GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Red/Blue/White
Coach: Sam Smith
League: 5A Region III District 24
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #122
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Karson Roberts 6'1" 180 Senior QB 4.40
Matthew Janney 6'1" 265 Senior OL 4.90
Javen Godfrey 6'0" 180 Junior WR 4.60
D1 PLAYER LOST TO GRADUATION
Austin Orr 6'4" 220 Senior DE 4.9 [North Texas]
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: QB, New Coaches/System
Team Weaknesses: Recent Success, Graduated Big Senior Class
RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 24
2010 National Rank: #2488
2010 State Rank: #292
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 20.3
2011 National Rank: #2834
2011 State Rank: #332
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 22.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2055
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1
Dynasty Record: 27-24 [26-25 on the field] (13-19 in league)
HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 4-6
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 6th)
2010 Points For Average: 28.6
2010 Points Against Average: 31.6
2010 Differential: -3
2010 Wins: #1587 Dickinson (35-14), #2213 Kempner (Sugar Land) (27-12), #3996 Alief Elsik (Houston) (44-26), #6875 Alvin (39-26)
2010 Losses: #14 Pearland (35-18), #635 Clear Springs (League City) (48-30), #738 Clear Creek (League City) (38-17), #1915 Clear Brook (Friendswood) (43-36), #2174 Brazoswood (Clute) (34-19), #4956 Chavez [Cesar] (Houston) (40-21)
2010 Opponents W-L: 64-51
Recent League Championships: 2004 (tied for 1st), 2003
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 Chavez [Cesar] (Houston), 9/1 Alief Elsik (Houston), 9/10 at Kempner (Sugar Land), 9/23 at Brazoswood (Clute), 10/1 Pearland, 10/7 at Alvin, 10/14 Clear Springs (League City), 10/21 at Clear Brook (Friendswood), 10/28 at Dickinson, 11/4 Clear Creek (League City)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Pearland (60.2), Clear Creek (League City) (38.3), Clear Springs (League City) (28.8)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Alvin (12.2), Chavez [Cesar] (Houston) (13.5), Brazoswood (Clute) (19.1)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 28.7
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.4
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.3
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #123
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #690
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 6th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 Chavez [Cesar] (Houston) [projection: 38-28 win]