GENERAL
Nickname: Cobras
Colors: Columbia/Silver
Coach: Larry Fetkenhier
League: III Section II (moving from 4A Black Canyon)
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #9
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2010 JV Record: 6-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Denzel Dotson 6'3" 295 Junior OL 5.38
Guy Williams 6'0" 220 Junior MLB 4.71
Mike Ledesma 6'0" 240 Junior DL 5.01
D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Ryan Nowicki 6'5" 280 Senior OL 5.00 [Penn State]
Deke Cisco 6'1" 175 Senior QB 4.5
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Tradition, Defense, Kicking Game
Team Weaknesses: Experience At Key Positions
RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 27.1
2010 National Rank: #1972
2010 State Rank: #28
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5
Senior D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.8
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 17.5
2011 National Rank: #3375
2011 State Rank: #51
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 31.8
Dynasty National Rank: #793
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 13
Dynasty Record: 48-13 (22-3 in league)
HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 10-2
2010 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2010 Points For Average: 38
2010 Points Against Average: 18.2
2010 Differential: +19.8
2010 Wins: #300 Saguaro (Scottsdale) (42-41), #1269 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (24-17), #3153 Peoria (20-10), #3294 Washington (Phoenix) (43-28), #4609 Greenway (Phoenix) (31-21), #7521 Page (49-0), #8017 Coronado (Scottsdale) (31-6), #8061 Paradise Valley (Phoenix) (28-6), #9131 Dysart (El Mirage) (57-19), #13800 Cortez (Phoenix) (69-0)
2010 Losses: #1327 Queen Creek (49-42), #2407 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (21-20)
2010 Opponents W-L: 83-57
Recent State Championships: 2009 (4A-II), 2005 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2010 (4A Black Canyon), 2009 (4A Black Canyon), 2007 (4A West Valley), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Wells Fargo 1), 2005 (4A Wells Fargo 1)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: 3
Streak List: 9/30/11 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (32-22), 10/6/11 Glendale (68-0), 10/14/11 Agua Fria (Avondale) (49-0)
SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 at Moon Valley (Phoenix), 9/10 Peoria, 9/16 at Greenway (Phoenix), 9/23 Saguaro (Scottsdale), 9/30 at Thunderbird (Phoenix), 10/6 Glendale, 10/14 at Agua Fria (Avondale), 10/21 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria), 10/28 Liberty (Peoria)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Thunderbird (Phoenix) (41.3), Saguaro (Scottsdale) (39.8), Liberty (Peoria) (23.5)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Glendale (-18.9), Moon Valley (Phoenix) (9), Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (11.2)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.7 (12.9 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.9
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #30
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2660
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-4
2011 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 8/26 at Moon Valley (Phoenix) [projection: 31-21 win]