2006 PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN      2005 data


State9/19/89/159/229/2910/610/1310/2010/2711/311/1011/1711/2412/112/812/1512/22TOTALS
Alabama 0-1
(0%)
18-5
(78.3%)
163-44
(78.7%)
175-42
(80.6%)
171-45
(79.2%)
174-43
(80.2%)
180-34
(84.1%)
179-34
(84%)
155-43
(78.3%)
85-17
(83.3%)
32-19
(62.7%)
19-5
(79.2%)
8-4
(66.7%)
3-3
(50%)
  1362-339
(80.1%)
Alaska7-3
(70%)
12-1
(92.3%)
9-4
(69.2%)
9-4
(69.2%)
12-2
(85.7%)
6-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
         58-15
(79.5%)
Arizona  18-3
(85.7%)
68-11
(86.1%)
73-13
(84.9%)
70-16
(81.4%)
75-13
(85.2%)
75-12
(86.2%)
69-20
(77.5%)
61-11
(84.7%)
32-8
(80%)
16-4
(80%)
6-0
(100%)
5-1
(83.3%)
0-2
(0%)
  568-114
(83.3%)
Arkansas   62-19
(76.5%)
76-21
(78.4%)
83-17
(83%)
84-14
(85.7%)
82-16
(83.7%)
85-15
(85%)
78-18
(81.3%)
36-12
(75%)
25-7
(78.1%)
13-3
(81.3%)
5-2
(71.4%)
1-2
(33.3%)
  630-146
(81.2%)
California  1-2
(33.3%)
61-33
(64.9%)
349-114
(75.4%)
359-101
(78%)
393-90
(81.4%)
412-83
(83.2%)
401-79
(83.5%)
399-88
(81.9%)
359-89
(80.1%)
191-47
(80.3%)
96-38
(71.6%)
46-16
(74.2%)
21-3
(87.5%)
2-1
(66.7%)
 3090-784
(79.8%)
Colorado  1-0
(100%)
75-18
(80.6%)
76-22
(77.6%)
81-23
(77.9%)
87-17
(83.7%)
91-12
(88.3%)
83-18
(82.2%)
61-17
(78.2%)
28-4
(87.5%)
11-5
(68.8%)
6-1
(85.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
   602-138
(81.4%)
Connecticut     39-16
(70.9%)
53-12
(81.5%)
57-7
(89.1%)
50-10
(83.3%)
65-8
(89%)
58-8
(87.9%)
9-4
(69.2%)
42-17
(71.2%)
13-4
(76.5%)
   386-86
(81.8%)
Delaware    11-7
(61.1%)
15-2
(88.2%)
23-2
(92%)
18-4
(81.8%)
16-3
(84.2%)
17-4
(81%)
14-5
(73.7%)
3-1
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
1-1
(50%)
   121-30
(80.1%)
District of Columbia   5-0
(100%)
7-2
(77.8%)
8-4
(66.7%)
11-2
(84.6%)
14-2
(87.5%)
13-2
(86.7%)
11-3
(78.6%)
8-1
(88.9%)
3-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
    80-17
(82.5%)
Florida  85-19
(81.7%)
136-49
(73.5%)
198-42
(82.5%)
161-40
(80.1%)
189-44
(81.1%)
177-48
(78.7%)
196-42
(82.4%)
167-46
(78.4%)
76-20
(79.2%)
34-14
(70.8%)
21-3
(87.5%)
10-2
(83.3%)
2-2
(50%)
  1452-371
(79.6%)
Georgia  2-0
(100%)
76-24
(76%)
161-35
(82.1%)
143-29
(83.1%)
168-26
(86.6%)
167-28
(85.6%)
162-31
(83.9%)
166-29
(85.1%)
144-25
(85.2%)
73-17
(81.1%)
32-14
(69.6%)
15-8
(65.2%)
7-3
(70%)
3-0
(100%)
 1319-269
(83.1%)
Hawaii 4-2
(66.7%)
11-5
(68.8%)
15-6
(71.4%)
17-1
(94.4%)
18-3
(85.7%)
18-3
(85.7%)
12-2
(85.7%)
15-3
(83.3%)
8-2
(80%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-2
(50%)
3-1
(75%)
0-2
(0%)
   128-33
(79.5%)
Idaho  7-0
(100%)
32-10
(76.2%)
36-5
(87.8%)
34-7
(82.9%)
37-6
(86%)
38-5
(88.4%)
28-4
(87.5%)
13-3
(81.3%)
6-2
(75%)
3-1
(75%)
     234-43
(84.5%)
Illinois  208-54
(79.4%)
182-56
(76.5%)
219-54
(80.2%)
231-36
(86.5%)
225-45
(83.3%)
223-41
(84.5%)
102-27
(79.1%)
56-16
(77.8%)
28-9
(75.7%)
14-5
(73.7%)
7-2
(77.8%)
    1495-345
(81.3%)
Indiana 118-36
(76.6%)
127-31
(80.4%)
101-24
(80.8%)
136-26
(84%)
134-26
(83.8%)
132-28
(82.5%)
125-30
(80.6%)
63-18
(77.8%)
32-9
(78%)
17-4
(81%)
8-2
(80%)
4-1
(80%)
    997-235
(80.9%)
Iowa  1-0
(100%)
116-34
(77.3%)
132-22
(85.7%)
127-25
(83.6%)
129-25
(83.8%)
132-20
(86.8%)
133-20
(86.9%)
29-10
(74.4%)
16-10
(61.5%)
7-2
(77.8%)
     822-168
(83%)
Kansas   96-23
(80.7%)
104-17
(86%)
100-19
(84%)
103-16
(86.6%)
102-18
(85%)
101-17
(85.6%)
67-17
(79.8%)
16-3
(84.2%)
9-1
(90%)
5-0
(100%)
    703-131
(84.3%)
Kentucky 31-11
(73.8%)
73-22
(76.8%)
69-10
(87.3%)
89-23
(79.5%)
83-16
(83.8%)
90-10
(90%)
89-13
(87.3%)
87-17
(83.7%)
56-8
(87.5%)
22-10
(68.8%)
13-3
(81.3%)
7-1
(87.5%)
3-1
(75%)
   712-145
(83.1%)
Louisiana   89-31
(74.2%)
107-26
(80.5%)
111-25
(81.6%)
112-21
(84.2%)
115-20
(85.2%)
116-19
(85.9%)
112-23
(83%)
66-14
(82.5%)
33-7
(82.5%)
16-4
(80%)
8-2
(80%)
5-0
(100%)
  890-192
(82.3%)
Maine   24-6
(80%)
23-9
(71.9%)
28-5
(84.8%)
29-4
(87.9%)
29-2
(93.5%)
23-3
(88.5%)
13-2
(86.7%)
5-1
(83.3%)
2-1
(66.7%)
1-0
(100%)
    177-33
(84.3%)
Maryland   6-1
(85.7%)
76-18
(80.9%)
65-12
(84.4%)
108-20
(84.4%)
87-19
(82.1%)
81-13
(86.2%)
96-15
(86.5%)
78-18
(81.3%)
23-9
(71.9%)
12-5
(70.6%)
6-2
(75%)
2-2
(50%)
  640-134
(82.7%)
Massachusetts    79-22
(78.2%)
109-27
(80.1%)
113-27
(80.7%)
107-29
(78.7%)
100-32
(75.8%)
123-27
(82%)
118-24
(83.1%)
8-3
(72.7%)
102-26
(79.7%)
25-4
(86.2%)
   884-221
(80%)
Michigan  234-62
(79.1%)
223-44
(83.5%)
250-60
(80.6%)
249-58
(81.1%)
236-54
(81.4%)
222-57
(79.6%)
105-22
(82.7%)
40-24
(62.5%)
20-12
(62.5%)
12-4
(75%)
8-0
(100%)
    1599-397
(80.1%)
Minnesota   109-36
(75.2%)
125-29
(81.2%)
119-37
(76.3%)
124-34
(78.5%)
124-21
(85.5%)
167-49
(77.3%)
27-13
(67.5%)
14-6
(70%)
8-2
(80%)
5-0
(100%)
    822-227
(78.4%)
Mississippi  100-32
(75.8%)
113-30
(79%)
122-21
(85.3%)
125-23
(84.5%)
112-22
(83.6%)
127-20
(86.4%)
122-24
(83.6%)
90-24
(78.9%)
47-13
(78.3%)
22-8
(73.3%)
9-5
(64.3%)
3-3
(50%)
   992-225
(81.5%)
Missouri   107-33
(76.4%)
127-29
(81.4%)
133-22
(85.8%)
125-28
(81.7%)
135-25
(84.4%)
132-27
(83%)
132-30
(81.5%)
30-10
(75%)
21-7
(75%)
5-1
(83.3%)
    947-212
(81.7%)
Montana  6-2
(75%)
24-2
(92.3%)
33-4
(89.2%)
32-7
(82.1%)
35-2
(94.6%)
32-6
(84.2%)
14-4
(77.8%)
11-1
(91.7%)
3-3
(50%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     192-32
(85.7%)
Nebraska  2-1
(66.7%)
61-13
(82.4%)
57-18
(76%)
62-13
(82.7%)
60-13
(82.2%)
63-11
(85.1%)
46-10
(82.1%)
23-4
(85.2%)
13-7
(65%)
2-2
(50%)
     389-92
(80.9%)
Nevada  5-4
(55.6%)
23-6
(79.3%)
22-11
(66.7%)
29-5
(85.3%)
31-3
(91.2%)
25-8
(75.8%)
22-10
(68.8%)
17-5
(77.3%)
4-8
(33.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
1-1
(50%)
1-0
(100%)
   184-63
(74.5%)
New Hampshire   15-3
(83.3%)
22-3
(88%)
19-6
(76%)
21-5
(80.8%)
17-8
(68%)
19-5
(79.2%)
12-8
(60%)
6-2
(75%)
3-0
(100%)
3-0
(100%)
    137-40
(77.4%)
New Jersey    67-22
(75.3%)
129-26
(83.2%)
125-36
(77.6%)
123-31
(79.9%)
124-29
(81%)
136-26
(84%)
123-36
(77.4%)
36-11
(76.6%)
84-27
(75.7%)
12-7
(63.2%)
   959-251
(79.3%)
New Mexico  17-2
(89.5%)
34-4
(89.5%)
32-9
(78%)
32-6
(84.2%)
32-6
(84.2%)
36-6
(85.7%)
36-3
(92.3%)
27-8
(77.1%)
9-5
(64.3%)
12-3
(80%)
5-4
(55.6%)
4-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
  277-56
(83.2%)
New York   131-47
(73.6%)
193-56
(77.5%)
253-60
(80.8%)
229-56
(80.4%)
204-59
(77.6%)
213-70
(75.3%)
118-29
(80.3%)
49-18
(73.1%)
23-12
(65.7%)
10-7
(58.8%)
1-0
(100%)
   1424-414
(77.5%)
North Carolina 55-8
(87.3%)
116-24
(82.9%)
132-29
(82%)
117-28
(80.7%)
117-36
(76.5%)
141-39
(78.3%)
143-22
(86.7%)
78-16
(83%)
197-45
(81.4%)
110-19
(85.3%)
41-24
(63.1%)
24-8
(75%)
13-3
(81.3%)
7-1
(87.5%)
  1291-302
(81%)
North Dakota  13-5
(72.2%)
26-5
(83.9%)
25-6
(80.6%)
19-10
(65.5%)
25-5
(83.3%)
19-3
(86.4%)
12-2
(85.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
1-2
(33.3%)
      144-40
(78.3%)
Ohio  285-65
(81.4%)
283-65
(81.3%)
297-63
(82.5%)
304-58
(84%)
291-71
(80.4%)
297-64
(82.3%)
286-72
(79.9%)
80-17
(82.5%)
34-14
(70.8%)
17-7
(70.8%)
10-2
(83.3%)
5-1
(83.3%)
   2189-499
(81.4%)
Oklahoma   93-28
(76.9%)
110-19
(85.3%)
111-18
(86%)
101-27
(78.9%)
111-18
(86%)
103-26
(79.8%)
108-22
(83.1%)
53-10
(84.1%)
23-9
(71.9%)
11-5
(68.8%)
 8-1
(88.9%)
1-0
(100%)
 833-183
(82%)
Oregon   22-5
(81.5%)
68-20
(77.3%)
78-15
(83.9%)
84-12
(87.5%)
88-8
(91.7%)
81-14
(85.3%)
81-14
(85.3%)
23-13
(63.9%)
23-9
(71.9%)
13-3
(81.3%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-1
(66.7%)
  568-117
(82.9%)
Pennsylvania   199-58
(77.4%)
234-55
(81%)
233-64
(78.5%)
245-55
(81.7%)
250-49
(83.6%)
244-54
(81.9%)
201-42
(82.7%)
110-28
(79.7%)
46-16
(74.2%)
37-16
(69.8%)
12-5
(70.6%)
5-3
(62.5%)
2-2
(50%)
 1818-447
(80.3%)
Rhode Island    14-3
(82.4%)
14-7
(66.7%)
11-5
(68.8%)
15-5
(75%)
15-3
(83.3%)
20-2
(90.9%)
14-2
(87.5%)
1-0
(100%)
14-7
(66.7%)
7-5
(58.3%)
   125-39
(76.2%)
South Carolina 1-0
(100%)
79-17
(82.3%)
78-17
(82.1%)
75-31
(70.8%)
88-21
(80.7%)
94-14
(87%)
88-20
(81.5%)
85-13
(86.7%)
77-14
(84.6%)
35-11
(76.1%)
13-10
(56.5%)
8-2
(80%)
4-0
(100%)
   725-170
(81%)
South Dakota  8-0
(100%)
25-4
(86.2%)
27-5
(84.4%)
24-8
(75%)
30-3
(90.9%)
27-3
(90%)
15-8
(65.2%)
14-4
(77.8%)
2-1
(66.7%)
      172-36
(82.7%)
Tennessee 16-6
(72.7%)
117-31
(79.1%)
114-23
(83.2%)
122-35
(77.7%)
123-22
(84.8%)
122-27
(81.9%)
124-28
(81.6%)
132-24
(84.6%)
65-18
(78.3%)
34-11
(75.6%)
20-3
(87%)
9-1
(90%)
4-1
(80%)
   1002-230
(81.3%)
Texas   145-60
(70.7%)
368-129
(74%)
325-80
(80.2%)
417-97
(81.1%)
407-94
(81.2%)
399-116
(77.5%)
420-89
(82.5%)
410-85
(82.8%)
207-46
(81.8%)
100-40
(71.4%)
53-17
(75.7%)
24-10
(70.6%)
12-4
(75%)
4-2
(66.7%)
3291-869
(79.1%)
Utah 21-9
(70%)
30-9
(76.9%)
37-7
(84.1%)
41-5
(89.1%)
35-11
(76.1%)
33-9
(78.6%)
30-7
(81.1%)
28-4
(87.5%)
10-6
(62.5%)
7-1
(87.5%)
2-1
(66.7%)
     274-69
(79.9%)
Vermont   6-3
(66.7%)
9-6
(60%)
12-4
(75%)
13-2
(86.7%)
11-4
(73.3%)
13-2
(86.7%)
6-1
(85.7%)
3-1
(75%)
      73-23
(76%)
Virginia  3-1
(75%)
30-7
(81.1%)
113-28
(80.1%)
75-14
(84.3%)
172-56
(75.4%)
140-27
(83.8%)
104-21
(83.2%)
166-39
(81%)
114-24
(82.6%)
41-10
(80.4%)
15-9
(62.5%)
7-5
(58.3%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  984-243
(80.2%)
Washington   101-22
(82.1%)
116-24
(82.9%)
128-12
(91.4%)
106-35
(75.2%)
130-12
(91.5%)
116-14
(89.2%)
52-17
(75.4%)
31-13
(70.5%)
16-4
(80%)
6-4
(60%)
2-3
(40%)
   804-160
(83.4%)
West Virginia  32-8
(80%)
39-10
(79.6%)
46-12
(79.3%)
48-9
(84.2%)
42-16
(72.4%)
42-15
(73.7%)
44-12
(78.6%)
41-9
(82%)
22-3
(88%)
9-4
(69.2%)
6-1
(85.7%)
3-1
(75%)
0-1
(0%)
  374-101
(78.7%)
Wisconsin  155-51
(75.2%)
171-46
(78.8%)
161-54
(74.9%)
179-35
(83.6%)
172-45
(79.3%)
180-36
(83.3%)
129-43
(75%)
18-11
(62.1%)
10-5
(66.7%)
5-2
(71.4%)
     1180-328
(78.2%)
Wyoming  0-1
(0%)
18-7
(72%)
21-7
(75%)
21-8
(72.4%)
26-3
(89.7%)
25-3
(89.3%)
12-8
(60%)
7-3
(70%)
3-2
(60%)
      133-42
(76%)
Prep Schools  0-1
(0%)
1-0
(100%)
2-3
(40%)
9-3
(75%)
28-9
(75.7%)
32-12
(72.7%)
36-1
(97.3%)
34-12
(73.9%)
35-2
(94.6%)
3-1
(75%)
     180-44
(80.4%)
 
NATIONAL7-3
(70%)
256-73
(77.8%)
1739-453
(79.3%)
3705-1009
(78.6%)
5120-1300
(79.8%)
5248-1185
(81.6%)
5596-1246
(81.8%)
5562-1119
(83.3%)
5001-1126
(81.6%)
3996-933
(81.1%)
2580-650
(79.9%)
1130-352
(76.2%)
774-266
(74.4%)
282-104
(73.1%)
92-35
(72.4%)
20-7
(74.1%)
4-2
(66.7%)
41112-9863
(80.7%)


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  70.2%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school football, due to the large number of mismatched games.)