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Saugus (CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Centurions
Colors: Blue/Silver
Coach: Jason Bornn
League: Foothill
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Northern (IV)
Playoff Division Rank: #5
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #27

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 0
2007 JV Record: 2-7-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 47.2
2007 National Rank: #231
2007 State Rank: #19
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -8.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 38.7
2008 National Rank: #588
2008 State Rank: #57
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 22.9
Dynasty National Rank: #1446
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.8
Dynasty Record: 28-29 (10-14 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 10-3
2007 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (2nd)
2007 Points For Average: 35.8
2007 Points Against Average: 19.1
2007 Differential: +16.7
2007 Wins: #441 Valencia (34-19), #1023 Atascadero (34-6), #1087 Alemany (Mission Hills) (35-7), #1181 Westlake (Westlake Village) (33-28), #1244 Canyon (Canyon Country) (18-14), #2440 West Ranch (Valencia) (35-6), #3022 St. Francis (La Canada) (33-0), #6340 Antelope Valley (Lancaster) (48-21), #6494 Pacifica (Oxnard) (34-3), #10550 Golden Valley (Santa Clarita) (70-27)
2007 Losses: #70 St. Bonaventure (Ventura) (55-36), #140 Hart (Newhall) (24-21), #293 Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks) (38-35)
2007 Opponents W-L: 89-58-2
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/12 vs Pasadena, 9/19 at Westlake (Westlake Village), 9/26 vs Alemany (Mission Hills), 10/3 at Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks), 10/10 vs Crespi (Encino), 10/17 vs Hart (Newhall), 10/24 vs West Ranch (Valencia), 10/31 vs Golden Valley (Santa Clarita), 11/7 at Valencia, 11/14 vs Canyon (Canyon Country)
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Crespi (Encino) (64.2), Hart (Newhall) (48.9), Westlake (Westlake Village) (38.8)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Golden Valley (Santa Clarita) (-12.2), Pasadena (10.4), Canyon (Canyon Country) (28.2)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.3 (29.3 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 31
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +5.7
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2008 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/12 vs Pasadena [projection: 42-19 win]



Outlook: Saugus High School took many by surprise when they narrowly missed the Foothill League title last year. That level of success will be difficult to duplicate in '08. Only 5 starters return (no one on D), including QB Desi Rodriguez and RB Ryan Zirbel (both players rushed for over 1000 yards, 2000 for Zirbel). Replacing an entire defensive starting unit seems entirely too much to overcome, but the coaching staff remains very excited about the prospects of a successful season in '08.