PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN     


State2/182/253/33/103/173/243/314/74/144/214/285/55/125/195/266/26/96/16TOTALSState
Alabama                  0-0
(0%)
Alabama
Alaska                  0-0
(0%)
Alaska
Arizona 2-0
(100%)
9-1
(90%)
11-1
(91.7%)
4-0
(100%)
10-1
(90.9%)
11-1
(91.7%)
9-2
(81.8%)
1-0
(100%)
         57-6
(90.5%)
Arizona
Arkansas                  0-0
(0%)
Arkansas
California  3-0
(100%)
18-5
(78.3%)
33-8
(80.5%)
22-6
(78.6%)
49-6
(89.1%)
43-5
(89.6%)
55-10
(84.6%)
57-6
(90.5%)
44-1
(97.8%)
16-2
(88.9%)
3-1
(75%)
     343-50
(87.3%)
California
Colorado   2-0
(100%)
12-3
(80%)
12-1
(92.3%)
23-6
(79.3%)
34-4
(89.5%)
22-4
(84.6%)
34-4
(89.5%)
8-0
(100%)
       147-22
(87%)
Colorado
Connecticut       8-3
(72.7%)
54-14
(79.4%)
72-14
(83.7%)
58-13
(81.7%)
80-8
(90.9%)
75-7
(91.5%)
35-6
(85.4%)
6-1
(85.7%)
14-2
(87.5%)
  402-68
(85.5%)
Connecticut
Delaware      2-0
(100%)
11-6
(64.7%)
29-5
(85.3%)
30-4
(88.2%)
25-6
(80.6%)
22-11
(66.7%)
15-1
(93.8%)
     134-33
(80.2%)
Delaware
District of Columbia    1-0
(100%)
3-2
(60%)
6-5
(54.5%)
11-1
(91.7%)
16-0
(100%)
10-0
(100%)
10-1
(90.9%)
1-0
(100%)
      58-9
(86.6%)
District of Columbia
Florida 1-2
(33.3%)
23-1
(95.8%)
22-3
(88%)
27-7
(79.4%)
23-7
(76.7%)
1-1
(50%)
           97-21
(82.2%)
Florida
Georgia   1-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
2-1
(66.7%)
2-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
1-1
(50%)
        11-4
(73.3%)
Georgia
Hawaii                  0-0
(0%)
Hawaii
Idaho      3-1
(75%)
10-1
(90.9%)
7-2
(77.8%)
7-1
(87.5%)
11-0
(100%)
9-1
(90%)
      47-6
(88.7%)
Idaho
Illinois      1-1
(50%)
5-0
(100%)
25-7
(78.1%)
29-9
(76.3%)
34-4
(89.5%)
37-5
(88.1%)
22-4
(84.6%)
     153-30
(83.6%)
Illinois
Indiana      1-1
(50%)
4-2
(66.7%)
9-3
(75%)
17-2
(89.5%)
16-1
(94.1%)
14-2
(87.5%)
2-0
(100%)
     63-11
(85.1%)
Indiana
Iowa                  0-0
(0%)
Iowa
Kansas                  0-0
(0%)
Kansas
Kentucky     0-1
(0%)
1-0
(100%)
 3-1
(75%)
7-3
(70%)
3-1
(75%)
5-1
(83.3%)
      19-7
(73.1%)
Kentucky
Louisiana                  0-0
(0%)
Louisiana
Maine           2-0
(100%)
15-8
(65.2%)
22-5
(81.5%)
20-5
(80%)
16-2
(88.9%)
  75-20
(78.9%)
Maine
Maryland     4-2
(66.7%)
13-10
(56.5%)
44-14
(75.9%)
80-14
(85.1%)
85-17
(83.3%)
80-15
(84.2%)
26-6
(81.3%)
      332-78
(81%)
Maryland
Massachusetts       21-9
(70%)
80-15
(84.2%)
62-24
(72.1%)
81-20
(80.2%)
99-12
(89.2%)
100-25
(80%)
68-23
(74.7%)
1-0
(100%)
   512-128
(80%)
Massachusetts
Michigan      1-0
(100%)
7-4
(63.6%)
21-10
(67.7%)
35-9
(79.5%)
52-3
(94.5%)
40-11
(78.4%)
32-8
(80%)
1-1
(50%)
1-0
(100%)
   190-46
(80.5%)
Michigan
Minnesota        1-0
(100%)
7-4
(63.6%)
23-4
(85.2%)
28-3
(90.3%)
10-3
(76.9%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
   71-14
(83.5%)
Minnesota
Mississippi                  0-0
(0%)
Mississippi
Missouri     0-1
(0%)
0-1
(0%)
2-2
(50%)
 2-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
      7-4
(63.6%)
Missouri
Montana                  0-0
(0%)
Montana
Nebraska                  0-0
(0%)
Nebraska
Nevada      2-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
3-0
(100%)
3-2
(60%)
3-1
(75%)
4-0
(100%)
      16-4
(80%)
Nevada
New Hampshire        3-1
(75%)
19-4
(82.6%)
20-1
(95.2%)
33-2
(94.3%)
26-9
(74.3%)
29-6
(82.9%)
1-0
(100%)
   131-23
(85.1%)
New Hampshire
New Jersey      0-1
(0%)
60-19
(75.9%)
130-23
(85%)
135-35
(79.4%)
126-22
(85.1%)
113-21
(84.3%)
90-10
(90%)
29-4
(87.9%)
4-0
(100%)
   687-135
(83.6%)
New Jersey
New Mexico                  0-0
(0%)
New Mexico
New York      6-6
(50%)
80-21
(79.2%)
155-42
(78.7%)
170-45
(79.1%)
199-47
(80.9%)
223-48
(82.3%)
198-36
(84.6%)
115-31
(78.8%)
21-2
(91.3%)
5-2
(71.4%)
1-2
(33.3%)
 1173-282
(80.6%)
New York
North Carolina  1-0
(100%)
7-0
(100%)
17-1
(94.4%)
9-3
(75%)
9-1
(90%)
20-2
(90.9%)
24-3
(88.9%)
21-1
(95.5%)
14-2
(87.5%)
0-2
(0%)
      122-15
(89.1%)
North Carolina
North Dakota                  0-0
(0%)
North Dakota
Ohio       9-6
(60%)
22-8
(73.3%)
30-8
(78.9%)
27-11
(71.1%)
38-4
(90.5%)
28-6
(82.4%)
9-0
(100%)
    163-43
(79.1%)
Ohio
Oklahoma                  0-0
(0%)
Oklahoma
Oregon    8-5
(61.5%)
0-1
(0%)
25-3
(89.3%)
32-4
(88.9%)
31-7
(81.6%)
31-5
(86.1%)
34-4
(89.5%)
32-5
(86.5%)
16-1
(94.1%)
 2-0
(100%)
   211-35
(85.8%)
Oregon
Pennsylvania     4-1
(80%)
27-8
(77.1%)
64-21
(75.3%)
76-24
(76%)
81-24
(77.1%)
75-14
(84.3%)
69-11
(86.3%)
32-6
(84.2%)
2-0
(100%)
    430-109
(79.8%)
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island        4-2
(66.7%)
14-3
(82.4%)
14-1
(93.3%)
17-3
(85%)
20-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
    70-10
(87.5%)
Rhode Island
South Carolina  0-1
(0%)
2-0
(100%)
4-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
5-1
(83.3%)
9-0
(100%)
6-2
(75%)
         27-5
(84.4%)
South Carolina
South Dakota                  0-0
(0%)
South Dakota
Tennessee        1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
        1-1
(50%)
Tennessee
Texas 3-2
(60%)
18-5
(78.3%)
14-2
(87.5%)
5-1
(83.3%)
27-6
(81.8%)
37-7
(84.1%)
31-8
(79.5%)
18-5
(78.3%)
2-0
(100%)
        155-36
(81.2%)
Texas
Utah    3-0
(100%)
4-4
(50%)
23-6
(79.3%)
20-4
(83.3%)
19-5
(79.2%)
26-7
(78.8%)
16-2
(88.9%)
       111-28
(79.9%)
Utah
Vermont        0-1
(0%)
0-2
(0%)
3-1
(75%)
11-0
(100%)
7-3
(70%)
8-2
(80%)
5-0
(100%)
   34-9
(79.1%)
Vermont
Virginia     4-0
(100%)
15-2
(88.2%)
22-7
(75.9%)
40-5
(88.9%)
29-2
(93.5%)
22-3
(88%)
16-0
(100%)
      148-19
(88.6%)
Virginia
Washington    6-1
(85.7%)
13-3
(81.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
10-2
(83.3%)
14-2
(87.5%)
14-5
(73.7%)
22-1
(95.7%)
4-1
(80%)
1-0
(100%)
     89-16
(84.8%)
Washington
West Virginia        1-0
(100%)
   1-0
(100%)
     2-0
(100%)
West Virginia
Wisconsin         1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
    5-0
(100%)
Wisconsin
Wyoming                  0-0
(0%)
Wyoming
Prep Schools       5-2
(71.4%)
22-11
(66.7%)
32-5
(86.5%)
32-8
(80%)
32-9
(78%)
36-8
(81.8%)
11-1
(91.7%)
    170-44
(79.4%)
Prep Schools
 
NATIONAL 6-4
(60%)
54-8
(87.1%)
77-11
(87.5%)
119-25
(82.6%)
133-35
(79.2%)
265-65
(80.3%)
553-142
(79.6%)
951-218
(81.4%)
1036-239
(81.3%)
1043-187
(84.8%)
959-165
(85.3%)
723-136
(84.2%)
328-79
(80.6%)
62-8
(88.6%)
35-6
(85.4%)
1-2
(33.3%)
 6345-1330
(82.7%)
NATIONAL


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  70.9%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school lacrosse, due to the large number of mismatched games.)