Happy Valley (Elizabethton, TN)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Warriors Colors: Maroon/White Coach: Larry Shively League: AA District 1 Playoff Division: 3A Playoff Division Rank: #26 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Travis Lowe 6'3" 280 Senior OL Jaylen Simmons 5'10" 225 Senior RB/CB Zack Ball 6'3" 175 Senior LB/RB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Playmakers, Recent Success Team Weaknesses: Graduated Starters RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 6.2 2010 National Rank: #6371 2010 State Rank: #167 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 1.4 2011 National Rank: #7318 2011 State Rank: #197 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): -4.1 Dynasty National Rank: #9353 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6.8 Dynasty Record: 29-26 (19-8 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 8-3 2010 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd) 2010 Points For Average: 27 2010 Points Against Average: 16.4 2010 Differential: +10.6 2010 Wins: #7772 Sullivan North (Kingsport) (33-27), #8506 Hampton (29-12), #8959 South Greene (Greeneville) (28-21), #9860 Unaka (Elizabethton) (19-13), #11043 Cloudland (Roan Mountain) (41-0), #11503 Johnson County (Mountain City) (21-14), #12085 Unicoi County (Erwin) (34-12), #13114 Sullivan East (Bluff City) (55-0) 2010 Losses: #2418 Clintwood (VA) (35-0), #3320 Elizabethton (13-10), #5162 Gatlinburg-Pittman (Gatlinburg) (33-27) 2010 Opponents W-L: 67-58 Recent League Championships: 2008 (2A Region 1) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/16/11 Unicoi County (Erwin) (20-13) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/19 at Sullivan Central (Blountville), 8/26 Unaka (Elizabethton), 9/2 Elizabethton, 9/9 at Boone [Daniel] (Gray), 9/16 at Unicoi County (Erwin), 9/23 at Abingdon (VA), 9/30 Sullivan East (Bluff City), 10/14 at Sullivan North (Kingsport), 10/21 Hampton, 10/28 Johnson County (Mountain City) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Elizabethton (23.1), Boone [Daniel] (Gray) (20), Abingdon (VA) (1.6) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sullivan East (Bluff City) (-26), Johnson County (Mountain City) (-19.6), Unicoi County (Erwin) (-17) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -4.7 (-1.4 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -4 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.7 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #266 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #9800 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3 2011 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/19 at Sullivan Central (Blountville) [projection: 28-14 win]