2013 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2012 data


State10/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/2912/612/1312/20TOTALS
Alabama178-34
(84%)
183-29
(86.3%)
189-24
(88.7%)
174-37
(82.5%)
167-42
(79.9%)
93-15
(86.1%)
44-10
(81.5%)
22-5
(81.5%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  1062-202
(84%)
Alaska10-5
(66.7%)
7-2
(77.8%)
5-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
        22-9
(71%)
Arizona79-21
(79%)
83-17
(83%)
90-10
(90%)
89-11
(89%)
84-15
(84.8%)
31-7
(81.6%)
17-3
(85%)
 11-4
(73.3%)
   484-88
(84.6%)
Arkansas91-11
(89.2%)
91-11
(89.2%)
81-20
(80.2%)
83-18
(82.2%)
87-15
(85.3%)
84-18
(82.4%)
50-12
(80.6%)
30-6
(83.3%)
13-5
(72.2%)
 6-3
(66.7%)
3-0
(100%)
619-119
(83.9%)
California317-78
(80.3%)
412-88
(82.4%)
412-90
(82.1%)
413-88
(82.4%)
430-71
(85.8%)
431-75
(85.2%)
257-44
(85.4%)
131-42
(75.7%)
68-20
(77.3%)
27-11
(71.1%)
8-3
(72.7%)
5-0
(100%)
2911-610
(82.7%)
Colorado80-24
(76.9%)
88-17
(83.8%)
90-13
(87.4%)
89-14
(86.4%)
74-10
(88.1%)
26-6
(81.3%)
11-5
(68.8%)
6-2
(75%)
2-1
(66.7%)
   466-92
(83.5%)
Connecticut62-10
(86.1%)
55-16
(77.5%)
59-10
(85.5%)
57-11
(83.8%)
61-10
(85.9%)
59-10
(85.5%)
56-11
(83.6%)
18-2
(90%)
49-10
(83.1%)
17-5
(77.3%)
3-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
497-95
(84%)
Delaware20-2
(90.9%)
16-1
(94.1%)
22-4
(84.6%)
17-4
(81%)
14-7
(66.7%)
16-4
(80%)
5-1
(83.3%)
4-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
   116-23
(83.5%)
District of Columbia13-2
(86.7%)
13-2
(86.7%)
17-1
(94.4%)
14-1
(93.3%)
14-0
(100%)
7-2
(77.8%)
6-1
(85.7%)
3-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
  89-10
(89.9%)
Florida195-49
(79.9%)
188-39
(82.8%)
215-30
(87.8%)
188-39
(82.8%)
199-47
(80.9%)
177-35
(83.5%)
77-18
(81.1%)
33-15
(68.8%)
15-9
(62.5%)
10-2
(83.3%)
3-1
(75%)
 1300-284
(82.1%)
Georgia153-23
(86.9%)
148-39
(79.1%)
184-27
(87.2%)
184-26
(87.6%)
172-40
(81.1%)
181-32
(85%)
76-14
(84.4%)
47-15
(75.8%)
22-9
(71%)
9-5
(64.3%)
4-3
(57.1%)
 1180-233
(83.5%)
Hawaii18-2
(90%)
15-1
(93.8%)
12-3
(80%)
6-1
(85.7%)
5-0
(100%)
4-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
2-0
(100%)
    65-8
(89%)
Idaho33-8
(80.5%)
33-7
(82.5%)
26-12
(68.4%)
34-8
(81%)
33-4
(89.2%)
13-3
(81.3%)
6-2
(75%)
2-2
(50%)
    180-46
(79.6%)
Illinois225-60
(78.9%)
239-47
(83.6%)
241-42
(85.2%)
230-54
(81%)
110-18
(85.9%)
49-17
(74.2%)
27-8
(77.1%)
13-7
(65%)
6-3
(66.7%)
   1140-256
(81.7%)
Indiana139-25
(84.8%)
131-31
(80.9%)
143-20
(87.7%)
126-23
(84.6%)
72-17
(80.9%)
36-9
(80%)
17-6
(73.9%)
8-2
(80%)
5-1
(83.3%)
   677-134
(83.5%)
Iowa102-23
(81.6%)
112-13
(89.6%)
107-17
(86.3%)
105-20
(84%)
73-7
(91.3%)
46-14
(76.7%)
9-1
(90%)
4-1
(80%)
    558-96
(85.3%)
Kansas95-19
(83.3%)
98-22
(81.7%)
97-20
(82.9%)
99-16
(86.1%)
99-17
(85.3%)
58-14
(80.6%)
16-4
(80%)
7-3
(70%)
3-2
(60%)
   572-117
(83%)
Kentucky67-17
(79.8%)
83-10
(89.2%)
73-18
(80.2%)
80-14
(85.1%)
76-17
(81.7%)
91-3
(96.8%)
41-7
(85.4%)
20-4
(83.3%)
9-3
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  544-95
(85.1%)
Louisiana109-33
(76.8%)
114-29
(79.7%)
119-24
(83.2%)
119-23
(83.8%)
121-21
(85.2%)
128-12
(91.4%)
84-15
(84.8%)
46-14
(76.7%)
22-8
(73.3%)
7-5
(58.3%)
6-3
(66.7%)
 875-187
(82.4%)
Maine27-11
(71.1%)
30-7
(81.1%)
34-4
(89.5%)
32-6
(84.2%)
15-5
(75%)
13-3
(81.3%)
7-1
(87.5%)
2-2
(50%)
1-0
(100%)
   161-39
(80.5%)
Maryland95-15
(86.4%)
74-19
(79.6%)
102-25
(80.3%)
91-16
(85%)
98-11
(89.9%)
77-24
(76.2%)
29-4
(87.9%)
10-6
(62.5%)
8-2
(80%)
2-2
(50%)
  586-124
(82.5%)
Massachusetts101-34
(74.8%)
108-33
(76.6%)
116-24
(82.9%)
115-19
(85.8%)
114-24
(82.6%)
109-35
(75.7%)
102-40
(71.8%)
8-2
(80%)
107-26
(80.5%)
5-3
(62.5%)
  885-240
(78.7%)
Michigan254-44
(85.2%)
244-49
(83.3%)
231-44
(84%)
205-52
(79.8%)
105-24
(81.4%)
48-16
(75%)
23-9
(71.9%)
13-3
(81.3%)
3-5
(37.5%)
   1126-246
(82.1%)
Minnesota114-35
(76.5%)
124-24
(83.8%)
116-26
(81.7%)
164-32
(83.7%)
31-16
(66%)
17-7
(70.8%)
10-2
(83.3%)
 5-1
(83.3%)
   581-143
(80.2%)
Mississippi131-22
(85.6%)
122-30
(80.3%)
125-24
(83.9%)
127-25
(83.6%)
122-22
(84.7%)
92-20
(82.1%)
40-16
(71.4%)
18-10
(64.3%)
9-3
(75%)
5-1
(83.3%)
  791-173
(82.1%)
Missouri137-30
(82%)
148-19
(88.6%)
150-16
(90.4%)
142-23
(86.1%)
141-17
(89.2%)
72-16
(81.8%)
49-15
(76.6%)
9-3
(75%)
7-0
(100%)
   855-139
(86%)
Montana28-6
(82.4%)
31-5
(86.1%)
33-3
(91.7%)
34-1
(97.1%)
15-4
(78.9%)
9-3
(75%)
6-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
    159-22
(87.8%)
Nebraska58-13
(81.7%)
66-13
(83.5%)
66-12
(84.6%)
68-10
(87.2%)
42-6
(87.5%)
17-7
(70.8%)
9-3
(75%)
1-3
(25%)
3-1
(75%)
   330-68
(82.9%)
Nevada26-6
(81.3%)
30-4
(88.2%)
33-3
(91.7%)
29-5
(85.3%)
28-3
(90.3%)
16-6
(72.7%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
  180-30
(85.7%)
New Hampshire22-5
(81.5%)
25-3
(89.3%)
19-8
(70.4%)
20-8
(71.4%)
25-3
(89.3%)
6-6
(50%)
6-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
   129-33
(79.6%)
New Jersey133-22
(85.8%)
115-37
(75.7%)
130-36
(78.3%)
127-31
(80.4%)
140-17
(89.2%)
130-25
(83.9%)
79-15
(84%)
38-11
(77.6%)
60-19
(75.9%)
14-10
(58.3%)
  966-223
(81.2%)
New Mexico37-5
(88.1%)
31-13
(70.5%)
31-10
(75.6%)
34-9
(79.1%)
33-7
(82.5%)
35-5
(87.5%)
11-6
(64.7%)
14-2
(87.5%)
5-4
(55.6%)
2-2
(50%)
  233-63
(78.7%)
New York241-55
(81.4%)
241-70
(77.5%)
243-55
(81.5%)
243-52
(82.4%)
182-53
(77.4%)
77-18
(81.1%)
36-14
(72%)
17-7
(70.8%)
8-3
(72.7%)
 1-0
(100%)
 1289-327
(79.8%)
North Carolina116-30
(79.5%)
154-29
(84.2%)
168-21
(88.9%)
150-38
(79.8%)
142-32
(81.6%)
164-37
(81.6%)
107-24
(81.7%)
53-12
(81.5%)
24-8
(75%)
14-2
(87.5%)
5-3
(62.5%)
 1097-236
(82.3%)
North Dakota24-4
(85.7%)
24-7
(77.4%)
23-7
(76.7%)
18-5
(78.3%)
11-1
(91.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
1-2
(33.3%)
     105-28
(78.9%)
Ohio315-48
(86.8%)
295-66
(81.7%)
311-53
(85.4%)
303-61
(83.2%)
324-41
(88.8%)
91-20
(82%)
41-15
(73.2%)
24-4
(85.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
6-1
(85.7%)
  1721-312
(84.7%)
Oklahoma114-18
(86.4%)
118-13
(90.1%)
113-17
(86.9%)
105-25
(80.8%)
114-17
(87%)
104-29
(78.2%)
61-11
(84.7%)
26-10
(72.2%)
15-3
(83.3%)
 8-1
(88.9%)
1-2
(33.3%)
779-146
(84.2%)
Oregon73-16
(82%)
73-15
(83%)
71-18
(79.8%)
76-12
(86.4%)
48-8
(85.7%)
42-6
(87.5%)
20-4
(83.3%)
6-6
(50%)
3-3
(50%)
1-0
(100%)
  413-88
(82.4%)
Pennsylvania235-47
(83.3%)
220-38
(85.3%)
252-55
(82.1%)
247-39
(86.4%)
197-42
(82.4%)
109-29
(79%)
48-18
(72.7%)
18-11
(62.1%)
30-11
(73.2%)
6-2
(75%)
2-2
(50%)
 1364-294
(82.3%)
Rhode Island16-4
(80%)
18-4
(81.8%)
14-4
(77.8%)
16-4
(80%)
17-3
(85%)
19-2
(90.5%)
13-4
(76.5%)
0-2
(0%)
14-5
(73.7%)
8-2
(80%)
  135-34
(79.9%)
South Carolina86-22
(79.6%)
91-19
(82.7%)
89-21
(80.9%)
94-18
(83.9%)
90-22
(80.4%)
72-12
(85.7%)
40-14
(74.1%)
20-7
(74.1%)
7-5
(58.3%)
4-1
(80%)
  593-141
(80.8%)
South Dakota11-4
(73.3%)
27-4
(87.1%)
23-5
(82.1%)
24-0
(100%)
20-3
(87%)
16-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
     124-17
(87.9%)
Tennessee131-18
(87.9%)
108-25
(81.2%)
114-22
(83.8%)
120-29
(80.5%)
122-35
(77.7%)
76-11
(87.4%)
39-17
(69.6%)
23-5
(82.1%)
8-4
(66.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
  748-167
(81.7%)
Texas374-74
(83.5%)
439-101
(81.3%)
440-93
(82.6%)
460-83
(84.7%)
448-87
(83.7%)
447-83
(84.3%)
253-58
(81.4%)
136-32
(81%)
58-31
(65.2%)
19-9
(67.9%)
29-7
(80.6%)
7-3
(70%)
3110-661
(82.5%)
Utah40-11
(78.4%)
39-10
(79.6%)
41-8
(83.7%)
38-9
(80.9%)
28-4
(87.5%)
14-4
(77.8%)
8-1
(88.9%)
1-2
(33.3%)
    209-49
(81%)
Vermont14-2
(87.5%)
14-3
(82.4%)
15-1
(93.8%)
11-1
(91.7%)
6-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
      62-8
(88.6%)
Virginia139-30
(82.2%)
119-28
(81%)
161-29
(84.7%)
138-30
(82.1%)
136-31
(81.4%)
133-19
(87.5%)
85-15
(85%)
37-11
(77.1%)
18-6
(75%)
10-2
(83.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
 980-203
(82.8%)
Washington124-20
(86.1%)
121-25
(82.9%)
123-23
(84.2%)
122-20
(85.9%)
114-29
(79.7%)
80-25
(76.2%)
31-9
(77.5%)
16-4
(80%)
9-1
(90%)
2-3
(40%)
  742-159
(82.4%)
West Virginia50-7
(87.7%)
50-8
(86.2%)
54-3
(94.7%)
47-9
(83.9%)
52-8
(86.7%)
45-4
(91.8%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
3-0
(100%)
  335-47
(87.7%)
Wisconsin168-29
(85.3%)
163-31
(84%)
157-37
(80.9%)
96-16
(85.7%)
45-11
(80.4%)
21-7
(75%)
9-5
(64.3%)
4-3
(57.1%)
    663-139
(82.7%)
Wyoming12-4
(75%)
23-7
(76.7%)
21-3
(87.5%)
18-6
(75%)
14-2
(87.5%)
6-2
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
     97-25
(79.5%)
Prep Schools25-14
(64.1%)
29-9
(76.3%)
34-7
(82.9%)
27-11
(71.1%)
36-5
(87.8%)
28-8
(77.8%)
4-1
(80%)
 1-0
(100%)
   184-55
(77%)
 
NATIONAL5398-1134
(82.6%)
5582-1176
(82.6%)
5799-1091
(84.2%)
5621-1108
(83.5%)
4910-942
(83.9%)
3714-767
(82.9%)
2004-494
(80.2%)
911-281
(76.4%)
657-223
(74.7%)
187-74
(71.6%)
79-28
(73.8%)
17-5
(77.3%)
34879-7323
(82.6%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  68.1%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)