2008 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2007 data


State10/1710/2410/3111/711/1411/2111/2812/512/1212/19TOTALS
Alabama187-27
(87.4%)
174-36
(82.9%)
166-43
(79.4%)
87-20
(81.3%)
41-13
(75.9%)
22-4
(84.6%)
9-3
(75%)
6-0
(100%)
  1057-208
(83.6%)
Alaska2-0
(100%)
         11-3
(78.6%)
Arizona77-15
(83.7%)
79-14
(84.9%)
76-16
(82.6%)
67-6
(91.8%)
35-5
(87.5%)
16-4
(80%)
4-2
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
2-0
(100%)
 519-86
(85.8%)
Arkansas81-22
(78.6%)
85-17
(83.3%)
86-16
(84.3%)
88-15
(85.4%)
35-15
(70%)
26-10
(72.2%)
15-3
(83.3%)
7-2
(77.8%)
2-1
(66.7%)
 598-133
(81.8%)
California419-83
(83.5%)
413-81
(83.6%)
409-86
(82.6%)
423-70
(85.8%)
398-84
(82.6%)
185-46
(80.1%)
106-39
(73.1%)
56-14
(80%)
21-7
(75%)
3-2
(60%)
3172-706
(81.8%)
Colorado86-20
(81.1%)
94-12
(88.7%)
80-11
(87.9%)
25-11
(69.4%)
12-6
(66.7%)
8-1
(88.9%)
4-0
(100%)
   487-95
(83.7%)
Connecticut62-9
(87.3%)
59-11
(84.3%)
55-13
(80.9%)
51-17
(75%)
56-9
(86.2%)
13-7
(65%)
54-14
(79.4%)
13-5
(72.2%)
  474-113
(80.7%)
Delaware18-3
(85.7%)
17-5
(77.3%)
13-9
(59.1%)
19-4
(82.6%)
2-1
(66.7%)
3-2
(60%)
2-0
(100%)
   105-37
(73.9%)
District of Columbia12-4
(75%)
14-1
(93.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
12-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
0-1
(0%)
0-1
(0%)
   72-18
(80%)
Florida175-43
(80.3%)
199-45
(81.6%)
197-39
(83.5%)
204-37
(84.6%)
167-41
(80.3%)
76-19
(80%)
34-14
(70.8%)
16-8
(66.7%)
10-2
(83.3%)
2-2
(50%)
1447-343
(80.8%)
Georgia169-28
(85.8%)
168-36
(82.4%)
178-26
(87.3%)
141-21
(87%)
67-25
(72.8%)
39-7
(84.8%)
13-10
(56.5%)
5-5
(50%)
4-1
(80%)
 1094-227
(82.8%)
Hawaii14-3
(82.4%)
14-2
(87.5%)
13-0
(100%)
13-1
(92.9%)
0-1
(0%)
3-1
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
2-0
(100%)
  90-18
(83.3%)
Idaho32-9
(78%)
34-8
(81%)
28-5
(84.8%)
14-2
(87.5%)
4-4
(50%)
2-2
(50%)
    179-46
(79.6%)
Illinois240-34
(87.6%)
230-45
(83.6%)
105-28
(78.9%)
52-18
(74.3%)
24-10
(70.6%)
14-6
(70%)
8-1
(88.9%)
   1130-235
(82.8%)
Indiana136-23
(85.5%)
142-16
(89.9%)
66-15
(81.5%)
35-5
(87.5%)
16-4
(80%)
8-2
(80%)
2-3
(40%)
   676-117
(85.2%)
Iowa127-22
(85.2%)
127-20
(86.4%)
64-16
(80%)
50-10
(83.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
9-0
(100%)
    627-121
(83.8%)
Kansas95-24
(79.8%)
108-13
(89.3%)
97-23
(80.8%)
69-17
(80.2%)
12-8
(60%)
5-5
(50%)
4-1
(80%)
   597-130
(82.1%)
Kentucky85-11
(88.5%)
84-20
(80.8%)
83-18
(82.2%)
74-21
(77.9%)
87-9
(90.6%)
36-12
(75%)
21-3
(87.5%)
6-6
(50%)
5-1
(83.3%)
 634-142
(81.7%)
Louisiana115-24
(82.7%)
110-27
(80.3%)
116-22
(84.1%)
113-25
(81.9%)
69-11
(86.3%)
36-4
(90%)
15-5
(75%)
7-3
(70%)
5-0
(100%)
 798-184
(81.3%)
Maine30-5
(85.7%)
30-6
(83.3%)
25-1
(96.2%)
8-4
(66.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    161-29
(84.7%)
Maryland88-21
(80.7%)
88-18
(83%)
89-19
(82.4%)
86-18
(82.7%)
27-5
(84.4%)
15-2
(88.2%)
7-2
(77.8%)
2-2
(50%)
  572-130
(81.5%)
Massachusetts115-21
(84.6%)
109-27
(80.1%)
110-29
(79.1%)
114-24
(82.6%)
108-31
(77.7%)
8-4
(66.7%)
97-31
(75.8%)
27-13
(67.5%)
  902-235
(79.3%)
Michigan237-44
(84.3%)
243-46
(84.1%)
111-17
(86.7%)
48-16
(75%)
24-8
(75%)
15-1
(93.8%)
8-0
(100%)
   1189-240
(83.2%)
Minnesota123-26
(82.6%)
191-34
(84.9%)
25-15
(62.5%)
14-6
(70%)
8-2
(80%)
 5-0
(100%)
   618-143
(81.2%)
Mississippi120-19
(86.3%)
124-19
(86.7%)
111-25
(81.6%)
81-19
(81%)
37-13
(74%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-2
(83.3%)
2-3
(40%)
  734-159
(82.2%)
Missouri128-39
(76.6%)
143-24
(85.6%)
133-33
(80.1%)
60-17
(77.9%)
48-16
(75%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-3
(57.1%)
   793-194
(80.3%)
Montana36-2
(94.7%)
31-7
(81.6%)
16-3
(84.2%)
11-1
(91.7%)
6-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    161-30
(84.3%)
Nebraska66-19
(77.6%)
74-10
(88.1%)
37-11
(77.1%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-6
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
    346-83
(80.7%)
Nevada28-5
(84.8%)
25-9
(73.5%)
27-4
(87.1%)
21-2
(91.3%)
7-5
(58.3%)
4-1
(80%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
  174-34
(83.7%)
New Hampshire21-7
(75%)
24-3
(88.9%)
20-7
(74.1%)
20-2
(90.9%)
6-4
(60%)
3-1
(75%)
3-0
(100%)
   144-31
(82.3%)
New Jersey135-26
(83.9%)
131-25
(84%)
134-24
(84.8%)
134-25
(84.3%)
54-18
(75%)
26-16
(61.9%)
84-19
(81.6%)
13-6
(68.4%)
  956-226
(80.9%)
New Mexico33-6
(84.6%)
39-4
(90.7%)
35-4
(89.7%)
31-3
(91.2%)
17-1
(94.4%)
13-2
(86.7%)
7-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
  250-35
(87.7%)
New York262-58
(81.9%)
263-50
(84%)
212-59
(78.2%)
89-25
(78.1%)
40-13
(75.5%)
18-7
(72%)
9-3
(75%)
   1392-348
(80%)
North Carolina128-36
(78%)
126-27
(82.4%)
176-46
(79.3%)
143-30
(82.7%)
106-19
(84.8%)
52-19
(73.2%)
24-8
(75%)
11-5
(68.8%)
6-2
(75%)
 1038-266
(79.6%)
North Dakota23-5
(82.1%)
22-1
(95.7%)
13-1
(92.9%)
4-2
(66.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     109-21
(83.8%)
Ohio270-66
(80.4%)
281-54
(83.9%)
79-17
(82.3%)
40-8
(83.3%)
14-10
(58.3%)
9-3
(75%)
2-4
(33.3%)
   1254-279
(81.8%)
Oklahoma112-15
(88.2%)
116-11
(91.3%)
108-17
(86.4%)
95-20
(82.6%)
58-7
(89.2%)
23-9
(71.9%)
13-3
(81.3%)
6-2
(75%)
0-2
(0%)
 743-128
(85.3%)
Oregon79-16
(83.2%)
82-14
(85.4%)
78-16
(83%)
31-5
(86.1%)
26-6
(81.3%)
11-5
(68.8%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-1
(66.7%)
  469-101
(82.3%)
Pennsylvania250-51
(83.1%)
252-51
(83.2%)
205-44
(82.3%)
118-32
(78.7%)
62-15
(80.5%)
23-7
(76.7%)
40-7
(85.1%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
 1473-300
(83.1%)
Rhode Island13-4
(76.5%)
19-2
(90.5%)
17-3
(85%)
13-7
(65%)
13-4
(76.5%)
1-0
(100%)
15-6
(71.4%)
7-4
(63.6%)
1-0
(100%)
 131-36
(78.4%)
South Carolina103-17
(85.8%)
84-19
(81.6%)
106-19
(84.8%)
73-11
(86.9%)
37-9
(80.4%)
16-7
(69.6%)
6-4
(60%)
3-1
(75%)
  611-121
(83.5%)
South Dakota27-4
(87.1%)
23-6
(79.3%)
21-3
(87.5%)
12-6
(66.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     142-28
(83.5%)
Tennessee129-28
(82.2%)
127-25
(83.6%)
133-25
(84.2%)
68-17
(80%)
33-11
(75%)
15-5
(75%)
10-2
(83.3%)
3-2
(60%)
  773-163
(82.6%)
Texas436-98
(81.6%)
443-89
(83.3%)
446-88
(83.5%)
423-95
(81.7%)
230-47
(83%)
123-29
(80.9%)
60-16
(78.9%)
24-14
(63.2%)
14-3
(82.4%)
5-2
(71.4%)
2950-675
(81.4%)
Utah36-9
(80%)
37-4
(90.2%)
30-3
(90.9%)
12-4
(75%)
7-1
(87.5%)
1-2
(33.3%)
    199-40
(83.3%)
Vermont14-3
(82.4%)
12-5
(70.6%)
5-1
(83.3%)
3-0
(100%)
      61-15
(80.3%)
Virginia139-27
(83.7%)
152-19
(88.9%)
147-29
(83.5%)
98-16
(86%)
39-8
(83%)
23-5
(82.1%)
8-4
(66.7%)
3-3
(50%)
  870-183
(82.6%)
Washington128-23
(84.8%)
129-19
(87.2%)
109-34
(76.2%)
74-7
(91.4%)
33-8
(80.5%)
13-7
(65%)
6-3
(66.7%)
3-3
(50%)
  756-147
(83.7%)
West Virginia59-3
(95.2%)
53-8
(86.9%)
47-11
(81%)
31-14
(68.9%)
20-4
(83.3%)
5-7
(41.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
3-0
(100%)
  317-72
(81.5%)
Wisconsin179-40
(81.7%)
189-29
(86.7%)
124-46
(72.9%)
24-4
(85.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
6-1
(85.7%)
    891-202
(81.5%)
Wyoming25-4
(86.2%)
24-4
(85.7%)
19-1
(95%)
10-0
(100%)
2-3
(40%)
     128-18
(87.7%)
Prep Schools35-10
(77.8%)
38-7
(84.4%)
34-11
(75.6%)
30-7
(81.1%)
3-3
(50%)
     214-51
(80.8%)
 
NATIONAL5689-1144
(83.3%)
5837-1080
(84.4%)
4797-1044
(82.1%)
3562-747
(82.7%)
2125-531
(80%)
957-286
(77%)
724-219
(76.8%)
240-107
(69.2%)
72-21
(77.4%)
10-6
(62.5%)
35058-7666
(82.1%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the part of the season we pick:  67.8%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 80.8% (in 531 games)