2008 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2007 data


State8/88/158/228/299/59/129/199/2610/310/1010/1710/2410/3111/7TOTALS
Alabama  1-0
(100%)
35-32
(52.2%)
53-12
(81.5%)
170-39
(81.3%)
175-39
(81.8%)
171-40
(81%)
178-35
(83.6%)
187-27
(87.4%)
    970-224
(81.2%)
Alaska5-3
(62.5%)
9-0
(100%)
9-5
(64.3%)
9-5
(64.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
10-5
(66.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
2-2
(50%)
    86-29
(74.8%)
Arizona   31-13
(70.5%)
60-16
(78.9%)
68-15
(81.9%)
65-21
(75.6%)
72-18
(80%)
79-11
(87.8%)
80-11
(87.9%)
    455-105
(81.3%)
Arkansas    71-26
(73.2%)
78-21
(78.8%)
73-29
(71.6%)
78-25
(75.7%)
87-16
(84.5%)
85-17
(83.3%)
    472-134
(77.9%)
California  1-0
(100%)
16-6
(72.7%)
161-62
(72.2%)
331-109
(75.2%)
344-111
(75.6%)
355-116
(75.4%)
378-97
(79.6%)
361-97
(78.8%)
    1947-598
(76.5%)
Colorado  6-1
(85.7%)
55-20
(73.3%)
61-13
(82.4%)
80-20
(80%)
83-20
(80.6%)
90-17
(84.1%)
88-17
(83.8%)
90-17
(84.1%)
    553-125
(81.6%)
Connecticut     32-14
(69.6%)
31-16
(66%)
37-10
(78.7%)
66-16
(80.5%)
53-17
(75.7%)
    219-73
(75%)
Delaware    7-2
(77.8%)
11-1
(91.7%)
18-5
(78.3%)
17-6
(73.9%)
14-8
(63.6%)
17-5
(77.3%)
    84-27
(75.7%)
District of Columbia  1-0
(100%)
1-2
(33.3%)
6-3
(66.7%)
6-5
(54.5%)
9-3
(75%)
14-1
(93.3%)
8-4
(66.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
    56-22
(71.8%)
Florida   6-3
(66.7%)
99-37
(72.8%)
103-33
(75.7%)
159-53
(75%)
196-40
(83.1%)
174-50
(77.7%)
191-42
(82%)
    928-258
(78.2%)
Georgia  4-2
(66.7%)
92-46
(66.7%)
97-43
(69.3%)
150-48
(75.8%)
128-56
(69.6%)
158-30
(84%)
147-38
(79.5%)
157-31
(83.5%)
    933-294
(76%)
Hawaii 3-2
(60%)
8-2
(80%)
10-7
(58.8%)
12-6
(66.7%)
16-4
(80%)
17-2
(89.5%)
15-4
(78.9%)
11-6
(64.7%)
17-3
(85%)
    109-36
(75.2%)
Idaho  0-1
(0%)
12-4
(75%)
15-8
(65.2%)
22-12
(64.7%)
27-15
(64.3%)
31-11
(73.8%)
31-9
(77.5%)
34-7
(82.9%)
    172-67
(72%)
Illinois   123-31
(79.9%)
122-43
(73.9%)
218-53
(80.4%)
214-66
(76.4%)
226-49
(82.2%)
221-55
(80.1%)
219-35
(86.2%)
    1343-332
(80.2%)
Indiana  65-21
(75.6%)
68-26
(72.3%)
130-29
(81.8%)
136-25
(84.5%)
122-36
(77.2%)
133-25
(84.2%)
130-28
(82.3%)
140-21
(87%)
    924-211
(81.4%)
Iowa   30-20
(60%)
36-13
(73.5%)
117-32
(78.5%)
126-23
(84.6%)
126-23
(84.6%)
118-30
(79.7%)
128-21
(85.9%)
    681-162
(80.8%)
Kansas    43-20
(68.3%)
48-20
(70.6%)
101-26
(79.5%)
101-23
(81.5%)
104-20
(83.9%)
103-19
(84.4%)
    500-128
(79.6%)
Kentucky   38-18
(67.9%)
40-16
(71.4%)
75-26
(74.3%)
70-19
(78.7%)
77-25
(75.5%)
65-28
(69.9%)
88-13
(87.1%)
    453-145
(75.8%)
Louisiana    6-0
(100%)
22-9
(71%)
58-20
(74.4%)
91-32
(74%)
102-33
(75.6%)
105-27
(79.5%)
    384-121
(76%)
Maine    7-4
(63.6%)
6-4
(60%)
32-4
(88.9%)
22-7
(75.9%)
36-6
(85.7%)
29-6
(82.9%)
    132-31
(81%)
Maryland    29-11
(72.5%)
49-20
(71%)
92-18
(83.6%)
79-24
(76.7%)
83-27
(75.5%)
90-16
(84.9%)
    422-116
(78.4%)
Massachusetts    8-7
(53.3%)
34-8
(81%)
42-12
(77.8%)
91-27
(77.1%)
120-31
(79.5%)
100-29
(77.5%)
    395-114
(77.6%)
Michigan   85-32
(72.6%)
74-30
(71.2%)
229-75
(75.3%)
252-58
(81.3%)
246-61
(80.1%)
246-60
(80.4%)
256-47
(84.5%)
    1388-363
(79.3%)
Minnesota   101-38
(72.7%)
104-37
(73.8%)
128-30
(81%)
129-31
(80.6%)
128-32
(80%)
130-33
(79.8%)
129-29
(81.6%)
    849-230
(78.7%)
Mississippi  2-1
(66.7%)
20-10
(66.7%)
50-11
(82%)
112-25
(81.8%)
114-29
(79.7%)
114-26
(81.4%)
111-28
(79.9%)
117-26
(81.8%)
    640-156
(80.4%)
Missouri   47-20
(70.1%)
50-23
(68.5%)
135-32
(80.8%)
138-29
(82.6%)
132-36
(78.6%)
133-31
(81.1%)
132-26
(83.5%)
    767-197
(79.6%)
Montana   4-2
(66.7%)
5-3
(62.5%)
16-2
(88.9%)
26-8
(76.5%)
31-5
(86.1%)
30-8
(78.9%)
29-7
(80.6%)
    141-35
(80.1%)
Nebraska   18-7
(72%)
29-13
(69%)
40-14
(74.1%)
60-24
(71.4%)
59-25
(70.2%)
63-21
(75%)
75-9
(89.3%)
    344-113
(75.3%)
Nevada   23-6
(79.3%)
25-9
(73.5%)
26-9
(74.3%)
25-10
(71.4%)
26-7
(78.8%)
33-1
(97.1%)
25-7
(78.1%)
    183-49
(78.9%)
New Hampshire    1-3
(25%)
3-1
(75%)
18-6
(75%)
14-8
(63.6%)
29-2
(93.5%)
22-5
(81.5%)
    87-25
(77.7%)
New Jersey     60-26
(69.8%)
70-26
(72.9%)
122-24
(83.6%)
117-38
(75.5%)
129-28
(82.2%)
    498-142
(77.8%)
New Mexico   25-9
(73.5%)
28-7
(80%)
25-14
(64.1%)
31-9
(77.5%)
35-10
(77.8%)
35-10
(77.8%)
31-3
(91.2%)
    210-62
(77.2%)
New York    94-38
(71.2%)
122-32
(79.2%)
206-70
(74.6%)
242-74
(76.6%)
252-67
(79%)
230-66
(77.7%)
    1146-347
(76.8%)
North Carolina  86-33
(72.3%)
92-38
(70.8%)
112-37
(75.2%)
117-54
(68.4%)
118-41
(74.2%)
94-25
(79%)
154-41
(79%)
139-36
(79.4%)
    912-305
(74.9%)
North Dakota   13-3
(81.3%)
8-5
(61.5%)
24-4
(85.7%)
22-5
(81.5%)
19-9
(67.9%)
23-5
(82.1%)
17-6
(73.9%)
    126-37
(77.3%)
Ohio  143-57
(71.5%)
149-57
(72.3%)
257-79
(76.5%)
266-73
(78.5%)
274-55
(83.3%)
290-58
(83.3%)
272-66
(80.5%)
287-51
(84.9%)
    1938-496
(79.6%)
Oklahoma    21-11
(65.6%)
24-18
(57.1%)
96-27
(78%)
104-24
(81.3%)
103-21
(83.1%)
109-21
(83.8%)
    457-122
(78.9%)
Oregon   14-3
(82.4%)
30-19
(61.2%)
62-18
(77.5%)
71-24
(74.7%)
72-16
(81.8%)
78-17
(82.1%)
77-18
(81.1%)
    404-115
(77.8%)
Pennsylvania   181-75
(70.7%)
189-80
(70.3%)
233-65
(78.2%)
254-49
(83.8%)
253-47
(84.3%)
255-48
(84.2%)
238-37
(86.5%)
    1603-401
(80%)
Rhode Island     12-6
(66.7%)
10-8
(55.6%)
9-4
(69.2%)
19-7
(73.1%)
17-2
(89.5%)
    67-27
(71.3%)
South Carolina  6-3
(66.7%)
23-13
(63.9%)
37-8
(82.2%)
79-28
(73.8%)
87-28
(75.7%)
86-21
(80.4%)
87-22
(79.8%)
91-12
(88.3%)
    496-135
(78.6%)
South Dakota   18-4
(81.8%)
24-9
(72.7%)
27-4
(87.1%)
26-7
(78.8%)
30-3
(90.9%)
29-3
(90.6%)
28-5
(84.8%)
    182-35
(83.9%)
Tennessee  54-22
(71.1%)
80-30
(72.7%)
97-31
(75.8%)
123-29
(80.9%)
128-27
(82.6%)
107-39
(73.3%)
129-27
(82.7%)
124-21
(85.5%)
    842-226
(78.8%)
Texas   248-126
(66.3%)
296-101
(74.6%)
276-99
(73.6%)
268-95
(73.8%)
379-120
(76%)
331-84
(79.8%)
413-110
(79%)
    2211-735
(75.1%)
Utah  27-13
(67.5%)
35-13
(72.9%)
35-13
(72.9%)
35-12
(74.5%)
38-9
(80.9%)
35-11
(76.1%)
38-10
(79.2%)
38-7
(84.4%)
    281-88
(76.2%)
Vermont   4-1
(80%)
3-2
(60%)
13-2
(86.7%)
12-5
(70.6%)
11-5
(68.8%)
11-5
(68.8%)
16-1
(94.1%)
    70-21
(76.9%)
Virginia  14-8
(63.6%)
45-13
(77.6%)
56-19
(74.7%)
113-27
(80.7%)
124-35
(78%)
107-31
(77.5%)
147-39
(79%)
133-39
(77.3%)
    739-211
(77.8%)
Washington    47-35
(57.3%)
65-18
(78.3%)
109-33
(76.8%)
118-31
(79.2%)
137-17
(89%)
121-27
(81.8%)
    597-161
(78.8%)
West Virginia   17-6
(73.9%)
22-11
(66.7%)
43-17
(71.7%)
58-9
(86.6%)
42-16
(72.4%)
46-12
(79.3%)
48-12
(80%)
    276-83
(76.9%)
Wisconsin   122-41
(74.8%)
131-49
(72.8%)
163-52
(75.8%)
176-42
(80.7%)
163-55
(74.8%)
180-37
(82.9%)
177-42
(80.8%)
    1112-318
(77.8%)
Wyoming   3-0
(100%)
5-5
(50%)
11-2
(84.6%)
19-10
(65.5%)
21-7
(75%)
21-5
(80.8%)
27-1
(96.4%)
    107-30
(78.1%)
Prep Schools    0-1
(0%)
7-4
(63.6%)
18-8
(69.2%)
21-9
(70%)
35-6
(85.4%)
38-7
(84.4%)
    119-35
(77.3%)
 
NATIONAL5-3
(62.5%)
12-2
(85.7%)
418-165
(71.7%)
1824-742
(71.1%)
2816-1019
(73.4%)
4270-1280
(76.9%)
4870-1386
(77.8%)
5236-1374
(79.2%)
5476-1328
(80.5%)
5546-1164
(82.7%)
    30473-8463
(78.3%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  67.1%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)