2018 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2017 data


State9/2810/510/1210/19TOTALS
Alabama 164-37
(81.6%)
165-33
(83.3%)
 329-70
(82.5%)
Alaska 6-2
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
 9-3
(75%)
Arizona 85-19
(81.7%)
71-8
(89.9%)
 156-27
(85.2%)
Arkansas 84-15
(84.8%)
83-14
(85.6%)
 167-29
(85.2%)
California 406-73
(84.8%)
377-64
(85.5%)
3-2
(60%)
786-139
(85%)
Colorado 92-6
(93.9%)
84-16
(84%)
 176-22
(88.9%)
Connecticut 34-10
(77.3%)
20-9
(69%)
 54-19
(74%)
Delaware 20-3
(87%)
19-2
(90.5%)
 39-5
(88.6%)
District of Columbia 7-3
(70%)
5-6
(45.5%)
 12-9
(57.1%)
Florida 195-39
(83.3%)
186-40
(82.3%)
 381-79
(82.8%)
Georgia 171-29
(85.5%)
143-26
(84.6%)
 314-55
(85.1%)
Hawaii 17-4
(81%)
19-1
(95%)
 36-5
(87.8%)
Idaho 31-9
(77.5%)
30-8
(78.9%)
 61-17
(78.2%)
Illinois 193-42
(82.1%)
248-40
(86.1%)
 441-82
(84.3%)
Indiana 137-26
(84%)
130-18
(87.8%)
 267-44
(85.9%)
Iowa 114-17
(87%)
117-14
(89.3%)
 231-31
(88.2%)
Kansas 104-13
(88.9%)
95-20
(82.6%)
 199-33
(85.8%)
Kentucky 81-9
(90%)
86-18
(82.7%)
 167-27
(86.1%)
Louisiana 118-20
(85.5%)
118-23
(83.7%)
 236-43
(84.6%)
Maine 34-5
(87.2%)
34-5
(87.2%)
 68-10
(87.2%)
Maryland 86-22
(79.6%)
90-14
(86.5%)
 176-36
(83%)
Massachusetts 115-25
(82.1%)
112-26
(81.2%)
 227-51
(81.7%)
Michigan 226-39
(85.3%)
214-39
(84.6%)
 440-78
(84.9%)
Minnesota 118-24
(83.1%)
117-27
(81.3%)
 235-51
(82.2%)
Mississippi 122-17
(87.8%)
110-30
(78.6%)
 232-47
(83.2%)
Missouri 126-24
(84%)
114-32
(78.1%)
 240-56
(81.1%)
Montana 27-4
(87.1%)
26-4
(86.7%)
 53-8
(86.9%)
Nebraska 57-11
(83.8%)
58-10
(85.3%)
 115-21
(84.6%)
Nevada 27-7
(79.4%)
32-3
(91.4%)
 59-10
(85.5%)
New Hampshire 21-4
(84%)
24-4
(85.7%)
 45-8
(84.9%)
New Jersey 133-23
(85.3%)
117-39
(75%)
 250-62
(80.1%)
New Mexico 38-3
(92.7%)
29-5
(85.3%)
 67-8
(89.3%)
New York 229-52
(81.5%)
220-49
(81.8%)
 449-101
(81.6%)
North Carolina 117-29
(80.1%)
106-24
(81.5%)
 223-53
(80.8%)
North Dakota 24-3
(88.9%)
22-5
(81.5%)
 46-8
(85.2%)
Ohio 298-63
(82.5%)
298-60
(83.2%)
 596-123
(82.9%)
Oklahoma 114-14
(89.1%)
112-17
(86.8%)
 226-31
(87.9%)
Oregon 74-14
(84.1%)
65-20
(76.5%)
 139-34
(80.3%)
Pennsylvania 238-49
(82.9%)
245-40
(86%)
 483-89
(84.4%)
Rhode Island 18-2
(90%)
17-3
(85%)
 35-5
(87.5%)
South Carolina 65-22
(74.7%)
101-10
(91%)
 166-32
(83.8%)
South Dakota 23-5
(82.1%)
26-3
(89.7%)
 49-8
(86%)
Tennessee 123-20
(86%)
97-16
(85.8%)
 220-36
(85.9%)
Texas 333-69
(82.8%)
467-82
(85.1%)
 800-151
(84.1%)
Utah 44-7
(86.3%)
43-8
(84.3%)
 87-15
(85.3%)
Vermont 12-4
(75%)
14-2
(87.5%)
 26-6
(81.3%)
Virginia 136-27
(83.4%)
113-17
(86.9%)
 249-44
(85%)
Washington 114-31
(78.6%)
119-25
(82.6%)
 233-56
(80.6%)
West Virginia 48-7
(87.3%)
48-10
(82.8%)
 96-17
(85%)
Wisconsin 165-31
(84.2%)
168-18
(90.3%)
 333-49
(87.2%)
Wyoming 20-3
(87%)
19-4
(82.6%)
 39-7
(84.8%)
Prep Schools 30-5
(85.7%)
25-12
(67.6%)
 55-17
(76.4%)
 
NATIONAL 5356-1033
(83.8%)
5360-1017
(84.1%)
3-2
(60%)
10719-2052
(83.9%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the part of the season we pick:  59.1%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 86.6% (in 186 games)