El Molino (Forestville, CA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lions Colors: Red/Black/White Coach: Matt Transue League: Sonoma County Section: North Coast Playoff Division: IV Playoff Division Rank: #13 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 1 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 2010 JV Record: 1-9 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS John Carlson 5'11" 170 Senior QB/LB Chet Lambert 5'10.5" 150 Senior RB/DB Eric Reab 5'8" 200 Senior OL/LB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Senior Class, Skill Position Starters Team Weaknesses: Experience RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 10.5 2010 National Rank: #5325 2010 State Rank: #424 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -11.5 2011 Starting Power Rating: -1 2011 National Rank: #8308 2011 State Rank: #615 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): -2.4 Dynasty National Rank: #8879 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 1.4 Dynasty Record: 16-36 (4-26 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 7-5 2010 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 3rd) 2010 Points For Average: 24.5 2010 Points Against Average: 19.6 2010 Differential: +4.9 2010 Wins: #5114 Windsor (20-7), #5373 Fortuna (14-7), #5891 Analy (Sebastopol) (24-17), #9555 Kelseyville (35-0), #11033 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (14-7), #12298 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (35-12), #13331 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (57-0) 2010 Losses: #1657 Casa Grande (Petaluma) (27-6), #2920 Middletown (27-13), #3961 Healdsburg (41-27), #4914 Alhambra (Martinez) (55-35), #7032 Petaluma (35-14) 2010 Opponents W-L: 70-66 Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 2 Streak List: 9/9/11 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (21-20), 9/16/11 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (21-14) SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 9/2 Fortuna, 9/9 Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo), 9/16 at Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa), 9/23 at Alhambra (Martinez), 9/30 at Casa Grande (Petaluma), 10/7 Petaluma, 10/14 at Analy (Sebastopol), 10/21 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma), 10/28 at Windsor, 11/4 Healdsburg Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Windsor (20.8), Casa Grande (Petaluma) (19.7), Healdsburg (13.9) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (-28.3), Drake [Sir Francis] (San Anselmo) (-12), Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (-8.7) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.9 (4.4 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.1 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #552 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6707 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6 2011 Projected League Finish: 6th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 9/2 Fortuna [projection: 22-12 loss]