Agua Fria (Avondale, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Owls
Colors: Red/Gray
Coach: Kelly Epley
League: III Section III (moving from 4A West Valley)
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RATINGS
2010 Final Power Rating: 5.7
2010 National Rank: #6495
2010 State Rank: #88
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2011 Starting Power Rating: 11.2
2011 National Rank: #4754
2011 State Rank: #66
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2010 Rating): 13.3
Dynasty National Rank: #4180
2011 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 0.7
Dynasty Record: 28-28 (13-12 in league)

HISTORICAL
2010 Overall Record: 3-7
2010 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 3rd)
2010 Points For Average: 26.2
2010 Points Against Average: 30.8
2010 Differential: -4.6
2010 Wins: #5222 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (50-27), #9131 Dysart (El Mirage) (42-25), #11409 Copper Canyon (Glendale) (63-33)
2010 Losses: #1659 Apollo (Glendale) (37-14), #2407 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (25-9), #2715 Bradshaw Mountain (Prescott Valley) (47-21), #3153 Peoria (32-16), #4295 Apache Junction (14-7), #4609 Greenway (Phoenix) (28-14), #5434 Kellis [Raymond S.] (Glendale) (40-26)
2010 Opponents W-L: 64-49
Recent League Championships: 2006 (4A West Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2011 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2011 Schedule: 8/26 Shadow Ridge (Surprise), 9/2 at Dysart (El Mirage), 9/9 at Greenway (Phoenix), 9/16 Youngker (Buckeye), 9/23 at Copper Canyon (Glendale), 9/30 Desert Edge (Goodyear), 10/6 at Sierra Linda (Phoenix), 10/14 Cactus (Glendale), 10/21 Estrella Foothills (Goodyear), 10/28 at Verrado (Buckeye)
Highest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Desert Edge (Goodyear) (23.4), Cactus (Glendale) (18.8), Greenway (Phoenix) (12.4)
Lowest-Rated 2011 Regular Season Opponents: Sierra Linda (Phoenix) (-32), Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (-25.2), Verrado (Buckeye) (-18.8)
2010 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.8
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5
2011 vs. 2010 Schedule Strength Comparison: -17.8
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #153
2011 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10138
2011 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2011 Projected League Finish: 5th
2011 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%
Opener: 8/26 Shadow Ridge (Surprise) [projection: 42-3 win]



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