Bay City (TX) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Black Cats Colors: Royal Blue/Gold Coach: Robert Blackmon League: 4A Region III District 23 Playoff Division: 4A Playoff Division Rank: #86 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Derek Brown 6'3" 205 Senior QB 4.60 Courtney Finney 5'9" 190 Senior RB/OLB 4.60 John Paul DeLaRosa 6'4" 280 Senior OL 5.50 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Backfield, OL Team Weaknesses: Recent Success, Inexperienced Secondary RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 13.8 2010 National Rank: #4548 2010 State Rank: #477 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.3 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 18.8 2011 National Rank: #3092 2011 State Rank: #357 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 13.7 Dynasty National Rank: #4072 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6.4 Dynasty Record: 15-34 (7-17 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 3-7 2010 League Record/Finish: 1-5 (tied for 6th) 2010 Points For Average: 15 2010 Points Against Average: 23.1 2010 Differential: -8.1 2010 Wins: #4102 Lamar Consolidated (Rosenberg) (13-7), #4732 Yates [Jack] (Houston) (31-28), #6721 Victoria West (Victoria) (27-0) 2010 Losses: #1038 El Campo (38-14), #1397 Columbia (West Columbia) (22-13), #1990 Angleton (21-7), #2539 Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg) (46-12), #2675 Sweeny (14-7), #2728 Foster (Richmond) (20-14), #5139 Brazosport (Freeport) (35-12) 2010 Opponents W-L: 69-44 Recent League Championships: 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A Region III District 24), 2003 (4A Region III District 24) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/26 at Sweeny, 9/3 at Yates [Jack] (Houston), 9/16 Victoria West (Victoria), 9/23 Columbia (West Columbia), 9/30 at Brazosport (Freeport), 10/7 Lamar Consolidated (Rosenberg), 10/14 at Angleton, 10/21 El Campo, 10/28 at Foster (Richmond), 11/4 Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg) Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Columbia (West Columbia) (35.2), El Campo (33.2), Terry [B. F.] (Rosenberg) (30.5) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Brazosport (Freeport) (4.8), Yates [Jack] (Houston) (7.6), Lamar Consolidated (Rosenberg) (8.3) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.9 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.3 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.6 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #284 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1836 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2011 Projected League Finish: 4th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/26 at Sweeny [projection: 21-19 loss] |