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Carlsbad (CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Purple/White
Coach: Bob McAllister
League: Palomar (moving from Avocado)
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #4
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #35

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2007 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 43.7
2007 National Rank: #375
2007 State Rank: #37
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -8
2008 Starting Power Rating: 35.7
2008 National Rank: #788
2008 State Rank: #79
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 37
Dynasty National Rank: #214
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.3
Dynasty Record: 40-15-2 [43-12-2 on the field] (17-5-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 8-2
2007 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2007 Points For Average: 23.5
2007 Points Against Average: 18.6
2007 Differential: +4.9
2007 Wins: #323 Rancho Buena Vista (Vista) (41-36), #372 Cathedral (San Diego) (27-24), #404 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (8-7), #797 Helix (La Mesa) (14-10), #1374 El Camino (Oceanside) (29-14), #2440 St. Augustine (San Diego) (20-3), #3162 Fallbrook (41-27), #3325 Rancho Bernardo (San Diego) (28-10)
2007 Losses: #57 Oceanside (31-7), #323 Rancho Buena Vista (Vista) (24-20)
2007 Opponents W-L: 73-43-1
Recent Section Championships: 2006, 2005
Recent League Championships: 2006 (Avocado), 2005 (Avocado)
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 St. Augustine (San Diego), 9/12 at La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad), 9/19 Helix (La Mesa), 9/26 at Cathedral (San Diego), 10/3 at Mission Hills (San Marcos), 10/10 Rancho Bernardo (San Diego), 10/17 at Vista, 10/24 at Rancho Buena Vista (Vista), 11/7 Poway, 11/14 El Camino (Oceanside)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Helix (La Mesa) (52.6), La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (49.9), Cathedral (San Diego) (49.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Rancho Bernardo (San Diego) (3.6), St. Augustine (San Diego) (18.8), Vista (30)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.4 (37.2 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.8
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6.4
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 St. Augustine (San Diego) [projection: 28-13 win]



Outlook: Carlsbad High School finished in second place in the tough Avocado League in 2007. Unfortunately, only 5 starters return from that quality team. The Lancers do, however, pick up senior transfer Mike Leonard at the QB position. Joining Leonard in the offensive backfield should be RB Ashston Barbour (also new to the starting roster). None of the leading receivers appear to be back. Defensively, only two starters return from a unit that allowed only 18.6 points per game. Carlsbad moves from the Avocado to the Palomar League this fall, but that won't make it any easier for this young team.