Analy (Sebastopol, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Midnight Blue/White
Coach: Daniel Bourdon
League: Sonoma County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 8.2
2010 National Rank: #5891
2010 State Rank: #470
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 6.9
2011 National Rank: #5776
2011 State Rank: #443
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 5.5
Dynasty National Rank: #6434
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.7
Dynasty Record: 24-31 (8-22 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 5-6
2010 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (6th)
2010 Points For Average: 19.9
2010 Points Against Average: 15.1
2010 Differential: +4.8
2010 Wins: #3961 Healdsburg (16-14), #9182 Santa Rosa (34-0), #10877 Piner (Santa Rosa) (49-20), #11033 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (29-0), #12164 Balboa (San Francisco) (37-6)
2010 Losses: #1657 Casa Grande (Petaluma) (23-3), #2691 Miramonte (Orinda) (21-7), #2691 Miramonte (Orinda) (17-3), #5114 Windsor (6-3), #5325 El Molino (Forestville) (24-17), #7032 Petaluma (35-21)
2010 Opponents W-L: 69-59
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 9/2 Miramonte (Orinda), 9/9 San Marin (Novato), 9/16 Balboa (San Francisco), 9/23 at Santa Rosa, 9/30 Windsor, 10/7 vs Healdsburg, 10/14 El Molino (Forestville), 10/21 at Casa Grande (Petaluma), 10/28 Petaluma, 11/11 vs Sonoma Valley (Sonoma)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Miramonte (Orinda) (22.4), Windsor (20.8), Casa Grande (Petaluma) (19.7)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Balboa (San Francisco) (-27.3), Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (-8.7), El Molino (Forestville) (-1)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.6 (7.9 overall)
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.4
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: +2.8
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #513
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6154
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2011 Projected League Finish: 4th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/2 Miramonte (Orinda) [projection: 27-14 loss]



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