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Valencia (CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Vikings
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Larry Muir
League: Foothill
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Northern (IV)
Playoff Division Rank: #7
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #37

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2007 JV Record: 7-2-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 42.3
2007 National Rank: #441
2007 State Rank: #44
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -7
2008 Starting Power Rating: 35.3
2008 National Rank: #816
2008 State Rank: #82
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 38.1
Dynasty National Rank: #184
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 2.8
Dynasty Record: 38-22-1 (15-8-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 7-4-1
2007 League Record/Finish: 3-1-1 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 31.5
2007 Points Against Average: 18.1
2007 Differential: +13.4
2007 Wins: #789 Palmdale (27-20), #1244 Canyon (Canyon Country) (31-9), #1818 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (56-7), #2324 Oxnard (28-7), #2440 West Ranch (Valencia) (36-6), #5089 Westchester (Los Angeles) (35-6), #10550 Golden Valley (Santa Clarita) (63-14)
2007 Losses: #19 Birmingham (Van Nuys) (29-14), #77 Lutheran (Orange) (35-20), #230 Saugus (34-19), #736 Newbury Park (29-28)
2007 Ties: #140 Hart (Newhall) (21-21)
2007 Opponents W-L: 93-47-1
Recent League Championships: 2004
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/12 Thousand Oaks, 9/19 at Birmingham (Van Nuys), 9/26 Palmdale, 10/3 at Hueneme (Oxnard), 10/10 Westchester (Los Angeles), 10/17 at Canyon (Canyon Country), 10/24 vs Golden Valley (Santa Clarita), 10/31 Hart (Newhall), 11/7 Saugus, 11/14 West Ranch (Valencia)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Hart (Newhall) (48.9), Birmingham (Van Nuys) (45.1), Saugus (38.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Golden Valley (Santa Clarita) (-12.2), Hueneme (Oxnard) (-0.4), Westchester (Los Angeles) (14.9)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.5 (32.8 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.1
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: -3.4
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/12 Thousand Oaks [projection: 28-26 win]



Outlook: Valencia High School is just one of those programs you have to keep an eye on every year. Last year's team fared fairly well, placing 3rd in the tough Foothill League, and making a quarterfinal appearance in the Southern Section Northern Division playoffs. This year, the Vikings return seniors in some key positions (QB Dominic Solley, RB Jordan Thompson, WR/DB Mike Hernandez, and OL Cody Letz), but they will be largely a junior-based team. Despite that, you get a sense of optimism from Coach Larry Muir. "You can consider this a rebuilding year for us due to the number of underclassmen starting. However, the team will be very talented and, as a coaching staff, our job is to develop them as quickly as possible." It would not be surprising if that development took hold in November for the playoffs.