Catalina (Tucson, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Trojans
Colors: Royal Blue/White
Coach: Sam Rolfe
League: III Section I (moving from 4A Gila)
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #30

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2010 JV Record: 3-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Tre Moore 6'0" 215 Junior LB/RB 4.89
DeMarco Grayson 5'8" 160 Sophomore RB/DB 4.61
Robbie Meer 5'11" 200 Senior FB/LB 5.19

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: OL, Good Running Game
Team Weaknesses: Must Develop Leaders, QB Inexperience

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: -12.1
2010 National Rank: #10840
2010 State Rank: #141
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
2011 Starting Power Rating: -9.6
2011 National Rank: #10384
2011 State Rank: #136
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): -2.7
Dynasty National Rank: #8962
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.9
Dynasty Record: 22-29 [23-28 on the field] (14-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 4-6
2010 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (4th)
2010 Points For Average: 17.7
2010 Points Against Average: 25.7
2010 Differential: -8
2010 Wins: #11353 Santa Rita (Tucson) (34-22), #12597 Palo Verde (Tucson) (40-21), #12748 Rio Rico (21-6), #13138 Sahuarita (41-16)
2010 Losses: #2407 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (32-6), #4287 Amphitheater (Tucson) (57-0), #7364 Sahuaro (Tucson) (38-8), #8491 Douglas (10-6), #10154 Flowing Wells (Tucson) (20-7), #10229 Cholla (Tucson) (35-14)
2010 Opponents W-L: 47-61
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 1
Streak List: 10/14/11 Rio Rico (32-7)

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 at Nogales, 9/2 Palo Verde (Tucson), 9/9 at Pueblo (Tucson), 9/16 Rincon (Tucson), 9/23 at Sabino (Tucson), 9/30 at Amphitheater (Tucson), 10/6 Douglas, 10/14 Rio Rico, 10/21 at Sahuaro (Tucson), 10/28 Sahuarita
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sabino (Tucson) (15.5), Amphitheater (Tucson) (9.6), Sahuaro (Tucson) (3.8)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Rio Rico (-29.8), Sahuarita (-26.3), Palo Verde (Tucson) (-22)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.3
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7.1
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.8
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #163
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10818
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 12th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 at Nogales [projection: 26-21 loss]