2008 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2007 data


State10/1710/2410/3111/711/1411/2111/2812/512/1212/19TOTALS
Alabama187-27
(87.4%)		174-36
(82.9%)		166-43
(79.4%)		87-20
(81.3%)		41-13
(75.9%)		22-4
(84.6%)		9-3
(75%)		6-0
(100%)		  1057-208
(83.6%)
Alaska2-0
(100%)		         11-3
(78.6%)
Arizona77-15
(83.7%)		79-14
(84.9%)		76-16
(82.6%)		67-6
(91.8%)		35-5
(87.5%)		16-4
(80%)		4-2
(66.7%)		4-2
(66.7%)		2-0
(100%)		 519-86
(85.8%)
Arkansas81-22
(78.6%)		85-17
(83.3%)		86-16
(84.3%)		88-15
(85.4%)		35-15
(70%)		26-10
(72.2%)		15-3
(83.3%)		7-2
(77.8%)		2-1
(66.7%)		 598-133
(81.8%)
California419-83
(83.5%)		413-81
(83.6%)		409-86
(82.6%)		423-70
(85.8%)		398-84
(82.6%)		185-46
(80.1%)		106-39
(73.1%)		56-14
(80%)		21-7
(75%)		3-2
(60%)		3172-706
(81.8%)
Colorado86-20
(81.1%)		94-12
(88.7%)		80-11
(87.9%)		25-11
(69.4%)		12-6
(66.7%)		8-1
(88.9%)		4-0
(100%)		   487-95
(83.7%)
Connecticut62-9
(87.3%)		59-11
(84.3%)		55-13
(80.9%)		51-17
(75%)		56-9
(86.2%)		13-7
(65%)		54-14
(79.4%)		13-5
(72.2%)		  474-113
(80.7%)
Delaware18-3
(85.7%)		17-5
(77.3%)		13-9
(59.1%)		19-4
(82.6%)		2-1
(66.7%)		3-2
(60%)		2-0
(100%)		   105-37
(73.9%)
District of Columbia12-4
(75%)		14-1
(93.3%)		12-2
(85.7%)		12-0
(100%)		3-1
(75%)		0-1
(0%)		0-1
(0%)		   72-18
(80%)
Florida175-43
(80.3%)		199-45
(81.6%)		197-39
(83.5%)		204-37
(84.6%)		167-41
(80.3%)		76-19
(80%)		34-14
(70.8%)		16-8
(66.7%)		10-2
(83.3%)		2-2
(50%)		1447-343
(80.8%)
Georgia169-28
(85.8%)		168-36
(82.4%)		178-26
(87.3%)		141-21
(87%)		67-25
(72.8%)		39-7
(84.8%)		13-10
(56.5%)		5-5
(50%)		4-1
(80%)		 1094-227
(82.8%)
Hawaii14-3
(82.4%)		14-2
(87.5%)		13-0
(100%)		13-1
(92.9%)		0-1
(0%)		3-1
(75%)		3-1
(75%)		2-0
(100%)		  90-18
(83.3%)
Idaho32-9
(78%)		34-8
(81%)		28-5
(84.8%)		14-2
(87.5%)		4-4
(50%)		2-2
(50%)		    179-46
(79.6%)
Illinois240-34
(87.6%)		230-45
(83.6%)		105-28
(78.9%)		52-18
(74.3%)		24-10
(70.6%)		14-6
(70%)		8-1
(88.9%)		   1130-235
(82.8%)
Indiana136-23
(85.5%)		142-16
(89.9%)		66-15
(81.5%)		35-5
(87.5%)		16-4
(80%)		8-2
(80%)		2-3
(40%)		   676-117
(85.2%)
Iowa127-22
(85.2%)		127-20
(86.4%)		64-16
(80%)		50-10
(83.3%)		4-2
(66.7%)		9-0
(100%)		    627-121
(83.8%)
Kansas95-24
(79.8%)		108-13
(89.3%)		97-23
(80.8%)		69-17
(80.2%)		12-8
(60%)		5-5
(50%)		4-1
(80%)		   597-130
(82.1%)
Kentucky85-11
(88.5%)		84-20
(80.8%)		83-18
(82.2%)		74-21
(77.9%)		87-9
(90.6%)		36-12
(75%)		21-3
(87.5%)		6-6
(50%)		5-1
(83.3%)		 634-142
(81.7%)
Louisiana115-24
(82.7%)		110-27
(80.3%)		116-22
(84.1%)		113-25
(81.9%)		69-11
(86.3%)		36-4
(90%)		15-5
(75%)		7-3
(70%)		5-0
(100%)		 798-184
(81.3%)
Maine30-5
(85.7%)		30-6
(83.3%)		25-1
(96.2%)		8-4
(66.7%)		5-1
(83.3%)		2-1
(66.7%)		    161-29
(84.7%)
Maryland88-21
(80.7%)		88-18
(83%)		89-19
(82.4%)		86-18
(82.7%)		27-5
(84.4%)		15-2
(88.2%)		7-2
(77.8%)		2-2
(50%)		  572-130
(81.5%)
Massachusetts115-21
(84.6%)		109-27
(80.1%)		110-29
(79.1%)		114-24
(82.6%)		108-31
(77.7%)		8-4
(66.7%)		97-31
(75.8%)		27-13
(67.5%)		  902-235
(79.3%)
Michigan237-44
(84.3%)		243-46
(84.1%)		111-17
(86.7%)		48-16
(75%)		24-8
(75%)		15-1
(93.8%)		8-0
(100%)		   1189-240
(83.2%)
Minnesota123-26
(82.6%)		191-34
(84.9%)		25-15
(62.5%)		14-6
(70%)		8-2
(80%)		 5-0
(100%)		   618-143
(81.2%)
Mississippi120-19
(86.3%)		124-19
(86.7%)		111-25
(81.6%)		81-19
(81%)		37-13
(74%)		19-5
(79.2%)		10-2
(83.3%)		2-3
(40%)		  734-159
(82.2%)
Missouri128-39
(76.6%)		143-24
(85.6%)		133-33
(80.1%)		60-17
(77.9%)		48-16
(75%)		8-4
(66.7%)		4-3
(57.1%)		   793-194
(80.3%)
Montana36-2
(94.7%)		31-7
(81.6%)		16-3
(84.2%)		11-1
(91.7%)		6-0
(100%)		2-1
(66.7%)		    161-30
(84.3%)
Nebraska66-19
(77.6%)		74-10
(88.1%)		37-11
(77.1%)		19-5
(79.2%)		10-6
(62.5%)		2-2
(50%)		    346-83
(80.7%)
Nevada28-5
(84.8%)		25-9
(73.5%)		27-4
(87.1%)		21-2
(91.3%)		7-5
(58.3%)		4-1
(80%)		2-0
(100%)		1-0
(100%)		  174-34
(83.7%)
New Hampshire21-7
(75%)		24-3
(88.9%)		20-7
(74.1%)		20-2
(90.9%)		6-4
(60%)		3-1
(75%)		3-0
(100%)		   144-31
(82.3%)
New Jersey135-26
(83.9%)		131-25
(84%)		134-24
(84.8%)		134-25
(84.3%)		54-18
(75%)		26-16
(61.9%)		84-19
(81.6%)		13-6
(68.4%)		  956-226
(80.9%)
New Mexico33-6
(84.6%)		39-4
(90.7%)		35-4
(89.7%)		31-3
(91.2%)		17-1
(94.4%)		13-2
(86.7%)		7-0
(100%)		3-0
(100%)		  250-35
(87.7%)
New York262-58
(81.9%)		263-50
(84%)		212-59
(78.2%)		89-25
(78.1%)		40-13
(75.5%)		18-7
(72%)		9-3
(75%)		   1392-348
(80%)
North Carolina128-36
(78%)		126-27
(82.4%)		176-46
(79.3%)		143-30
(82.7%)		106-19
(84.8%)		52-19
(73.2%)		24-8
(75%)		11-5
(68.8%)		6-2
(75%)		 1038-266
(79.6%)
North Dakota23-5
(82.1%)		22-1
(95.7%)		13-1
(92.9%)		4-2
(66.7%)		2-1
(66.7%)		     109-21
(83.8%)
Ohio270-66
(80.4%)		281-54
(83.9%)		79-17
(82.3%)		40-8
(83.3%)		14-10
(58.3%)		9-3
(75%)		2-4
(33.3%)		   1254-279
(81.8%)
Oklahoma112-15
(88.2%)		116-11
(91.3%)		108-17
(86.4%)		95-20
(82.6%)		58-7
(89.2%)		23-9
(71.9%)		13-3
(81.3%)		6-2
(75%)		0-2
(0%)		 743-128
(85.3%)
Oregon79-16
(83.2%)		82-14
(85.4%)		78-16
(83%)		31-5
(86.1%)		26-6
(81.3%)		11-5
(68.8%)		5-3
(62.5%)		2-1
(66.7%)		  469-101
(82.3%)
Pennsylvania250-51
(83.1%)		252-51
(83.2%)		205-44
(82.3%)		118-32
(78.7%)		62-15
(80.5%)		23-7
(76.7%)		40-7
(85.1%)		5-3
(62.5%)		2-2
(50%)		 1473-300
(83.1%)
Rhode Island13-4
(76.5%)		19-2
(90.5%)		17-3
(85%)		13-7
(65%)		13-4
(76.5%)		1-0
(100%)		15-6
(71.4%)		7-4
(63.6%)		1-0
(100%)		 131-36
(78.4%)
South Carolina103-17
(85.8%)		84-19
(81.6%)		106-19
(84.8%)		73-11
(86.9%)		37-9
(80.4%)		16-7
(69.6%)		6-4
(60%)		3-1
(75%)		  611-121
(83.5%)
South Dakota27-4
(87.1%)		23-6
(79.3%)		21-3
(87.5%)		12-6
(66.7%)		2-1
(66.7%)		     142-28
(83.5%)
Tennessee129-28
(82.2%)		127-25
(83.6%)		133-25
(84.2%)		68-17
(80%)		33-11
(75%)		15-5
(75%)		10-2
(83.3%)		3-2
(60%)		  773-163
(82.6%)
Texas436-98
(81.6%)		443-89
(83.3%)		446-88
(83.5%)		423-95
(81.7%)		230-47
(83%)		123-29
(80.9%)		60-16
(78.9%)		24-14
(63.2%)		14-3
(82.4%)		5-2
(71.4%)		2950-675
(81.4%)
Utah36-9
(80%)		37-4
(90.2%)		30-3
(90.9%)		12-4
(75%)		7-1
(87.5%)		1-2
(33.3%)		    199-40
(83.3%)
Vermont14-3
(82.4%)		12-5
(70.6%)		5-1
(83.3%)		3-0
(100%)		      61-15
(80.3%)
Virginia139-27
(83.7%)		152-19
(88.9%)		147-29
(83.5%)		98-16
(86%)		39-8
(83%)		23-5
(82.1%)		8-4
(66.7%)		3-3
(50%)		  870-183
(82.6%)
Washington128-23
(84.8%)		129-19
(87.2%)		109-34
(76.2%)		74-7
(91.4%)		33-8
(80.5%)		13-7
(65%)		6-3
(66.7%)		3-3
(50%)		  756-147
(83.7%)
West Virginia59-3
(95.2%)		53-8
(86.9%)		47-11
(81%)		31-14
(68.9%)		20-4
(83.3%)		5-7
(41.7%)		5-1
(83.3%)		3-0
(100%)		  317-72
(81.5%)
Wisconsin179-40
(81.7%)		189-29
(86.7%)		124-46
(72.9%)		24-4
(85.7%)		11-3
(78.6%)		6-1
(85.7%)		    891-202
(81.5%)
Wyoming25-4
(86.2%)		24-4
(85.7%)		19-1
(95%)		10-0
(100%)		2-3
(40%)		     128-18
(87.7%)
Prep Schools35-10
(77.8%)		38-7
(84.4%)		34-11
(75.6%)		30-7
(81.1%)		3-3
(50%)		     214-51
(80.8%)
 
NATIONAL5689-1144
(83.3%)		5837-1080
(84.4%)		4797-1044
(82.1%)		3562-747
(82.7%)		2125-531
(80%)		957-286
(77%)		724-219
(76.8%)		240-107
(69.2%)		72-21
(77.4%)		10-6
(62.5%)		35058-7666
(82.1%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the part of the season we pick:  67.8%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)

out-of-state: 80.8% (in 531 games)