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Tri-City Christian (Vista, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Navy/Cardinal
Coach: Rick Brown
League: Pacific
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: V
Playoff Division Rank: #11
CA Bowl Division: South Small (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #43

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2007 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: -23.2
2007 National Rank: #12581
2007 State Rank: #900
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: +3.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: -19.6
2008 National Rank: #12105
2008 State Rank: #870
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): -28.9
Dynasty National Rank: #13440
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 9.3
Dynasty Record: 9-21 (6-7 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 3-7
2007 League Record/Finish: 1-2 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 24.4
2007 Points Against Average: 27
2007 Differential: -2.6
2007 Wins: #11734 Julian (37-7), #13493 Calvin Christian (Escondido) (62-6), #14073 Calipatria (38-0)
2007 Losses: #6594 Saddleback Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano) (32-6), #8507 Army-Navy (Carlsbad) (28-21), #8828 Sage Hill (Newport Beach) (42-10), #9543 La Jolla Country Day (La Jolla) (54-0), #10569 Vincent Memorial (Calexico) (48-28), #11679 Midway Baptist (San Diego) (24-16), #11700 Capistrano Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano) (29-26)
2007 Opponents W-L: 50-45
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/6 vs Capistrano Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano), 9/13 vs Midway Baptist (San Diego), 9/19 at Calvin Christian (Escondido), 9/26 vs San Pasqual Academy (Escondido), 10/4 vs Sage Hill (Newport Beach), 10/10 vs Virgin Valley (Mesquite, NV), 10/18 at Army-Navy (Carlsbad), 10/25 vs Escondido Charter (Escondido), 10/31 vs Calipatria, 11/14 at La Jolla Country Day (La Jolla)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Virgin Valley (Mesquite, NV) (12.4), Army-Navy (Carlsbad) (-0.4), La Jolla Country Day (La Jolla) (-1.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Calipatria (-36.3), Capistrano Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano) (-30.6), Escondido Charter (Escondido) (-23)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -13.5 (-14 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -11.7
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.8
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2008 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/6 vs Capistrano Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano) [projection: 35-26 win]



Outlook: Among the reasons for the struggles of certain programs is unstable leadership. That is one problem that Tri-City Christian is attempting to fix as Coach Rick Brown returns for a 2nd year after his two predecessors left after one. Returning with him are a set of players with a good amount of experience, such as junior QB Andrew Torkelson and two-way player Jeff Blatnik (who was one of the leading tacklers last year at strong safety). The Eagles lost a player who was both their leading rusher and leading tackler, but that just may lead to more of a balanced team in 2008.