21 De La Salle (Concord), 10/28 at Amador Valley (Pleasanton), 11/4 Foothill (Pleasanton), 11/11 at San Ramon Valley (Danville)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: De La Salle (Concord) (80.2), California (San Ramon) (46), Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (44.7)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Castro Valley (-0.1), Livermore (14.8), Foothill (Pleasanton) (18.6)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31.8 (32.1 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 33.4
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #36
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #173
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 Castro Valley [projection: 49-12 win]



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