Ashby [Turner] (Bridgewater, VA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Knights Colors: Black/White Coach: Charlie Newman League: AA Valley (moving from AA Massanutten) Playoff Division: AA Playoff Division Rank: #46 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 8 Returning Defensive Starters: 7 2010 JV Record: 2-7 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Trent Hart 6'1" 175 Senior QB 4.80 Dean Roadcap 6'3" 310 Senior OL/DL 5.20 Keenan Jordan 5'8" 175 RB/DB 4.65 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: QB, Lines, LBs Team Weaknesses: CB, WR RATINGS 2010 Final Power Rating: 7.9 2010 National Rank: #5963 2010 State Rank: #174 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3 2011 Starting Power Rating: 10.1 2011 National Rank: #5002 2011 State Rank: #151 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 15 Dynasty National Rank: #3713 2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 3.6 Dynasty Record: 31-22 (11-9 in league) HISTORICAL 2010 Overall Record: 5-5 2010 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (3rd) 2010 Points For Average: 21.3 2010 Points Against Average: 20.7 2010 Differential: +0.6 2010 Wins: #3696 Stuarts Draft (28-27), #6759 Rockbridge County (Lexington) (24-14), #7610 Western Albemarle (Crozet) (27-10), #9043 Spotswood (Penn Laird) (31-27), #11079 Waynesboro (45-8) 2010 Losses: #542 Harrisonburg (42-13), #3034 Broadway (22-19), #3868 Lee [Robert E.] (Staunton) (23-0), #6158 Jefferson Forest (Forest) (27-26), #6896 Fort Defiance (7-0) 2010 Opponents W-L: 50-60 Recent State Championships: 2005 (3) Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none SCHEDULE 2011 Schedule: 8/26 Harrisonburg, 9/2 Brookville (Lynchburg), 9/16 at Jefferson Forest (Forest), 9/23 at Harrisonburg, 9/30 Waynesboro, 10/7 at Spotswood (Penn Laird), 10/14 at Monticello (Charlottesville), 10/21 at Lee [Robert E.] (Staunton), 10/28 Broadway, 11/4 Fort Defiance Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Brookville (Lynchburg) (37.4), Harrisonburg (37.2), Broadway (21.1) Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Waynesboro (-13.1), Spotswood (Penn Laird) (-3.8), Fort Defiance (4.2) 2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.8 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 15.6 2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.8 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #115 2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2741 2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6 2011 Projected League Finish: 4th 2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% Opener: 8/26 Harrisonburg [projection: 38-14 loss]