Mexia (TX) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Black Cats Colors: Crimson/Black Coach: Paul Weaver League: 3A Region III District 20 Playoff Division: 3A Playoff Division Rank: #85 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 1 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Demarcus Lacy 6'0" 225 Senior DE 4.70 Alaric Strain 6'0" 170 Senior DB 4.60 Diontre' Oliver 6'2" 225 Senior DE 4.80 D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION Doug Gentry 6'0" 195 Senior RB [Purdue] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Defensive Front, Defensive Backfield Team Weaknesses: Young Offense, Inexperienced Starters RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 24.7 2010 National Rank: #2386 2010 State Rank: #277 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.1 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 13.3 2011 National Rank: #4273 2011 State Rank: #455 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 21.7 Dynasty National Rank: #2236 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7.1 Dynasty Record: 31-26 (17-8 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 7-4 2010 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 3rd) 2010 Points For Average: 38.3 2010 Points Against Average: 29.6 2010 Differential: +8.7 2010 Wins: #2025 China Spring (45-31), #2765 Liberty Hill (27-20), #3584 Gatesville (28-25), #3617 Groesbeck (64-28), #6604 Palestine (49-38), #8162 Connally (Waco) (49-14), #10284 Westwood (Palestine) (68-30) 2010 Losses: #1190 Lorena (21-6), #1237 La Vega (Waco) (37-36), #2264 Madisonville (32-16), #2648 Fairfield (50-33) 2010 Opponents W-L: 59-60 Recent League Championships: 2009 (tied for 1st; 3A Region III District 19), 2003 (tied for 1st; 3A Region III District 19) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/26 at China Spring, 9/2 Gatesville, 9/9 Connally (Waco), 9/16 at La Vega (Waco), 9/23 at Liberty Hill, 10/7 Fairfield, 10/14 Palestine, 10/21 at Madisonville, 10/28 Westwood (Palestine), 11/4 at Groesbeck Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: La Vega (Waco) (34.2), China Spring (27.3), Liberty Hill (23) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Westwood (Palestine) (-8.4), Connally (Waco) (-0.9), Palestine (-0.8) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.2 (19.5 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.7 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.5 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #449 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3285 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2011 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/26 at China Spring [projection: 31-17 loss] |