Buchholz [F. W.] (Gainesville, FL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bobcats
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Matt Kerstetter
League: 7A District 1 (moving from 5A District 1)
Playoff Division: 7A
Playoff Division Rank: #48

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2010 JV Record: 4-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Matt Fuchs 6'4" 245 Senior DE 4.86
Myles Davis 6'2" 305 Senior OL
Kenny Scott 5'9" 170 Junior RB/DB 4.62

D1 PLAYERS LOST TO GRADUATION
Louis Addazio 6'3" 240 Senior TE 4.90 [Syracuse]
Kenny Harper 6'1" 200 Senior DB [Temple]

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Talented Underclassmen, Line Size
Team Weaknesses: Experience, Depth

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 24.7
2010 National Rank: #2382
2010 State Rank: #177
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.1
2011 Starting Power Rating: 13.6
2011 National Rank: #4202
2011 State Rank: #266
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 20.9
Dynasty National Rank: #2403
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7.2
Dynasty Record: 19-32 (6-8 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 3-7
2010 League Record/Finish: 0-3 (4th)
2010 Points For Average: 14.4
2010 Points Against Average: 22.1
2010 Differential: -7.7
2010 Wins: #628 Orange Park (37-7), #2493 Flagler Palm Coast (Palm Coast) (28-20), #3730 Eastside (Gainesville) (17-13)
2010 Losses: #209 Vanguard (Ocala) (27-0), #256 First Coast (Jacksonville) (19-7), #543 North Marion (Citra) (26-10), #894 Gainesville (27-0), #1110 Fletcher [Duncan U.] (Neptune Beach) (30-7), #1372 Middleburg (30-24), #1892 Columbia (Lake City) (22-14)
2010 Opponents W-L: 74-42
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st; 5A District 1), 2004 (5A District 2), 2003 (5A District 2)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 at Eastside (Gainesville), 9/9 at Orange Park, 9/16 at Columbia (Lake City), 9/30 Santa Fe (Alachua), 10/7 at Lincoln (Tallahassee), 10/14 Gainesville, 10/20 Chiles [Lawton] (Tallahassee), 10/28 at Forest (Ocala), 11/4 at West Port (Ocala)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Lincoln (Tallahassee) (58.8), Gainesville (36), Orange Park (33.2)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Santa Fe (Alachua) (3.9), Chiles [Lawton] (Tallahassee) (9.2), West Port (Ocala) (10.7)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.2
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.5
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -10.7
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #105
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #943
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-6
2011 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 at Eastside (Gainesville) [projection: 17-15 win]