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Western Christian (Covina, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Fighting Lancers
Colors: Blue/White/Black
Coach: Rob Castaneda
League: Christian
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: East Valley (XII)
Playoff Division Rank: #19
CA Bowl Division: South Small (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #39

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2007 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: -21.8
2007 National Rank: #12407
2007 State Rank: #889
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +5.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: -16.2
2008 National Rank: #11580
2008 State Rank: #830
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): -20.7
Dynasty National Rank: #12543
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4.5
Dynasty Record: 14-37 (4-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 3-7
2007 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 21.7
2007 Points Against Average: 31.6
2007 Differential: -9.9
2007 Wins: #11943 Riverside Christian (Riverside) (37-33), #13460 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (38-7), #14024 Bloomington Christian (Bloomington) (41-8)
2007 Losses: #736 St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano) (70-20), #5032 Ontario Christian (Ontario) (55-6), #8027 Aquinas (San Bernardino) (55-17), #10260 Calvary Chapel (Downey) (14-10), #11126 Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach) (20-14), #11583 St. Anthony (Long Beach) (27-14), #12914 Villanova Prep (Ojai) (27-20)
2007 Opponents W-L: 56-51
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/9/07 Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (38-7)

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 vs Gladstone (Covina), 9/13 vs Calvary Chapel (Downey), 9/19 vs Bloomington Christian (Bloomington), 9/26 at Sierra Vista (Baldwin Park), 10/11 vs Brethren Christian (Huntington Beach), 10/18 vs Riverside Christian (Riverside), 10/25 vs St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano), 11/1 vs Aquinas (San Bernardino), 11/7 at Arrowhead Christian (Redlands), 11/14 at Ontario Christian (Ontario)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano) (39.3), Ontario Christian (Ontario) (5.6), Aquinas (San Bernardino) (2.4)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Bloomington Christian (Bloomington) (-29.7), Gladstone (Covina) (-29.2), Arrowhead Christian (Redlands) (-22.2)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -10.9
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -10.2
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.7
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 vs Gladstone (Covina) [projection: 28-19 win]



Outlook: The new Small School Division of the CIF State championship bowl games have suddenly created a great deal of hope for schools that wouldn't otherwise have had any in the old D-III. Even St. Bonaventure, last year's D-III winner and small by most school standards, is about twice the size of most of the schools that will compete in this new division. Western Christian High School is one of the teams that believes they have a fighting chance to get to Carson. 13 starters return including junior QB Alex Beaton, RB Josh Wiley, and WR Reed Covington. One of the major factors in high school football is depth and that problem can have a 10-fold impact with smaller schools. Although many of the players on this year's team will have a fair amount of varsity experience, the Fighting Lancers will only field about 26 players. Many of the top offensive players are going to have to make a similar impact on D. Overall, Coach Rob Castaneda likes what type of team he has. "[We have a] hard working team, great attitude, [they] never make excuses." Western Christian will find out just how big of a shot they have for a bowl game when they take on one of the top contenders, St. Margaret's, in late October.