2008 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2007 data


State8/88/158/228/299/59/129/199/2610/310/1010/1710/2410/3111/711/1411/2111/2812/512/1212/19TOTALS
Alabama  1-0
(100%)
35-32
(52.2%)
53-12
(81.5%)
171-38
(81.8%)
175-39
(81.8%)
171-40
(81%)
178-35
(83.6%)
187-27
(87.4%)
187-27
(87.4%)
174-36
(82.9%)
166-43
(79.4%)
87-20
(81.3%)
41-13
(75.9%)
22-4
(84.6%)
9-3
(75%)
6-0
(100%)
  1663-369
(81.8%)
Alaska5-3
(62.5%)
9-0
(100%)
9-5
(64.3%)
9-5
(64.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
10-5
(66.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
2-2
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
         88-29
(75.2%)
Arizona   31-13
(70.5%)
60-16
(78.9%)
68-15
(81.9%)
65-21
(75.6%)
72-18
(80%)
79-11
(87.8%)
80-11
(87.9%)
77-15
(83.7%)
79-14
(84.9%)
76-16
(82.6%)
67-6
(91.8%)
35-5
(87.5%)
16-4
(80%)
4-2
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
2-0
(100%)
 815-169
(82.8%)
Arkansas    70-26
(72.9%)
78-21
(78.8%)
73-29
(71.6%)
78-25
(75.7%)
87-16
(84.5%)
86-16
(84.3%)
81-22
(78.6%)
85-17
(83.3%)
86-16
(84.3%)
88-15
(85.4%)
35-15
(70%)
26-10
(72.2%)
15-3
(83.3%)
7-2
(77.8%)
2-1
(66.7%)
 897-234
(79.3%)
California  1-0
(100%)
16-6
(72.7%)
161-62
(72.2%)
331-109
(75.2%)
344-111
(75.6%)
355-116
(75.4%)
378-97
(79.6%)
361-97
(78.8%)
419-83
(83.5%)
413-81
(83.6%)
409-86
(82.6%)
423-70
(85.8%)
398-84
(82.6%)
185-46
(80.1%)
106-39
(73.1%)
56-14
(80%)
21-7
(75%)
3-2
(60%)
4380-1110
(79.8%)
Colorado  6-1
(85.7%)
55-20
(73.3%)
61-13
(82.4%)
80-20
(80%)
84-19
(81.6%)
90-17
(84.1%)
88-17
(83.8%)
90-17
(84.1%)
86-20
(81.1%)
94-12
(88.7%)
80-11
(87.9%)
25-11
(69.4%)
12-6
(66.7%)
8-1
(88.9%)
4-0
(100%)
   863-185
(82.3%)
Connecticut     32-14
(69.6%)
31-16
(66%)
37-10
(78.7%)
66-16
(80.5%)
53-17
(75.7%)
62-9
(87.3%)
59-11
(84.3%)
55-13
(80.9%)
51-17
(75%)
56-9
(86.2%)
13-7
(65%)
54-14
(79.4%)
13-5
(72.2%)
  582-158
(78.6%)
Delaware    7-2
(77.8%)
11-1
(91.7%)
18-5
(78.3%)
17-6
(73.9%)
14-8
(63.6%)
17-5
(77.3%)
18-3
(85.7%)
17-5
(77.3%)
13-9
(59.1%)
19-4
(82.6%)
2-1
(66.7%)
3-2
(60%)
2-0
(100%)
   158-51
(75.6%)
District of Columbia  1-0
(100%)
1-2
(33.3%)
6-3
(66.7%)
6-6
(50%)
9-3
(75%)
14-1
(93.3%)
8-4
(66.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
12-4
(75%)
14-1
(93.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
12-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
0-1
(0%)
0-1
(0%)
   109-33
(76.8%)
Florida   6-3
(66.7%)
99-36
(73.3%)
103-33
(75.7%)
157-53
(74.8%)
196-40
(83.1%)
174-49
(78%)
193-44
(81.4%)
175-43
(80.3%)
199-45
(81.6%)
197-39
(83.5%)
204-37
(84.6%)
167-41
(80.3%)
76-19
(80%)
34-14
(70.8%)
16-8
(66.7%)
10-2
(83.3%)
2-2
(50%)
2008-508
(79.8%)
Georgia  4-2
(66.7%)
92-46
(66.7%)
97-43
(69.3%)
150-48
(75.8%)
128-56
(69.6%)
158-30
(84%)
147-38
(79.5%)
163-30
(84.5%)
169-28
(85.8%)
168-36
(82.4%)
178-26
(87.3%)
141-21
(87%)
67-25
(72.8%)
39-7
(84.8%)
13-10
(56.5%)
5-5
(50%)
4-1
(80%)
 1723-452
(79.2%)
Hawaii 3-2
(60%)
8-2
(80%)
10-7
(58.8%)
12-6
(66.7%)
16-4
(80%)
17-2
(89.5%)
15-4
(78.9%)
11-6
(64.7%)
17-3
(85%)
14-3
(82.4%)
14-2
(87.5%)
13-0
(100%)
13-1
(92.9%)
0-1
(0%)
3-1
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
2-0
(100%)
  171-45
(79.2%)
Idaho  0-1
(0%)
12-4
(75%)
15-8
(65.2%)
22-12
(64.7%)
27-15
(64.3%)
31-11
(73.8%)
31-9
(77.5%)
34-7
(82.9%)
32-9
(78%)
34-8
(81%)
28-5
(84.8%)
14-2
(87.5%)
4-4
(50%)
2-2
(50%)
    286-97
(74.7%)
Illinois   123-31
(79.9%)
122-43
(73.9%)
217-53
(80.4%)
215-64
(77.1%)
225-49
(82.1%)
220-55
(80%)
237-38
(86.2%)
240-34
(87.6%)
230-45
(83.6%)
105-28
(78.9%)
52-18
(74.3%)
24-10
(70.6%)
14-6
(70%)
8-1
(88.9%)
   2032-475
(81.1%)
Indiana  65-21
(75.6%)
68-26
(72.3%)
130-29
(81.8%)
136-25
(84.5%)
122-36
(77.2%)
133-25
(84.2%)
130-28
(82.3%)
141-21
(87%)
136-23
(85.5%)
142-16
(89.9%)
66-15
(81.5%)
35-5
(87.5%)
16-4
(80%)
8-2
(80%)
2-3
(40%)
   1330-279
(82.7%)
Iowa   30-20
(60%)
36-13
(73.5%)
117-32
(78.5%)
126-23
(84.6%)
126-23
(84.6%)
118-30
(79.7%)
128-21
(85.9%)
127-22
(85.2%)
127-20
(86.4%)
64-16
(80%)
50-10
(83.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
9-0
(100%)
    1062-232
(82.1%)
Kansas    43-20
(68.3%)
48-20
(70.6%)
101-26
(79.5%)
101-23
(81.5%)
104-20
(83.9%)
103-19
(84.4%)
95-24
(79.8%)
108-13
(89.3%)
97-23
(80.8%)
69-17
(80.2%)
12-8
(60%)
5-5
(50%)
4-1
(80%)
   890-219
(80.3%)
Kentucky   38-18
(67.9%)
40-16
(71.4%)
75-26
(74.3%)
70-19
(78.7%)
77-25
(75.5%)
65-28
(69.9%)
88-13
(87.1%)
85-11
(88.5%)
84-20
(80.8%)
83-18
(82.2%)
74-21
(77.9%)
87-9
(90.6%)
36-12
(75%)
21-3
(87.5%)
6-6
(50%)
5-1
(83.3%)
 934-246
(79.2%)
Louisiana    5-0
(100%)
22-9
(71%)
58-20
(74.4%)
91-32
(74%)
102-33
(75.6%)
110-30
(78.6%)
115-24
(82.7%)
110-27
(80.3%)
116-22
(84.1%)
113-25
(81.9%)
69-11
(86.3%)
36-4
(90%)
15-5
(75%)
7-3
(70%)
5-0
(100%)
 974-245
(79.9%)
Maine    7-4
(63.6%)
6-4
(60%)
32-4
(88.9%)
22-7
(75.9%)
36-6
(85.7%)
30-6
(83.3%)
30-5
(85.7%)
30-6
(83.3%)
25-1
(96.2%)
8-4
(66.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    233-49
(82.6%)
Maryland    30-11
(73.2%)
48-21
(69.6%)
92-18
(83.6%)
80-23
(77.7%)
83-27
(75.5%)
91-16
(85%)
88-21
(80.7%)
88-18
(83%)
89-19
(82.4%)
86-18
(82.7%)
27-5
(84.4%)
15-2
(88.2%)
7-2
(77.8%)
2-2
(50%)
  826-203
(80.3%)
Massachusetts    8-7
(53.3%)
34-8
(81%)
41-13
(75.9%)
91-27
(77.1%)
120-31
(79.5%)
101-28
(78.3%)
115-21
(84.6%)
109-27
(80.1%)
110-29
(79.1%)
114-24
(82.6%)
108-31
(77.7%)
8-4
(66.7%)
97-31
(75.8%)
27-13
(67.5%)
  1083-294
(78.6%)
Michigan   85-32
(72.6%)
74-30
(71.2%)
229-75
(75.3%)
252-57
(81.6%)
246-61
(80.1%)
246-60
(80.4%)
257-48
(84.3%)
237-44
(84.3%)
243-46
(84.1%)
111-17
(86.7%)
48-16
(75%)
24-8
(75%)
15-1
(93.8%)
8-0
(100%)
   2075-495
(80.7%)
Minnesota   98-37
(72.6%)
98-37
(72.6%)
121-29
(80.7%)
125-29
(81.2%)
123-32
(79.4%)
126-31
(80.3%)
126-31
(80.3%)
123-26
(82.6%)
191-34
(84.9%)
25-15
(62.5%)
14-6
(70%)
8-2
(80%)
 5-0
(100%)
   1183-309
(79.3%)
Mississippi  2-1
(66.7%)
20-10
(66.7%)
50-11
(82%)
112-25
(81.8%)
114-29
(79.7%)
115-25
(82.1%)
111-28
(79.9%)
119-26
(82.1%)
120-19
(86.3%)
124-19
(86.7%)
111-25
(81.6%)
81-19
(81%)
37-13
(74%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-2
(83.3%)
2-3
(40%)
  1147-260
(81.5%)
Missouri   47-20
(70.1%)
50-23
(68.5%)
135-32
(80.8%)
138-29
(82.6%)
132-36
(78.6%)
133-31
(81.1%)
136-27
(83.4%)
128-39
(76.6%)
143-24
(85.6%)
133-33
(80.1%)
60-17
(77.9%)
48-16
(75%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-3
(57.1%)
   1295-334
(79.5%)
Montana   4-2
(66.7%)
5-3
(62.5%)
16-2
(88.9%)
26-8
(76.5%)
31-5
(86.1%)
30-8
(78.9%)
29-8
(78.4%)
36-2
(94.7%)
31-7
(81.6%)
16-3
(84.2%)
11-1
(91.7%)
6-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
    243-50
(82.9%)
Nebraska   18-7
(72%)
29-13
(69%)
40-14
(74.1%)
60-24
(71.4%)
59-25
(70.2%)
63-21
(75%)
75-9
(89.3%)
66-19
(77.6%)
74-10
(88.1%)
37-11
(77.1%)
19-5
(79.2%)
10-6
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
    552-166
(76.9%)
Nevada   23-6
(79.3%)
25-9
(73.5%)
26-9
(74.3%)
25-10
(71.4%)
26-7
(78.8%)
33-1
(97.1%)
26-7
(78.8%)
28-5
(84.8%)
25-9
(73.5%)
27-4
(87.1%)
21-2
(91.3%)
7-5
(58.3%)
4-1
(80%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
  299-75
(79.9%)
New Hampshire    1-3
(25%)
3-1
(75%)
18-6
(75%)
14-8
(63.6%)
29-2
(93.5%)
22-5
(81.5%)
21-7
(75%)
24-3
(88.9%)
20-7
(74.1%)
20-2
(90.9%)
6-4
(60%)
3-1
(75%)
3-0
(100%)
   184-49
(79%)
New Jersey     60-26
(69.8%)
70-26
(72.9%)
122-24
(83.6%)
116-39
(74.8%)
129-28
(82.2%)
135-26
(83.9%)
131-25
(84%)
134-24
(84.8%)
134-25
(84.3%)
54-18
(75%)
26-16
(61.9%)
84-19
(81.6%)
13-6
(68.4%)
  1208-302
(80%)
New Mexico   25-9
(73.5%)
28-7
(80%)
25-14
(64.1%)
31-9
(77.5%)
35-10
(77.8%)
35-10
(77.8%)
37-5
(88.1%)
33-6
(84.6%)
39-4
(90.7%)
35-4
(89.7%)
31-3
(91.2%)
17-1
(94.4%)
13-2
(86.7%)
7-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
  394-84
(82.4%)
New York    94-38
(71.2%)
122-32
(79.2%)
206-70
(74.6%)
242-74
(76.6%)
252-67
(79%)
249-66
(79%)
262-58
(81.9%)
263-50
(84%)
212-59
(78.2%)
89-25
(78.1%)
40-13
(75.5%)
18-7
(72%)
9-3
(75%)
   2058-562
(78.5%)
North Carolina  86-33
(72.3%)
92-38
(70.8%)
112-37
(75.2%)
117-54
(68.4%)
119-40
(74.8%)
94-25
(79%)
155-40
(79.5%)
143-39
(78.6%)
128-36
(78%)
126-27
(82.4%)
176-46
(79.3%)
143-30
(82.7%)
106-19
(84.8%)
52-19
(73.2%)
24-8
(75%)
11-5
(68.8%)
6-2
(75%)
 1690-498
(77.2%)
North Dakota   13-3
(81.3%)
8-5
(61.5%)
24-4
(85.7%)
22-5
(81.5%)
19-9
(67.9%)
23-5
(82.1%)
22-6
(78.6%)
23-5
(82.1%)
22-1
(95.7%)
13-1
(92.9%)
4-2
(66.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     195-47
(80.6%)
Ohio  143-57
(71.5%)
149-57
(72.3%)
257-79
(76.5%)
266-73
(78.5%)
274-55
(83.3%)
290-58
(83.3%)
272-66
(80.5%)
287-51
(84.9%)
270-66
(80.4%)
281-54
(83.9%)
79-17
(82.3%)
40-8
(83.3%)
14-10
(58.3%)
9-3
(75%)
2-4
(33.3%)
   2633-658
(80%)
Oklahoma    21-11
(65.6%)
24-18
(57.1%)
96-27
(78%)
104-24
(81.3%)
103-21
(83.1%)
109-21
(83.8%)
112-15
(88.2%)
116-11
(91.3%)
108-17
(86.4%)
95-20
(82.6%)
58-7
(89.2%)
23-9
(71.9%)
13-3
(81.3%)
6-2
(75%)
0-2
(0%)
 988-208
(82.6%)
Oregon   14-3
(82.4%)
30-19
(61.2%)
62-18
(77.5%)
71-24
(74.7%)
72-16
(81.8%)
78-17
(82.1%)
77-18
(81.1%)
79-16
(83.2%)
82-14
(85.4%)
78-16
(83%)
31-5
(86.1%)
26-6
(81.3%)
11-5
(68.8%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-1
(66.7%)
  718-181
(79.9%)
Pennsylvania   181-75
(70.7%)
189-80
(70.3%)
233-64
(78.5%)
254-49
(83.8%)
252-47
(84.3%)
255-48
(84.2%)
261-40
(86.7%)
250-51
(83.1%)
252-51
(83.2%)
205-44
(82.3%)
118-32
(78.7%)
62-15
(80.5%)
23-7
(76.7%)
40-7
(85.1%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
 2582-615
(80.8%)
Rhode Island     12-6
(66.7%)
10-8
(55.6%)
9-4
(69.2%)
19-7
(73.1%)
17-2
(89.5%)
13-4
(76.5%)
19-2
(90.5%)
17-3
(85%)
13-7
(65%)
13-4
(76.5%)
1-0
(100%)
15-6
(71.4%)
7-4
(63.6%)
1-0
(100%)
 166-57
(74.4%)
South Carolina  6-3
(66.7%)
23-13
(63.9%)
37-8
(82.2%)
79-28
(73.8%)
87-28
(75.7%)
86-21
(80.4%)
87-22
(79.8%)
96-12
(88.9%)
103-17
(85.8%)
84-19
(81.6%)
106-19
(84.8%)
73-11
(86.9%)
37-9
(80.4%)
16-7
(69.6%)
6-4
(60%)
3-1
(75%)
  929-222
(80.7%)
South Dakota   18-4
(81.8%)
24-9
(72.7%)
27-4
(87.1%)
26-7
(78.8%)
30-3
(90.9%)
29-3
(90.6%)
28-5
(84.8%)
27-4
(87.1%)
23-6
(79.3%)
21-3
(87.5%)
12-6
(66.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     267-55
(82.9%)
Tennessee  54-22
(71.1%)
80-30
(72.7%)
97-31
(75.8%)
123-29
(80.9%)
128-27
(82.6%)
107-39
(73.3%)
129-27
(82.7%)
126-21
(85.7%)
129-28
(82.2%)
127-25
(83.6%)
133-25
(84.2%)
68-17
(80%)
33-11
(75%)
15-5
(75%)
10-2
(83.3%)
3-2
(60%)
  1362-341
(80%)
Texas   248-126
(66.3%)
296-101
(74.6%)
276-99
(73.6%)
268-95
(73.8%)
379-120
(76%)
330-84
(79.7%)
422-113
(78.9%)
436-98
(81.6%)
443-89
(83.3%)
446-88
(83.5%)
423-95
(81.7%)
230-47
(83%)
123-29
(80.9%)
60-16
(78.9%)
24-14
(63.2%)
14-3
(82.4%)
5-2
(71.4%)
4423-1219
(78.4%)
Utah  27-13
(67.5%)
35-13
(72.9%)
35-13
(72.9%)
35-12
(74.5%)
38-9
(80.9%)
35-11
(76.1%)
38-10
(79.2%)
38-7
(84.4%)
36-9
(80%)
37-4
(90.2%)
30-3
(90.9%)
12-4
(75%)
7-1
(87.5%)
1-2
(33.3%)
    404-111
(78.4%)
Vermont   4-1
(80%)
3-2
(60%)
13-2
(86.7%)
12-5
(70.6%)
11-5
(68.8%)
11-5
(68.8%)
16-1
(94.1%)
14-3
(82.4%)
12-5
(70.6%)
5-1
(83.3%)
3-0
(100%)
      104-30
(77.6%)
Virginia  14-8
(63.6%)
45-13
(77.6%)
56-19
(74.7%)
113-27
(80.7%)
124-35
(78%)
107-31
(77.5%)
146-40
(78.5%)
134-38
(77.9%)
139-27
(83.7%)
152-19
(88.9%)
147-29
(83.5%)
98-16
(86%)
39-8
(83%)
23-5
(82.1%)
8-4
(66.7%)
3-3
(50%)
  1348-322
(80.7%)
Washington    47-35
(57.3%)
65-18
(78.3%)
109-33
(76.8%)
118-31
(79.2%)
137-17
(89%)
124-27
(82.1%)
128-23
(84.8%)
129-19
(87.2%)
109-34
(76.2%)
74-7
(91.4%)
33-8
(80.5%)
13-7
(65%)
6-3
(66.7%)
3-3
(50%)
  1095-265
(80.5%)
West Virginia   17-6
(73.9%)
22-11
(66.7%)
43-17
(71.7%)
58-9
(86.6%)
42-16
(72.4%)
46-12
(79.3%)
48-12
(80%)
59-3
(95.2%)
53-8
(86.9%)
47-11
(81%)
31-14
(68.9%)
20-4
(83.3%)
5-7
(41.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
3-0
(100%)
  499-131
(79.2%)
Wisconsin   123-41
(75%)
132-49
(72.9%)
164-52
(75.9%)
176-42
(80.7%)
164-55
(74.9%)
182-36
(83.5%)
176-43
(80.4%)
179-40
(81.7%)
189-29
(86.7%)
124-46
(72.9%)
24-4
(85.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
6-1
(85.7%)
    1650-441
(78.9%)
Wyoming   3-0
(100%)
5-5
(50%)
11-2
(84.6%)
19-10
(65.5%)
21-7
(75%)
21-5
(80.8%)
27-1
(96.4%)
25-4
(86.2%)
24-4
(85.7%)
19-1
(95%)
10-0
(100%)
2-3
(40%)
     187-42
(81.7%)
Prep Schools    0-1
(0%)
7-4
(63.6%)
18-8
(69.2%)
21-9
(70%)
36-6
(85.7%)
39-7
(84.8%)
35-10
(77.8%)
38-7
(84.4%)
34-11
(75.6%)
30-7
(81.1%)
3-3
(50%)
     261-73
(78.1%)
 
NATIONAL5-3
(62.5%)
12-2
(85.7%)
418-165
(71.7%)
1821-741
(71.1%)
2810-1018
(73.4%)
4263-1279
(76.9%)
4867-1381
(77.9%)
5233-1372
(79.2%)
5471-1325
(80.5%)
5664-1185
(82.7%)
5689-1144
(83.3%)
5837-1080
(84.4%)
4797-1044
(82.1%)
3562-747
(82.7%)
2125-531
(80%)
957-286
(77%)
724-219
(76.8%)
240-107
(69.2%)
72-21
(77.4%)
10-6
(62.5%)
54577-13656
(80%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  70.4%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)