Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Black
Coach: Terry Gourley
League: Frontier
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: East Valley (XII)
Playoff Division Rank: #12
CA Bowl Division: South Small
CA Bowl Division Rank: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2008 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Max Leffler 6'2" 195 Junior QB
Deacon Dobbs 5'10" 195 Junior LB
Jack Gilliland 5'10" 165 Sophomore WR/S

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Offensive production
Team Weaknesses: Must win close games

RATINGS
2008 Final Power Rating: 0
2008 National Rank: #8108
2008 State Rank: #633
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -1
2009 Starting Power Rating: -0.9
2009 National Rank: #8318
2009 State Rank: #644
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2008 Rating): 8.8
Dynasty National Rank: #4773
2009 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.7
Dynasty Record: 43-27 (12-12 in league)

HISTORICAL
2008 Overall Record: 3-7
2008 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (tied for 3rd)
2008 Points For Average: 35.8
2008 Points Against Average: 36.2
2008 Differential: -0.4
2008 Wins: #3653 Franklin (Los Angeles) (38-32), #6741 Carpinteria (34-23), #9881 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (60-14)
2008 Losses: #1684 Paraclete (Lancaster) (34-12), #4346 Fillmore (49-46), #4667 Big Bear (Big Bear City) (56-28), #5629 Oak Park (28-26), #5973 Santa Paula (42-40), #8467 Malibu (51-50), #9019 Bishop Diego (Santa Barbara) (33-24)
2008 Opponents W-L: 66-45-1
Recent Section Championships: 2004 (XII)
Recent League Championships: 2005 (Olympic), 2004 (Alpha)
Winning Streak Entering 2009 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2009 Schedule: 9/4 vs Big Bear (Big Bear City), 9/11 vs Oak Park, 9/18 at Franklin (Los Angeles), 9/25 vs Carpinteria, 10/2 at Frazier Mountain (Lebec), 10/9 vs Bishop Diego (Santa Barbara), 10/16 at Malibu, 10/30 vs Villanova Prep (Ojai), 11/6 vs Fillmore, 11/13 vs Santa Paula
Highest-Rated 2009 Regular Season Opponents: Franklin (Los Angeles) (19.8), Big Bear (Big Bear City) (15.4), Fillmore (10.3)
Lowest-Rated 2009 Regular Season Opponents: Bishop Diego (Santa Barbara) (-6.5), Frazier Mountain (Lebec) (-6.2), Malibu (-4.3)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.9
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 3.5
2009 vs. 2008 Schedule Strength Comparison: -4.4
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #597
2009 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7008
2009 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2009 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2009 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/4 vs Big Bear (Big Bear City) [projection: 44-28 loss]