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Rancho Buena Vista (Vista, CA)


GENERAL
Nickname: Longhorns
Colors: Maroon/Silver
Coach: Eric Jorgensen
League: Palomar (moving from Avocado)
Section: San Diego
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #3
CA Bowl Division: South 1 (not yet official)
CA Bowl Division Rank: #32

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 1
2007 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no

RATINGS
2007 Final Power Rating: 44.7
2007 National Rank: #328
2007 State Rank: #31
Off-Season Rating Adjustment: -7.5
2008 Starting Power Rating: 37.2
2008 National Rank: #682
2008 State Rank: #68
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2007 Rating): 25.4
Dynasty National Rank: #1110
2008 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.8
Dynasty Record: 27-28-2 (9-14-2 in league)

HISTORICAL
2007 Overall Record: 9-4
2007 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2007 Points For Average: 31.5
2007 Points Against Average: 22.5
2007 Differential: +9
2007 Wins: #372 Carlsbad (24-20), #523 Chaparral (Temecula) (48-21), #835 Eastlake (Chula Vista) (41-17), #1374 El Camino (Oceanside) (29-28), #2440 Bonita Vista (Chula Vista) (27-0), #2842 Vista (11-0), #3162 Fallbrook (49-21), #5064 Escondido (51-35), #9049 Calexico (63-8)
2007 Losses: #57 Oceanside (49-7), #184 Poway (21-7), #372 Carlsbad (41-36), #2228 Otay Ranch (Chula Vista) (31-17)
2007 Opponents W-L: 89-52
Winning Streak Entering 2008 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2008 Schedule: 9/5 at Helix (La Mesa), 9/19 Otay Ranch (Chula Vista), 9/26 at San Pasqual (Escondido), 10/3 La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad), 10/10 at Fallbrook, 10/17 at Rancho Bernardo (San Diego), 10/24 Carlsbad, 10/31 Poway, 11/7 at El Camino (Oceanside), 11/14 Vista
Highest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Helix (La Mesa) (52.6), La Costa Canyon (Carlsbad) (49.9), Poway (44.7)
Lowest-Rated 2008 Regular Season Opponents: Rancho Bernardo (San Diego) (3.6), Fallbrook (17.9), San Pasqual (Escondido) (26.4)
2007 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.2 (30.7 overall)
2008 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 32.3
2008 vs. 2007 Schedule Strength Comparison: +6.1
2008 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2008 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2008 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
Opener: 9/5 at Helix (La Mesa) [projection: 35-17 loss]



Outlook: The 2007 season was capped by an appearance in the San Diego Section D-I title game for Rancho Buena Vista High School. Unfortunately, it appears that that type of performance will be very difficult to duplicate as the Longhorns only return 7 starters (only 1 on defense). Coach Jorgensen has no choice but to consider 2008 to be a rebuilding year. They may have a strong offensive line, led by Nathan Shannon (T) and Cody Bagley (C), but overall, look for a tough Palomar League to mostly overtake them.