2020 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2019 data


State9/2510/210/910/1610/2310/3011/6TOTALS
Alabama 145-19
(88.4%)
138-19
(87.9%)
139-31
(81.8%)
142-25
(85%)
  564-94
(85.7%)
Alaska 7-2
(77.8%)
7-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
  17-3
(85%)
Arizona 47-17
(73.4%)
42-16
(72.4%)
47-12
(79.7%)
44-13
(77.2%)
  180-58
(75.6%)
Arkansas 65-12
(84.4%)
69-6
(92%)
63-14
(81.8%)
67-11
(85.9%)
  264-43
(86%)
California       0-0
(0%)
Colorado  57-10
(85.1%)
53-12
(81.5%)
54-12
(81.8%)
  164-34
(82.8%)
Connecticut       0-0
(0%)
Delaware    10-2
(83.3%)
  10-2
(83.3%)
District of Columbia       0-0
(0%)
Florida 141-42
(77%)
142-36
(79.8%)
161-32
(83.4%)
148-29
(83.6%)
  592-139
(81%)
Georgia 118-25
(82.5%)
117-26
(81.8%)
130-29
(81.8%)
118-23
(83.7%)
  483-103
(82.4%)
Hawaii       0-0
(0%)
Idaho 24-5
(82.8%)
21-4
(84%)
27-5
(84.4%)
21-9
(70%)
  93-23
(80.2%)
Illinois       0-0
(0%)
Indiana 114-21
(84.4%)
120-15
(88.9%)
107-23
(82.3%)
97-19
(83.6%)
  438-78
(84.9%)
Iowa 91-25
(78.4%)
107-17
(86.3%)
74-18
(80.4%)
67-12
(84.8%)
  339-72
(82.5%)
Kansas 62-17
(78.5%)
69-11
(86.3%)
70-15
(82.4%)
78-8
(90.7%)
  279-51
(84.5%)
Kentucky 57-12
(82.6%)
58-11
(84.1%)
65-12
(84.4%)
43-16
(72.9%)
  223-51
(81.4%)
Louisiana 1-0
(100%)
69-19
(78.4%)
83-18
(82.2%)
84-20
(80.8%)
  237-57
(80.6%)
Maine       0-0
(0%)
Maryland       0-0
(0%)
Massachusetts       0-0
(0%)
Michigan 181-38
(82.6%)
177-41
(81.2%)
168-38
(81.6%)
164-34
(82.8%)
  690-151
(82%)
Minnesota  69-30
(69.7%)
69-26
(72.6%)
95-21
(81.9%)
  233-77
(75.2%)
Mississippi 77-27
(74%)
77-18
(81.1%)
96-17
(85%)
91-16
(85%)
  341-78
(81.4%)
Missouri 87-12
(87.9%)
81-20
(80.2%)
87-17
(83.7%)
81-21
(79.4%)
  336-70
(82.8%)
Montana 18-3
(85.7%)
18-2
(90%)
21-2
(91.3%)
19-4
(82.6%)
  76-11
(87.4%)
Nebraska 41-15
(73.2%)
45-10
(81.8%)
43-10
(81.1%)
44-7
(86.3%)
  173-42
(80.5%)
Nevada       0-0
(0%)
New Hampshire 13-4
(76.5%)
14-3
(82.4%)
11-3
(78.6%)
9-3
(75%)
  47-13
(78.3%)
New Jersey 88-35
(71.5%)
89-31
(74.2%)
88-34
(72.1%)
81-22
(78.6%)
  346-122
(73.9%)
New Mexico       0-0
(0%)
New York       0-0
(0%)
North Carolina   1-0
(100%)
   1-0
(100%)
North Dakota 16-6
(72.7%)
20-4
(83.3%)
21-3
(87.5%)
10-3
(76.9%)
  67-16
(80.7%)
Ohio 253-40
(86.3%)
185-37
(83.3%)
177-33
(84.3%)
104-21
(83.2%)
  719-131
(84.6%)
Oklahoma 82-9
(90.1%)
69-14
(83.1%)
75-9
(89.3%)
70-16
(81.4%)
  296-48
(86%)
Oregon       0-0
(0%)
Pennsylvania 147-47
(75.8%)
170-33
(83.7%)
160-37
(81.2%)
176-39
(81.9%)
  653-156
(80.7%)
Rhode Island       0-0
(0%)
South Carolina 74-19
(79.6%)
71-16
(81.6%)
68-20
(77.3%)
80-14
(85.1%)
  293-69
(80.9%)
South Dakota 14-3
(82.4%)
16-4
(80%)
19-3
(86.4%)
16-2
(88.9%)
  65-12
(84.4%)
Tennessee 95-20
(82.6%)
60-11
(84.5%)
97-18
(84.3%)
87-19
(82.1%)
  339-68
(83.3%)
Texas 196-58
(77.2%)
221-41
(84.4%)
196-44
(81.7%)
234-59
(79.9%)
  847-202
(80.7%)
Utah 33-8
(80.5%)
26-7
(78.8%)
28-3
(90.3%)
27-3
(90%)
  114-21
(84.4%)
Vermont       0-0
(0%)
Virginia 1-2
(33.3%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
   3-2
(60%)
Washington       0-0
(0%)
West Virginia 23-9
(71.9%)
17-4
(81%)
20-4
(83.3%)
21-2
(91.3%)
  81-19
(81%)
Wisconsin 35-13
(72.9%)
51-17
(75%)
56-14
(80%)
49-19
(72.1%)
  191-63
(75.2%)
Wyoming 15-4
(78.9%)
17-2
(89.5%)
15-2
(88.2%)
15-3
(83.3%)
  62-11
(84.9%)
Prep Schools 4-2
(66.7%)
1-1
(50%)
4-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
  9-4
(69.2%)
 
NATIONAL 2356-562
(80.7%)
2507-534
(82.4%)
2535-558
(82%)
2445-527
(82.3%)
  9843-2181
(81.9%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the part of the season we pick:  64.1%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 69.6% (in 56 games)