Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Senators
Colors: Purple/White
Coach: Joe Reynolds
League: 8A District 1 (moving from 5A District 1)
Playoff Division: 8A
Playoff Division Rank: #22

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Derrick Thorpe 6'4" 260 Senior OL [Florida International]
Mitchell Hester 5'9" 180 Senior RB 4.33 [Vanderbilt]
Samuel Wood 6'5" 215 Senior QB 4.9

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 34.6
2010 National Rank: #1110
2010 State Rank: #93
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.4
2011 Starting Power Rating: 27.8
2011 National Rank: #1581
2011 State Rank: #126
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 26.1
Dynasty National Rank: #1492
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 3.1
Dynasty Record: 38-16 (10-6 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 8-3
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-1 (2nd)
2010 Points For Average: 31.9
2010 Points Against Average: 18.1
2010 Differential: +13.8
2010 Wins: #1372 Middleburg (41-25), #1515 Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (20-16), #2382 Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville) (30-7), #3495 Mandarin (Jacksonville) (35-17), #6094 Wolfson [Samuel W.] (Jacksonville) (46-9), #7092 Stanton (Jacksonville) (47-6), #8140 Forrest [Nathan Bedford] (Jacksonville) (38-7), #8296 Parker [Terry] (Jacksonville) (35-6)
2010 Losses: #119 Fleming Island (Orange Park) (41-16), #256 First Coast (Jacksonville) (27-15), #2122 Nease [Allen D.] (Ponte Vedra) (38-28)
2010 Opponents W-L: 54-62
Recent League Championships: 2009 (5A District 1), 2008 (5A District 2), 2004 (5A District 3), 2003 (5A District 3)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 Englewood (Jacksonville), 9/9 at Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville), 9/16 at Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville), 9/23 Sandalwood (Jacksonville), 9/30 Forrest [Nathan Bedford] (Jacksonville), 10/7 at DeLand, 10/21 Flagler Palm Coast (Palm Coast), 10/28 at Spruce Creek (Port Orange), 11/4 at Mandarin (Jacksonville), 11/10 Wolfson [Samuel W.] (Jacksonville)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: DeLand (38.3), Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) (32.5), Sandalwood (Jacksonville) (30.6)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Englewood (Jacksonville) (-12.5), Forrest [Nathan Bedford] (Jacksonville) (-0.3), Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) (4.8)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.9 (25.4 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.7
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #239
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2222
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-3
2011 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%
Opener: 9/2 Englewood (Jacksonville) [projection: 48-6 win]



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