Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 5A Region I District 7
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #138

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Sheldon Nuese 6'0" 185 Junior QB 4.60
Aaron Curry 6'2" 270 Senior DL 4.90
Ceavon Bowman 6'1" 200 Senior LB 4.60

D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Steven West 6'1" 190 Senior WR 4.4

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: QB, Front 7 On Defense
Team Weaknesses: Depth In Secondary

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 12.3
2010 National Rank: #4895
2010 State Rank: #508
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.8
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.2
2011 Starting Power Rating: 17.4
2011 National Rank: #3404
2011 State Rank: #379
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 23
Dynasty National Rank: #1988
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.4
Dynasty Record: 26-27 (18-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 2-8
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 6th)
2010 Points For Average: 21.6
2010 Points Against Average: 36.9
2010 Differential: -15.3
2010 Wins: #2651 Northwest (Justin) (31-28), #8697 Saginaw (24-21)
2010 Losses: #25 Coppell (52-3), #39 Guyer [John H.] (Denton) (56-21), #115 Carroll (Southlake) (38-14), #1753 Keller Central (Keller) (45-14), #2146 Summit (Arlington) (33-31), #2179 Smith [Newman] (Carrollton) (37-30), #3458 Keller (31-21), #4456 Ennis (28-27)
2010 Opponents W-L: 66-54
Recent League Championships: 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/1/11 Ennis (14-13)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 Summit (Arlington), 9/1 Ennis, 9/8 at Smith [Newman] (Carrollton), 9/23 at Carroll (Southlake), 9/29 Northwest (Justin), 10/7 at Coppell, 10/14 Keller Central (Keller), 10/21 at Saginaw, 10/28 Guyer [John H.] (Denton), 11/3 at Keller
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Carroll (Southlake) (60.6), Coppell (52.7), Guyer [John H.] (Denton) (51.3)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Saginaw (-4.9), Ennis (9.7), Keller (14)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31.5
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 28.7
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.8
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #73
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #438
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2011 Projected League Finish: 6th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 Summit (Arlington) [projection: 28-26 loss]