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Estancia (Costa Mesa, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Gold/Cardinal
Coach: Mike Bargas
League: Orange Coast
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Southern (IX)
Playoff Division Rank: #26
CA Bowl Division: South 2 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #228

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 3

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: -21.3
2007 National Rank: #12347
2007 State Rank: #879
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -6.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: -27.7
2008 National Rank: #13061
2008 State Rank: #945
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): -14.9
Dynasty National Rank: #11580
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.8
Dynasty Record: 21-32 (9-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 5-6
2007 League Record/Finish: 2-1 (1st)
2007 Points For Average: 19.5
2007 Points Against Average: 20
2007 Differential: -0.5
2007 Wins: #13090 Costa Mesa (41-13), #13166 Buena Park (21-16), #13244 Calvary Chapel (Santa Ana) (10-7), #13262 Vasquez (Acton) (37-20), #13800 La Quinta (Westminster) (28-13)
2007 Losses: #6417 Irvine (24-6), #8027 Aquinas (San Bernardino) (35-7), #10260 Ocean View (Huntington Beach) (27-26), #11679 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (35-19), #12862 Bolsa Grande (Garden Grove) (13-6), #13020 Laguna Beach (17-13)
2007 Opponents W-L: 34-79
Recent League Championships: 2007
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 at Aquinas (San Bernardino), 9/12 Bolsa Grande (Garden Grove), 9/19 Buena Park, 9/26 Magnolia (Anaheim), 10/4 vs La Quinta (Westminster), 10/10 at Ocean View (Huntington Beach), 10/17 Costa Mesa, 10/30 Godinez (Santa Ana), 11/7 at Laguna Beach, 11/13 vs Calvary Chapel (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Aquinas (San Bernardino) (2.4), Magnolia (Anaheim) (0.5), Ocean View (Huntington Beach) (-7.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: La Quinta (Westminster) (-33), Buena Park (-28.3), Laguna Beach (-27.1)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.1 (-17.9 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -15.8
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +8.3
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 4th
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 at Aquinas (San Bernardino) [projection: 38-14 loss]



Outlook: Over the last couple of years, Estancia High School has been in the mix for the Orange Coast League title, claiming a share of it last year. On the surface, it appears that it may be tough for the Eagles to make yet another run, considering they are only returning 6 starters, including an entire offensive line. Radamed Gutierrez should see action again at QB, and look for Carlos Mendez at RB. As is the case for many small schools, depth will be an issue, especially with so much inexperience from the starters. While there is much optimism in the Eagle camp, it's difficult to maintain your level of quality with so much loss.