Mitchell [J. W.] (New Port Richey, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Scott Schmitz
League: 6A District 6 (moving from 3A District 7)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #72

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2010 JV Record: 6-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Chris Schalles 6'1" 215 Senior OL/LB 4.68
Freddie Jones 5'8.5" 170 Senior RB/DB 4.70
Codi Folsom 6'2" 200 Senior K/P 4.90

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Depth, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced Defense, OL Depth

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 12.5
2010 National Rank: #4864
2010 State Rank: #299
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 4.7
2011 National Rank: #6365
2011 State Rank: #357
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 7.6
Dynasty National Rank: #5776
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.6
Dynasty Record: 26-24 (9-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 5-5
2010 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (tied for 4th)
2010 Points For Average: 24
2010 Points Against Average: 25.3
2010 Differential: -1.3
2010 Wins: #7566 Wesley Chapel (14-11), #8469 Zephyrhills (51-22), #8624 Anclote (Holiday) (40-13), #8783 Ridgewood (New Port Richey) (42-3), #10434 River Ridge (New Port Richey) (41-0)
2010 Losses: #399 Pasco (Dade City) (52-0), #1096 Land O'Lakes (41-7), #1973 Sunlake (Land O'Lakes) (45-7), #3910 Clearwater Central Catholic (Clearwater) (42-28), #5876 Gulf (New Port Richey) (24-10)
2010 Opponents W-L: 54-49
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 at Anclote (Holiday), 9/9 Gulf (New Port Richey), 9/16 Ridgewood (New Port Richey), 9/23 at River Ridge (New Port Richey), 9/30 Sunlake (Land O'Lakes), 10/7 Land O'Lakes, 10/21 at Nature Coast Tech (Brooksville), 10/28 Springstead [F. W.] (Spring Hill), 11/4 at Hernando (Brooksville)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Land O'Lakes (32), Sunlake (Land O'Lakes) (30.6), Hernando (Brooksville) (28.6)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Ridgewood (New Port Richey) (-9.2), River Ridge (New Port Richey) (-8.6), Anclote (Holiday) (0.4)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.6
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #336
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4284
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-5
2011 Projected League Finish: 6th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 at Anclote (Holiday) [projection: 31-27 win]