Fern Creek (Louisville, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Burnt Orange/Black
Coach: Curtis Higgins
League: 6A District 5 (moving from 6A District 4)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #25

SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Travon Spencer 6'1" 190 Senior S 4.56

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Jamon Brown 6'4" 300 Senior DT [Louisville]
Jerrell Moore 5'11" 175 Senior RB 4.40 [Louisville]
Jalen Harrington 6'3" 215 Senior DB 4.7 [Louisville]

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 12.8
2010 National Rank: #4802
2010 State Rank: #68
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 6.1
2011 National Rank: #5979
2011 State Rank: #86
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 19.3
Dynasty National Rank: #2730
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.9
Dynasty Record: 28-28 (7-11 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 4-8
2010 League Record/Finish: 1-1 (2nd)
2010 Points For Average: 22.8
2010 Points Against Average: 35.1
2010 Differential: -12.3
2010 Wins: #3865 Meade County (Brandenburg) (46-21), #5741 DeSales (Louisville) (26-21), #7730 Marshall County (Benton) (25-6), #10633 Southern (Louisville) (39-14)
2010 Losses: #712 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (59-14), #769 Franklin (TN) (34-6), #797 Male (Louisville) (38-23), #1555 Scott County (Georgetown) (49-0), #1637 Seneca (Louisville) (29-26), #1884 Eastern (Louisville) (60-20), #2187 Henderson County (Henderson) (56-35), #3285 Collins [Martha Layne] (Shelbyville) (34-14)
2010 Opponents W-L: 87-59
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/19 at St. Xavier (Louisville), 8/26 DuPont Manual (Louisville), 9/2 at Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Lexington), 9/9 Seneca (Louisville), 9/23 Southern (Louisville), 9/29 at Pleasure Ridge Park (Louisville), 10/7 at Oldham County (Buckner), 10/14 Ballard (Louisville), 10/21 at Eastern (Louisville), 10/28 Doss (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: St. Xavier (Louisville) (45.5), DuPont Manual (Louisville) (40.5), Ballard (Louisville) (34.9)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Southern (Louisville) (-11.1), Dunbar [Paul Laurence] (Lexington) (-7), Doss (Louisville) (7.2)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.5 (20.6 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.1
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.4
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #20
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1881
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/19 at St. Xavier (Louisville) [projection: 49-10 loss]



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