San Marin (Novato, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: Dan Hickey
League: Marin County
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #16
CA Bowl Division: North 3
CA Bowl Division Rank: #64

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2008 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Ryan Zirkle QB
Jack Domecus 6'1" 220 Senior OL
Patrick McIntosh 6'0" 180 Senior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Chemistry
Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced

RATINGS
2008 Final Power Rating: 0.8
2008 National Rank: #7783
2008 State Rank: #605
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -5
2009 Starting Power Rating: -4.1
2009 National Rank: #9157
2009 State Rank: #717
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2008 Rating): 4.6
Dynasty National Rank: #6133
2009 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.7
Dynasty Record: 30-34 (22-25 in league)

HISTORICAL
2008 Overall Record: 3-7
2008 League Record/Finish: 3-4 (5th)
2008 Points For Average: 14
2008 Points Against Average: 26.9
2008 Differential: -12.9
2008 Wins: #3018 Justin-Siena (Napa) (12-7), #8513 Tamalpais (Mill Valley) (27-13), #9534 San Rafael (24-6)
2008 Losses: #963 Novato (41-7), #2030 Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (31-10), #2479 Miramonte (Orinda) (46-7), #4038 Ygnacio Valley (Concord) (36-12), #4116 Redwood (Larkspur) (22-14), #6180 Sonoma Valley (Sonoma) (40-20), #6977 Drake (San Anselmo) (27-7)
2008 Opponents W-L: 71-47
Winning Streak Entering 2009 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2009 Schedule: 9/5 Ygnacio Valley (Concord), 9/12 Miramonte (Orinda), 9/18 at Analy (Sebastopol), 9/25 at San Rafael, 10/3 at Redwood (Larkspur), 10/10 Justin-Siena (Napa), 10/24 Marin Catholic (Kentfield), 10/31 at Terra Linda (San Rafael), 11/7 Drake (San Anselmo), 11/14 at Novato
Highest-Rated 2009 Regular Season Opponents: Novato (33.5), Marin Catholic (Kentfield) (26.6), Miramonte (Orinda) (21.1)
Lowest-Rated 2009 Regular Season Opponents: Terra Linda (San Rafael) (-10.7), San Rafael (-10.6), Analy (Sebastopol) (-6.5)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.4
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.4
2009 vs. 2008 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #431
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4557
2009 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2009 Projected League Finish: 7th
2009 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 Ygnacio Valley (Concord) [projection: 31-14 loss]