Desert Vista (Phoenix, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Thunder
Colors: Midnight Blue/Vegas Gold
Coach: Dan Hinds
League: I Section III (moving from 5A Fiesta)
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2010 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Michael Arredondo 6'2" 220 Senior RB/LB 4.70
Hunter Rodriguez 6'4" 235 Senior QB 5.00
Matt Smith 5'10" 170 Senior WR/DB 4.50

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
J.J. Dielman 6'4" 240 Senior OG

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Good Amount Of Returning Starters, QB
Team Weaknesses: A Few Question Marks In Key Positions, Young Players Will Need To Step Up

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 36.7
2010 National Rank: #935
2010 State Rank: #11
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 41.7
2011 National Rank: #401
2011 State Rank: #4
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 30.5
Dynasty National Rank: #934
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.6
Dynasty Record: 36-24 (12-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 10-3
2010 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2010 Points For Average: 24.8
2010 Points Against Average: 19.3
2010 Differential: +5.5
2010 Wins: #1148 Chandler (28-21), #1173 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (34-20), #1814 Brophy College Prep (Phoenix) (38-14), #2034 Red Mountain (Mesa) (28-17), #2454 Mountain View (Mesa) (31-28), #2968 Pinnacle (Phoenix) (28-7), #4077 Mesa (31-10), #4504 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (23-17), #6999 Tucson (20-15), #7438 Corona del Sol (Tempe) (10-6)
2010 Losses: #65 Hamilton (Chandler) (35-17), #397 Desert Ridge (Mesa) (41-17), #805 Mountain Pointe (Phoenix) (20-17)
2010 Opponents W-L: 85-68
Recent League Championships: 2008 (5A Central), 2006 (tied for 1st; 5A Central), 2003 (5A Central)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 5
Streak List: 8/19/11 Maryvale (Phoenix) (63-0), 8/26/11 Mesa (38-6), 9/9/11 Mountain Pointe (Phoenix) (24-0), 9/16/11 Westwood (Mesa) (63-7), 9/23/11 Corona del Sol (Tempe) (49-14)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/19 Maryvale (Phoenix), 8/26 Mesa, 9/9 at Mountain Pointe (Phoenix), 9/16 Westwood (Mesa), 9/23 at Corona del Sol (Tempe), 9/30 at Saguaro (Scottsdale), 10/6 Hamilton (Chandler), 10/14 at Mesquite (Gilbert), 10/21 at Dobson (Mesa), 10/28 Chandler
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Hamilton (Chandler) (44.2), Mountain Pointe (Phoenix) (41.6), Saguaro (Scottsdale) (39.8)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Maryvale (Phoenix) (-2.3), Mesa (5.2), Corona del Sol (Tempe) (5.5)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.7 (28.2 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.3
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.6
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #7
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #980
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2011 Projected League Finish: 1st
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 6%
Opener: 8/19 Maryvale (Phoenix) [projection: 50-6 win]