Florida Air Academy (Melbourne, FL) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Colors: Navy/White Coach: John Kraynik League: 2A District 3 (moving from 1B District 3) Playoff Division: 2A Playoff Division Rank: #24 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Lolyia MacHarry 6'2" 190 Senior ATH/QB 4.57 Alex Bouie 5'9" 170 Sophomore ATH/S 4.66 Ryan Fischer 6'3" 310 Junior OL 5.93 D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION JJ Keels 5'10" 180 Senior RB 4.50 [South Alabama] STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experienced OL Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced Defense RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: -4.1 2010 National Rank: #9134 2010 State Rank: #441 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5 Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: -4.9 2011 National Rank: #9352 2011 State Rank: #443 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 3.3 Dynasty National Rank: #7071 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.2 Dynasty Record: 30-21 (11-8 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 4-5 2010 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th) 2010 Points For Average: 26.1 2010 Points Against Average: 25 2010 Differential: +1.1 2010 Wins: #6360 Agape Christian Academy (Orlando) (27-7), #11951 Poinciana (Kissimmee) (49-44), #12679 Princeton Christian (Princeton) (47-6), #14146 Lighthouse Christian (DeLand) (56-0) 2010 Losses: #1606 Warner Christian (South Daytona) (41-6), #3051 Victory Christian Academy (Lakeland) (28-21), #5872 Trinity Christian Academy (Deltona) (28-6), #6054 Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach) (52-6), #8477 Heritage (Palm Bay) (19-17) 2010 Opponents W-L: 57-41 Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st; 1A District 4) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/9 Matanzas (Palm Coast), 9/16 at Victory Christian Academy (Lakeland), 9/23 Father Lopez (Daytona Beach), 9/30 vs St. Edward's (Vero Beach), 10/7 at Calvary Christian (Ormond Beach), 10/7 at St. Edward's (Vero Beach), 10/14 at St. John Lutheran (Ocala), 10/21 Trinity Christian Academy (Deltona), 10/28 Lighthouse Christian (DeLand), 11/4 at Warner Christian (South Daytona), 11/11 Christ's Church Academy (Jacksonville) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Warner Christian (South Daytona) (29.7), Victory Christian Academy (Lakeland) (27.6), Trinity Christian Academy (Deltona) (16.8) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) (-41.2), Lighthouse Christian (DeLand) (-38.1), Christ's Church Academy (Jacksonville) (-5.9) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -0.7 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.6 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +4.3 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #390 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6886 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-8 2011 Projected League Finish: 6th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/9 Matanzas (Palm Coast) [projection: 40-27 loss] |