Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Jim Kunau
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #10

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2010 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Christo Kourtzidis 6'4" 235 Senior TE [Florida State]
Darien Washington 5'11" 175 Senior DB [Washington]
John Lopez 6'5" 315 Junior OL

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Deion Williams 6'0" 215 Senior LB [Duke]

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Lorenzo Devers 6'2" 225 Senior DE [Nevada]
Michael Markovsky 6'1" 175 Senior QB 4.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience, Team Speed/Quickness

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 43
2010 National Rank: #470
2010 State Rank: #47
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.3
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 51.5
2011 National Rank: #111
2011 State Rank: #21
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 50.2
Dynasty National Rank: #62
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.6
Dynasty Record: 45-16 (17-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 5-5
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2010 Points For Average: 21.9
2010 Points Against Average: 20.2
2010 Differential: +1.7
2010 Wins: #266 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (21-13), #377 La Habra (21-17), #930 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (34-27), #3118 Garfield [James A.] (Los Angeles) (15-3), St. Albert (Alberta) (51-0)
2010 Losses: #7 Servite (Anaheim) (31-13), #70 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (27-15), #126 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (28-14), #750 Redlands East Valley (Redlands) (10-6), #849 Tustin (46-29)
2010 Opponents W-L: 79-32
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/3/11 Bingham (South Jordan, UT) (42-7)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/3 Bingham (South Jordan, UT), 9/9 vs Los Osos (Rancho Cucamonga), 9/16 vs Tustin, 9/23 vs La Habra, 9/30 vs Redondo (Redondo Beach), 10/14 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/21 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/28 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 11/3 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 11/11 at St. John Bosco (Bellflower)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Servite (Anaheim) (77.3), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (57.9), Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (56.4)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Redondo (Redondo Beach) (13.4), Los Osos (Rancho Cucamonga) (21.5), JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (34.3)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 45
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 44.1
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.9
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #13
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/3 Bingham (South Jordan, UT) [projection: 28-24 win]