Chugiak (Eagle River, AK)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Mustangs Colors: Columbia/Black/White Coach: Duncan Shackelford League: Cook Inlet Playoff Division: Large Playoff Division Rank: #5 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 2010 JV Record: 5-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Ryan Harris 5'10" 170 Senior RB/CB Kody Trombley 6'3" 290 Senior G/T Wayde Snell 5'11" 190 Senior MLB/FB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Team Cohesiveness, JV Talent Moving Up, Line Play Team Weaknesses: New QB, Small Overall Team Numbers, Question Mark At K RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 19.6 2010 National Rank: #3310 2010 State Rank: #6 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 16.8 2011 National Rank: #3521 2011 State Rank: #7 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 21.2 Dynasty National Rank: #2342 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.1 Dynasty Record: 26-20 (21-14 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 5-4 2010 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (3rd) 2010 Points For Average: 21.8 2010 Points Against Average: 18.7 2010 Differential: +3.1 2010 Wins: #3583 Palmer (31-21), #4120 Dimond (Anchorage) (13-7), #4638 South (Anchorage) (34-27), #6403 East (Anchorage) (31-0), #9396 Eagle River (27-14) 2010 Losses: #757 West (Anchorage) (32-16), #1252 Service (Anchorage) (30-27), #2137 Juneau-Douglas (Juneau) (24-7), #4495 Bartlett (Anchorage) (13-10) 2010 Opponents W-L: 46-36 Recent League Championships: 2007, 2003 (tied for 1st) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/13 South (Anchorage), 8/19 Eagle River, 8/27 vs Service (Anchorage), 9/3 vs Bartlett (Anchorage), 9/10 Colony (Palmer), 9/17 Dimond (Anchorage), 9/23 vs West (Anchorage), 10/1 vs East (Anchorage) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: West (Anchorage) (40.5), Service (Anchorage) (31.8), South (Anchorage) (14.9) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Eagle River (-1.9), East (Anchorage) (6.1), Dimond (Anchorage) (12.2) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.5 (18.8 overall) 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.4 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.9 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #7 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2538 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3 2011 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/13 South (Anchorage) [projection: 21-19 win]