2010 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2009 data


State8/68/138/208/279/39/109/179/2410/110/810/1510/2210/2911/511/1211/1911/2612/312/1012/17TOTALS
Alabama   75-26
(74.3%)
78-20
(79.6%)
179-36
(83.3%)
167-44
(79.1%)
167-43
(79.5%)
179-32
(84.8%)
179-34
(84%)
184-29
(86.4%)
180-31
(85.3%)
173-33
(84%)
86-22
(79.6%)
41-13
(75.9%)
22-5
(81.5%)
11-1
(91.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  1725-371
(82.3%)
Alaska4-1
(80%)
5-4
(55.6%)
13-2
(86.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
12-3
(80%)
15-1
(93.8%)
13-2
(86.7%)
14-2
(87.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
4-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
         100-20
(83.3%)
Arizona  1-0
(100%)
45-11
(80.4%)
63-16
(79.7%)
73-17
(81.1%)
78-13
(85.7%)
82-11
(88.2%)
77-17
(81.9%)
78-17
(82.1%)
73-18
(80.2%)
75-17
(81.5%)
71-17
(80.7%)
64-11
(85.3%)
32-9
(78%)
17-3
(85%)
4-2
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
 2-0
(100%)
839-181
(82.3%)
Arkansas    54-21
(72%)
53-21
(71.6%)
77-24
(76.2%)
83-21
(79.8%)
79-23
(77.5%)
87-16
(84.5%)
91-13
(87.5%)
88-15
(85.4%)
85-17
(83.3%)
89-14
(86.4%)
47-10
(82.5%)
28-8
(77.8%)
15-3
(83.3%)
8-1
(88.9%)
2-1
(66.7%)
 886-208
(81%)
California   31-21
(59.6%)
245-95
(72.1%)
313-131
(70.5%)
369-105
(77.8%)
365-108
(77.2%)
382-95
(80.1%)
352-91
(79.5%)
400-103
(79.5%)
413-88
(82.4%)
408-96
(81%)
424-82
(83.8%)
384-76
(83.5%)
202-40
(83.5%)
116-31
(78.9%)
48-21
(69.6%)
21-7
(75%)
3-2
(60%)
4476-1192
(79%)
Colorado   6-2
(75%)
51-14
(78.5%)
53-20
(72.6%)
79-24
(76.7%)
84-18
(82.4%)
86-18
(82.7%)
87-15
(85.3%)
83-22
(79%)
85-19
(81.7%)
91-10
(90.1%)
67-23
(74.4%)
29-7
(80.6%)
16-2
(88.9%)
7-2
(77.8%)
3-1
(75%)
  827-197
(80.8%)
Connecticut      27-9
(75%)
31-8
(79.5%)
56-9
(86.2%)
61-11
(84.7%)
58-10
(85.3%)
54-17
(76.1%)
58-9
(86.6%)
58-12
(82.9%)
55-11
(83.3%)
13-5
(72.2%)
45-19
(70.3%)
22-2
(91.7%)
3-1
(75%)
 541-123
(81.5%)
Delaware     15-6
(71.4%)
13-8
(61.9%)
21-3
(87.5%)
16-4
(80%)
22-5
(81.5%)
20-4
(83.3%)
17-6
(73.9%)
18-6
(75%)
19-4
(82.6%)
16-6
(72.7%)
2-2
(50%)
2-2
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
  183-56
(76.6%)
District of Columbia   6-1
(85.7%)
9-4
(69.2%)
10-2
(83.3%)
16-1
(94.1%)
10-1
(90.9%)
10-1
(90.9%)
8-2
(80%)
9-2
(81.8%)
10-1
(90.9%)
10-1
(90.9%)
9-1
(90%)
2-1
(66.7%)
1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
   110-19
(85.3%)
Florida   3-1
(75%)
108-47
(69.7%)
113-38
(74.8%)
151-45
(77%)
189-33
(85.1%)
166-43
(79.4%)
189-31
(85.9%)
152-39
(79.6%)
180-34
(84.1%)
166-43
(79.4%)
186-40
(82.3%)
160-30
(84.2%)
80-16
(83.3%)
42-6
(87.5%)
17-7
(70.8%)
8-4
(66.7%)
2-2
(50%)
1912-459
(80.6%)
Georgia  12-6
(66.7%)
66-39
(62.9%)
65-38
(63.1%)
152-35
(81.3%)
162-35
(82.2%)
155-32
(82.9%)
148-37
(80%)
164-37
(81.6%)
173-34
(83.6%)
161-46
(77.8%)
178-30
(85.6%)
98-36
(73.1%)
80-13
(86%)
37-9
(80.4%)
17-6
(73.9%)
5-5
(50%)
3-2
(60%)
 1676-440
(79.2%)
Hawaii 4-0
(100%)
9-3
(75%)
11-4
(73.3%)
15-6
(71.4%)
16-5
(76.2%)
16-4
(80%)
15-4
(78.9%)
11-8
(57.9%)
19-2
(90.5%)
14-2
(87.5%)
10-4
(71.4%)
12-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
2-0
(100%)
   163-44
(78.7%)
Idaho   4-9
(30.8%)
16-5
(76.2%)
17-8
(68%)
32-10
(76.2%)
32-11
(74.4%)
29-7
(80.6%)
30-9
(76.9%)
36-7
(83.7%)
35-8
(81.4%)
29-5
(85.3%)
14-2
(87.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
3-1
(75%)
    284-83
(77.4%)
Illinois   102-31
(76.7%)
103-28
(78.6%)
225-54
(80.6%)
225-54
(80.6%)
230-48
(82.7%)
237-40
(85.6%)
237-40
(85.6%)
238-36
(86.9%)
221-48
(82.2%)
106-21
(83.5%)
55-9
(85.9%)
26-7
(78.8%)
14-6
(70%)
7-2
(77.8%)
   2026-424
(82.7%)
Indiana  118-38
(75.6%)
128-33
(79.5%)
129-29
(81.6%)
128-31
(80.5%)
128-31
(80.5%)
130-27
(82.8%)
128-29
(81.5%)
137-22
(86.2%)
131-27
(82.9%)
133-22
(85.8%)
70-11
(86.4%)
28-13
(68.3%)
19-2
(90.5%)
9-2
(81.8%)
4-1
(80%)
   1420-318
(81.7%)
Iowa  10-5
(66.7%)
92-33
(73.6%)
91-35
(72.2%)
116-24
(82.9%)
117-26
(81.8%)
121-21
(85.2%)
125-18
(87.4%)
122-21
(85.3%)
121-21
(85.2%)
124-20
(86.1%)
65-15
(81.3%)
38-10
(79.2%)
13-5
(72.2%)
7-2
(77.8%)
    1162-256
(81.9%)
Kansas    81-32
(71.7%)
85-23
(78.7%)
103-19
(84.4%)
99-20
(83.2%)
99-21
(82.5%)
102-14
(87.9%)
100-16
(86.2%)
97-19
(83.6%)
105-13
(89%)
61-11
(84.7%)
14-6
(70%)
7-3
(70%)
4-1
(80%)
   957-198
(82.9%)
Kentucky  58-15
(79.5%)
78-21
(78.8%)
82-17
(82.8%)
90-17
(84.1%)
84-22
(79.2%)
85-21
(80.2%)
75-22
(77.3%)
85-10
(89.5%)
84-15
(84.8%)
83-17
(83%)
88-12
(88%)
78-15
(83.9%)
43-5
(89.6%)
22-2
(91.7%)
9-3
(75%)
5-1
(83.3%)
  1049-215
(83%)
Louisiana   1-0
(100%)
49-20
(71%)
56-14
(80%)
100-36
(73.5%)
102-34
(75%)
111-20
(84.7%)
106-29
(78.5%)
121-12
(91%)
117-17
(87.3%)
110-23
(82.7%)
114-19
(85.7%)
68-11
(86.1%)
29-11
(72.5%)
14-6
(70%)
9-1
(90%)
2-3
(40%)
 1109-256
(81.2%)
Maine    11-2
(84.6%)
10-3
(76.9%)
29-8
(78.4%)
32-5
(86.5%)
28-7
(80%)
28-7
(80%)
28-8
(77.8%)
29-7
(80.6%)
20-5
(80%)
10-2
(83.3%)
6-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    233-55
(80.9%)
Maryland   4-1
(80%)
61-22
(73.5%)
69-19
(78.4%)
94-14
(87%)
92-22
(80.7%)
91-15
(85.8%)
91-23
(79.8%)
91-15
(85.8%)
92-15
(86%)
93-17
(84.5%)
88-17
(83.8%)
25-11
(69.4%)
13-4
(76.5%)
4-5
(44.4%)
4-0
(100%)
  912-200
(82%)
Massachusetts     30-10
(75%)
29-11
(72.5%)
104-27
(79.4%)
112-29
(79.4%)
115-23
(83.3%)
120-18
(87%)
118-21
(84.9%)
113-26
(81.3%)
122-19
(86.5%)
111-25
(81.6%)
12-0
(100%)
100-29
(77.5%)
34-9
(79.1%)
  1120-247
(81.9%)
Michigan   86-34
(71.7%)
91-22
(80.5%)
234-56
(80.7%)
231-56
(80.5%)
228-57
(80%)
236-50
(82.5%)
233-55
(80.9%)
223-41
(84.5%)
222-52
(81%)
94-34
(73.4%)
40-23
(63.5%)
22-10
(68.8%)
11-5
(68.8%)
4-4
(50%)
   1955-499
(79.7%)
Minnesota    29-14
(67.4%)
32-5
(86.5%)
121-30
(80.1%)
125-23
(84.5%)
122-29
(80.8%)
117-32
(78.5%)
126-24
(84%)
123-20
(86%)
184-32
(85.2%)
31-9
(77.5%)
15-3
(83.3%)
10-2
(83.3%)
4-1
(80%)
   1039-224
(82.3%)
Mississippi  58-25
(69.9%)
87-34
(71.9%)
101-35
(74.3%)
123-26
(82.6%)
109-23
(82.6%)
124-24
(83.8%)
119-32
(78.8%)
130-24
(84.4%)
128-22
(85.3%)
126-22
(85.1%)
131-18
(87.9%)
103-11
(90.4%)
44-12
(78.6%)
24-4
(85.7%)
12-2
(85.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  1423-316
(81.8%)
Missouri   53-16
(76.8%)
53-18
(74.6%)
134-25
(84.3%)
128-31
(80.5%)
135-24
(84.9%)
135-23
(85.4%)
122-31
(79.7%)
140-21
(87%)
135-22
(86%)
136-23
(85.5%)
63-14
(81.8%)
53-11
(82.8%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
   1299-265
(83.1%)
Montana   7-3
(70%)
11-3
(78.6%)
17-3
(85%)
24-12
(66.7%)
30-6
(83.3%)
35-3
(92.1%)
32-6
(84.2%)
31-8
(79.5%)
27-10
(73%)
14-5
(73.7%)
11-1
(91.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
1-2
(33.3%)
    244-64
(79.2%)
Nebraska   14-7
(66.7%)
24-8
(75%)
35-11
(76.1%)
54-19
(74%)
60-20
(75%)
72-8
(90%)
70-10
(87.5%)
64-16
(80%)
67-13
(83.8%)
38-10
(79.2%)
19-5
(79.2%)
9-3
(75%)
4-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
   532-132
(80.1%)
Nevada  1-0
(100%)
20-9
(69%)
22-8
(73.3%)
31-3
(91.2%)
28-8
(77.8%)
25-11
(69.4%)
28-6
(82.4%)
29-7
(80.6%)
32-3
(91.4%)
27-6
(81.8%)
26-8
(76.5%)
20-4
(83.3%)
8-4
(66.7%)
6-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
1-0
(100%)
  304-79
(79.4%)
New Hampshire    6-2
(75%)
6-3
(66.7%)
20-7
(74.1%)
22-6
(78.6%)
25-4
(86.2%)
18-10
(64.3%)
21-8
(72.4%)
23-5
(82.1%)
21-7
(75%)
17-2
(89.5%)
6-3
(66.7%)
3-0
(100%)
5-0
(100%)
   193-57
(77.2%)
New Jersey     85-35
(70.8%)
94-26
(78.3%)
127-29
(81.4%)
128-33
(79.5%)
125-37
(77.2%)
121-33
(78.6%)
132-19
(87.4%)
127-30
(80.9%)
129-30
(81.1%)
123-38
(76.4%)
34-8
(81%)
71-17
(80.7%)
15-4
(78.9%)
  1311-339
(79.5%)
New Mexico   24-6
(80%)
27-11
(71.1%)
43-10
(81.1%)
39-11
(78%)
44-6
(88%)
33-11
(75%)
33-10
(76.7%)
39-5
(88.6%)
34-12
(73.9%)
45-3
(93.8%)
23-9
(71.9%)
16-2
(88.9%)
11-4
(73.3%)
4-3
(57.1%)
1-2
(33.3%)
  416-105
(79.8%)
New York    36-15
(70.6%)
71-28
(71.7%)
166-69
(70.6%)
244-70
(77.7%)
241-75
(76.3%)
251-63
(79.9%)
246-64
(79.4%)
245-61
(80.1%)
216-44
(83.1%)
102-24
(81%)
46-15
(75.4%)
20-8
(71.4%)
14-2
(87.5%)
 1-0
(100%)
 1899-538
(77.9%)
North Carolina  92-29
(76%)
100-30
(76.9%)
129-29
(81.6%)
139-45
(75.5%)
136-38
(78.2%)
143-39
(78.6%)
116-21
(84.7%)
175-30
(85.4%)
160-24
(87%)
165-21
(88.7%)
144-39
(78.7%)
143-36
(79.9%)
107-23
(82.3%)
47-18
(72.3%)
23-8
(74.2%)
11-5
(68.8%)
6-2
(75%)
 1836-437
(80.8%)
North Dakota   17-6
(73.9%)
17-4
(81%)
25-6
(80.6%)
26-4
(86.7%)
26-5
(83.9%)
28-3
(90.3%)
25-6
(80.6%)
26-4
(86.7%)
17-4
(81%)
9-3
(75%)
3-3
(50%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     221-49
(81.9%)
Ohio   162-60
(73%)
161-52
(75.6%)
280-87
(76.3%)
291-73
(79.9%)
299-66
(81.9%)
316-50
(86.3%)
309-52
(85.6%)
300-63
(82.6%)
311-54
(85.2%)
305-55
(84.7%)
74-22
(77.1%)
36-12
(75%)
17-7
(70.8%)
9-3
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  2874-658
(81.4%)
Oklahoma    87-31
(73.7%)
86-31
(73.5%)
111-28
(79.9%)
109-24
(82%)
115-18
(86.5%)
113-19
(85.6%)
107-24
(81.7%)
107-24
(81.7%)
112-18
(86.2%)
115-15
(88.5%)
57-15
(79.2%)
27-9
(75%)
14-4
(77.8%)
6-3
(66.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
 1168-264
(81.6%)
Oregon    43-19
(69.4%)
51-21
(70.8%)
65-23
(73.9%)
73-21
(77.7%)
72-21
(77.4%)
67-26
(72%)
84-8
(91.3%)
80-12
(87%)
67-9
(88.2%)
60-13
(82.2%)
38-10
(79.2%)
21-3
(87.5%)
9-3
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
1-0
(100%)
 735-191
(79.4%)
Pennsylvania    186-68
(73.2%)
195-69
(73.9%)
222-72
(75.5%)
241-59
(80.3%)
237-58
(80.3%)
254-45
(84.9%)
254-46
(84.7%)
255-43
(85.6%)
246-48
(83.7%)
199-39
(83.6%)
108-31
(77.7%)
43-20
(68.3%)
40-17
(70.2%)
14-2
(87.5%)
8-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
2504-619
(80.2%)
Rhode Island     14-7
(66.7%)
12-7
(63.2%)
15-5
(75%)
16-4
(80%)
17-4
(81%)
10-8
(55.6%)
14-6
(70%)
17-4
(81%)
15-5
(75%)
13-4
(76.5%)
0-1
(0%)
15-6
(71.4%)
11-1
(91.7%)
  169-62
(73.2%)
South Carolina  11-4
(73.3%)
41-8
(83.7%)
55-20
(73.3%)
83-24
(77.6%)
78-27
(74.3%)
75-30
(71.4%)
90-19
(82.6%)
97-18
(84.3%)
97-17
(85.1%)
97-17
(85.1%)
91-22
(80.5%)
72-12
(85.7%)
40-6
(87%)
17-6
(73.9%)
9-1
(90%)
1-3
(25%)
  954-234
(80.3%)
South Dakota   11-10
(52.4%)
22-6
(78.6%)
21-9
(70%)
26-6
(81.3%)
25-6
(80.6%)
28-3
(90.3%)
27-5
(84.4%)
28-4
(87.5%)
27-3
(90%)
21-2
(91.3%)
14-4
(77.8%)
3-0
(100%)
     253-58
(81.4%)
Tennessee  71-24
(74.7%)
94-34
(73.4%)
111-33
(77.1%)
122-35
(77.7%)
129-35
(78.7%)
123-26
(82.6%)
130-31
(80.7%)
122-25
(83%)
129-21
(86%)
121-29
(80.7%)
137-23
(85.6%)
70-18
(79.5%)
47-9
(83.9%)
23-5
(82.1%)
8-4
(66.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
  1444-353
(80.4%)
Texas   254-108
(70.2%)
306-123
(71.3%)
402-150
(72.8%)
368-100
(78.6%)
425-112
(79.1%)
323-89
(78.4%)
450-81
(84.7%)
433-96
(81.9%)
436-100
(81.3%)
458-81
(85%)
430-93
(82.2%)
220-51
(81.2%)
134-34
(79.8%)
63-21
(75%)
32-10
(76.2%)
16-3
(84.2%)
4-5
(44.4%)
4754-1257
(79.1%)
Utah  30-15
(66.7%)
39-10
(79.6%)
44-8
(84.6%)
41-10
(80.4%)
41-9
(82%)
42-6
(87.5%)
40-9
(81.6%)
38-9
(80.9%)
36-7
(83.7%)
35-6
(85.4%)
26-6
(81.3%)
14-2
(87.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
1-2
(33.3%)
    434-100
(81.3%)
Vermont    1-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
12-6
(66.7%)
11-7
(61.1%)
10-3
(76.9%)
13-7
(65%)
9-8
(52.9%)
14-3
(82.4%)
17-0
(100%)
6-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
     98-34
(74.2%)
Virginia   45-13
(77.6%)
89-22
(80.2%)
117-32
(78.5%)
124-33
(79%)
127-43
(74.7%)
135-32
(80.8%)
139-34
(80.3%)
149-28
(84.2%)
145-30
(82.9%)
139-33
(80.8%)
143-27
(84.1%)
86-12
(87.8%)
44-7
(86.3%)
20-4
(83.3%)
9-3
(75%)
3-3
(50%)
 1514-356
(81%)
Washington    57-23
(71.3%)
53-27
(66.3%)
114-28
(80.3%)
110-33
(76.9%)
122-28
(81.3%)
127-22
(85.2%)
120-30
(80%)
124-25
(83.2%)
124-24
(83.8%)
78-25
(75.7%)
33-9
(78.6%)
13-7
(65%)
5-2
(71.4%)
5-3
(62.5%)
  1085-286
(79.1%)
West Virginia   42-11
(79.2%)
42-13
(76.4%)
51-11
(82.3%)
49-14
(77.8%)
44-16
(73.3%)
46-16
(74.2%)
52-6
(89.7%)
51-10
(83.6%)
49-9
(84.5%)
49-12
(80.3%)
42-6
(87.5%)
20-4
(83.3%)
8-4
(66.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
 553-133
(80.6%)
Wisconsin   47-17
(73.4%)
53-19
(73.6%)
168-41
(80.4%)
174-38
(82.1%)
174-40
(81.3%)
177-33
(84.3%)
178-35
(83.6%)
181-32
(85%)
176-29
(85.9%)
132-27
(83%)
22-6
(78.6%)
11-3
(78.6%)
6-1
(85.7%)
    1499-321
(82.4%)
Wyoming   2-2
(50%)
11-0
(100%)
11-2
(84.6%)
22-4
(84.6%)
20-6
(76.9%)
23-3
(88.5%)
22-4
(84.6%)
22-4
(84.6%)
22-3
(88%)
13-3
(81.3%)
8-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
     178-33
(84.4%)
Prep Schools   1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
7-0
(100%)
6-4
(60%)
19-9
(67.9%)
18-8
(69.2%)
33-7
(82.5%)
37-6
(86%)
32-13
(71.1%)
35-8
(81.4%)
37-7
(84.1%)
24-8
(75%)
4-1
(80%)
    253-72
(77.8%)
 
NATIONAL4-1
(80%)
9-4
(69.2%)
471-164
(74.2%)
1733-627
(73.4%)
3030-1028
(74.7%)
4365-1291
(77.2%)
5025-1355
(78.8%)
5432-1321
(80.4%)
5419-1204
(81.8%)
5679-1172
(82.9%)
5690-1124
(83.5%)
5675-1135
(83.3%)
5220-1031
(83.5%)
3797-824
(82.2%)
2380-553
(81.1%)
1075-285
(79%)
742-227
(76.6%)
292-95
(75.5%)
77-27
(74%)
13-11
(54.2%)
56128-13479
(80.6%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  71.1%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)