PROJECTION ACCURACY BREAKDOWN


State9/49/119/189/2510/210/910/1610/2310/3011/611/1311/2011/2712/412/1112/1812/251/11/81/151/221/292/52/122/192/263/53/123/193/264/24/94/164/234/305/75/14TOTALSState
Alabama            9-2
(81.8%)
13-4
(76.5%)
26-11
(70.3%)
20-4
(83.3%)
8-4
(66.7%)
68-13
(84%)
94-23
(80.3%)
112-10
(91.8%)
123-22
(84.8%)
95-30
(76%)
25-5
(83.3%)
6-0
(100%)
3-6
(33.3%)
2-1
(66.7%)
           604-135
(81.7%)
Alabama
Alaska                 2-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
11-2
(84.6%)
14-7
(66.7%)
13-1
(92.9%)
16-4
(80%)
19-5
(79.2%)
22-3
(88%)
18-2
(90%)
3-2
(60%)
 1-0
(100%)
        121-26
(82.3%)
Alaska
Arizona            16-2
(88.9%)
66-15
(81.5%)
115-24
(82.7%)
47-9
(83.9%)
23-3
(88.5%)
80-7
(92%)
205-25
(89.1%)
193-40
(82.8%)
212-40
(84.1%)
173-38
(82%)
55-14
(79.7%)
6-3
(66.7%)
3-0
(100%)
 1-0
(100%)
          1195-220
(84.5%)
Arizona
Arkansas         1-0
(100%)
3-1
(75%)
5-5
(50%)
13-2
(86.7%)
11-6
(64.7%)
71-11
(86.6%)
20-6
(76.9%)
6-1
(85.7%)
79-14
(84.9%)
116-25
(82.3%)
145-27
(84.3%)
146-24
(85.9%)
106-25
(80.9%)
126-19
(86.9%)
61-11
(84.7%)
27-7
(79.4%)
 1-1
(50%)
          937-185
(83.5%)
Arkansas
California             94-31
(75.2%)
290-72
(80.1%)
320-68
(82.5%)
351-69
(83.6%)
589-125
(82.5%)
985-181
(84.5%)
994-162
(86%)
976-189
(83.8%)
1021-161
(86.4%)
969-134
(87.9%)
609-96
(86.4%)
320-68
(82.5%)
93-21
(81.6%)
63-10
(86.3%)
9-1
(90%)
3-2
(60%)
        7686-1390
(84.7%)
California
Colorado             6-1
(85.7%)
61-23
(72.6%)
39-12
(76.5%)
 84-18
(82.4%)
219-45
(83%)
231-50
(82.2%)
251-47
(84.2%)
272-33
(89.2%)
256-44
(85.3%)
192-39
(83.1%)
9-3
(75%)
13-3
(81.3%)
5-0
(100%)
          1638-318
(83.7%)
Colorado
Connecticut              4-2
(66.7%)
55-7
(88.7%)
41-15
(73.2%)
86-18
(82.7%)
114-23
(83.2%)
112-24
(82.4%)
131-20
(86.8%)
129-32
(80.1%)
141-19
(88.1%)
101-12
(89.4%)
1-3
(25%)
1-1
(50%)
2-0
(100%)
          918-176
(83.9%)
Connecticut
Delaware               8-3
(72.7%)
3-0
(100%)
16-4
(80%)
24-6
(80%)
24-3
(88.9%)
34-3
(91.9%)
31-3
(91.2%)
31-3
(91.2%)
24-4
(85.7%)
0-1
(0%)
            195-30
(86.7%)
Delaware
District of Columbia             2-2
(50%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
17-4
(81%)
21-3
(87.5%)
31-2
(93.9%)
30-6
(83.3%)
27-1
(96.4%)
27-2
(93.1%)
5-1
(83.3%)
8-1
(88.9%)
            170-23
(88.1%)
District of Columbia
Florida           6-3
(66.7%)
111-22
(83.5%)
151-31
(83%)
149-23
(86.6%)
61-19
(76.3%)
27-7
(79.4%)
148-22
(87.1%)
323-58
(84.8%)
338-50
(87.1%)
245-40
(86%)
17-2
(89.5%)
7-2
(77.8%)
13-3
(81.3%)
2-1
(66.7%)
            1598-283
(85%)
Florida
Georgia              10-3
(76.9%)
13-0
(100%)
13-1
(92.9%)
111-20
(84.7%)
152-37
(80.4%)
178-45
(79.8%)
156-39
(80%)
187-32
(85.4%)
159-36
(81.5%)
3-1
(75%)
5-0
(100%)
4-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
          993-214
(82.3%)
Georgia
Hawaii                             3-0
(100%)
  15-2
(88.2%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  30-8
(78.9%)
Hawaii
Idaho          2-0
(100%)
6-7
(46.2%)
56-13
(81.2%)
45-9
(83.3%)
74-18
(80.4%)
48-10
(82.8%)
9-4
(69.2%)
84-12
(87.5%)
81-13
(86.2%)
84-13
(86.6%)
64-22
(74.4%)
16-1
(94.1%)
 0-1
(0%)
             569-123
(82.2%)
Idaho
Illinois           4-2
(66.7%)
82-19
(81.2%)
105-30
(77.8%)
136-43
(76%)
82-22
(78.8%)
7-2
(77.8%)
124-26
(82.7%)
182-43
(80.9%)
170-29
(85.4%)
219-40
(84.6%)
202-34
(85.6%)
83-15
(84.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
             1398-306
(82%)
Illinois
Indiana          21-6
(77.8%)
90-37
(70.9%)
248-58
(81%)
197-39
(83.5%)
238-56
(81%)
83-21
(79.8%)
26-4
(86.7%)
203-40
(83.5%)
265-49
(84.4%)
286-39
(88%)
288-63
(82.1%)
229-40
(85.1%)
2-1
(66.7%)
0-1
(0%)
             2176-454
(82.7%)
Indiana
Iowa            8-3
(72.7%)
42-12
(77.8%)
205-61
(77.1%)
151-49
(75.5%)
 167-43
(79.5%)
256-50
(83.7%)
247-60
(80.5%)
264-48
(84.6%)
265-49
(84.4%)
226-46
(83.1%)
5-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
 0-1
(0%)
          1837-422
(81.3%)
Iowa
Kansas             1-0
(100%)
29-19
(60.4%)
38-4
(90.5%)
 66-11
(85.7%)
81-18
(81.8%)
38-13
(74.5%)
51-13
(79.7%)
116-24
(82.9%)
150-22
(87.2%)
108-23
(82.4%)
94-12
(88.7%)
9-0
(100%)
           781-159
(83.1%)
Kansas
Kentucky             20-3
(87%)
107-33
(76.4%)
52-11
(82.5%)
20-5
(80%)
137-38
(78.3%)
211-40
(84.1%)
136-31
(81.4%)
155-26
(85.6%)
155-31
(83.3%)
170-29
(85.4%)
183-29
(86.3%)
179-31
(85.2%)
2-1
(66.7%)
1-0
(100%)
          1528-308
(83.2%)
Kentucky
Louisiana        6-5
(54.5%)
18-4
(81.8%)
9-3
(75%)
16-3
(84.2%)
63-9
(87.5%)
27-6
(81.8%)
106-20
(84.1%)
98-15
(86.7%)
23-6
(79.3%)
114-24
(82.6%)
167-32
(83.9%)
165-28
(85.5%)
170-33
(83.7%)
167-24
(87.4%)
163-21
(88.6%)
2-0
(100%)
 1-0
(100%)
           1315-233
(84.9%)
Louisiana
Maine              1-1
(50%)
20-8
(71.4%)
4-4
(50%)
46-11
(80.7%)
59-8
(88.1%)
30-3
(90.9%)
54-11
(83.1%)
66-16
(80.5%)
64-10
(86.5%)
              344-72
(82.7%)
Maine
Maryland             1-2
(33.3%)
9-2
(81.8%)
39-8
(83%)
4-0
(100%)
111-26
(81%)
132-21
(86.3%)
117-20
(85.4%)
138-40
(77.5%)
137-31
(81.5%)
140-16
(89.7%)
44-7
(86.3%)
27-8
(77.1%)
2-0
(100%)
           901-181
(83.3%)
Maryland
Massachusetts               11-5
(68.8%)
50-17
(74.6%)
140-27
(83.8%)
207-38
(84.5%)
190-37
(83.7%)
218-49
(81.6%)
219-45
(83%)
215-41
(84%)
184-42
(81.4%)
39-16
(70.9%)
3-1
(75%)
6-1
(85.7%)
2-0
(100%)
         1484-319
(82.3%)
Massachusetts
Michigan9-1
(90%)
119-38
(75.8%)
202-62
(76.5%)
283-81
(77.7%)
284-81
(77.8%)
302-61
(83.2%)
329-70
(82.5%)
317-66
(82.8%)
292-56
(83.9%)
267-53
(83.4%)
13-0
(100%)
   1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
  1-1
(50%)
  1-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
              2420-572
(80.9%)
Michigan
Minnesota            2-0
(100%)
23-6
(79.3%)
147-53
(73.5%)
144-40
(78.3%)
66-13
(83.5%)
186-29
(86.5%)
261-65
(80.1%)
259-50
(83.8%)
256-55
(82.3%)
262-43
(85.9%)
256-55
(82.3%)
250-41
(85.9%)
199-38
(84%)
37-4
(90.2%)
26-7
(78.8%)
9-2
(81.8%)
         2383-501
(82.6%)
Minnesota
Mississippi         1-1
(50%)
16-5
(76.2%)
11-3
(78.6%)
34-11
(75.6%)
50-7
(87.7%)
90-19
(82.6%)
38-6
(86.4%)
9-2
(81.8%)
52-17
(75.4%)
117-20
(85.4%)
116-24
(82.9%)
135-17
(88.8%)
121-26
(82.3%)
105-15
(87.5%)
   1-0
(100%)
          896-173
(83.8%)
Mississippi
Missouri            1-1
(50%)
15-6
(71.4%)
73-29
(71.6%)
71-27
(72.4%)
46-12
(79.3%)
137-40
(77.4%)
206-26
(88.8%)
157-29
(84.4%)
184-34
(84.4%)
258-46
(84.9%)
291-53
(84.6%)
252-41
(86%)
193-42
(82.1%)
39-5
(88.6%)
14-3
(82.4%)
1-5
(16.7%)
         1938-399
(82.9%)
Missouri
Montana              13-1
(92.9%)
44-14
(75.9%)
 74-20
(78.7%)
92-15
(86%)
84-12
(87.5%)
83-19
(81.4%)
86-19
(81.9%)
54-11
(83.1%)
11-3
(78.6%)
8-0
(100%)
            549-114
(82.8%)
Montana
Nebraska             19-9
(67.9%)
153-45
(77.3%)
44-12
(78.6%)
7-1
(87.5%)
177-38
(82.3%)
233-29
(88.9%)
195-48
(80.2%)
157-38
(80.5%)
119-23
(83.8%)
224-48
(82.4%)
29-6
(82.9%)
             1357-297
(82%)
Nebraska
Nevada            1-1
(50%)
3-1
(75%)
33-8
(80.5%)
26-7
(78.8%)
10-5
(66.7%)
69-11
(86.3%)
79-15
(84%)
60-6
(90.9%)
99-11
(90%)
95-8
(92.2%)
70-9
(88.6%)
1-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
            547-82
(87%)
Nevada
New Hampshire             1-1
(50%)
22-7
(75.9%)
38-10
(79.2%)
1-1
(50%)
51-12
(81%)
66-18
(78.6%)
58-11
(84.1%)
70-10
(87.5%)
71-12
(85.5%)
70-11
(86.4%)
48-7
(87.3%)
17-3
(85%)
            513-103
(83.3%)
New Hampshire
New Jersey               10-5
(66.7%)
18-7
(72%)
219-51
(81.1%)
297-78
(79.2%)
311-66
(82.5%)
319-60
(84.2%)
310-65
(82.7%)
276-46
(85.7%)
154-33
(82.4%)
127-27
(82.5%)
11-4
(73.3%)
1-1
(50%)
          2053-443
(82.3%)
New Jersey
New Mexico            3-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
4-1
(80%)
1-0
(100%)
6-1
(85.7%)
2-1
(66.7%)
6-1
(85.7%)
5-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
2-0
(100%)
82-11
(88.2%)
1-0
(100%)
            117-17
(87.3%)
New Mexico
New York             25-3
(89.3%)
168-52
(76.4%)
284-61
(82.3%)
50-13
(79.4%)
318-47
(87.1%)
492-101
(83%)
430-93
(82.2%)
199-42
(82.6%)
500-73
(87.3%)
429-77
(84.8%)
82-21
(79.6%)
26-6
(81.3%)
11-4
(73.3%)
2-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
         3017-594
(83.6%)
New York
North Carolina           0-1
(0%)
9-2
(81.8%)
30-8
(78.9%)
79-13
(85.9%)
75-11
(87.2%)
18-4
(81.8%)
150-25
(85.7%)
170-39
(81.3%)
135-35
(79.4%)
180-40
(81.8%)
182-35
(83.9%)
168-41
(80.4%)
11-1
(91.7%)
7-1
(87.5%)
2-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
          1216-258
(82.5%)
North Carolina
North Dakota             6-1
(85.7%)
29-7
(80.6%)
37-9
(80.4%)
10-1
(90.9%)
55-11
(83.3%)
75-17
(81.5%)
57-15
(79.2%)
90-20
(81.8%)
73-14
(83.9%)
25-3
(89.3%)
6-0
(100%)
5-2
(71.4%)
            468-100
(82.4%)
North Dakota
Ohio             36-5
(87.8%)
164-42
(79.6%)
223-56
(79.9%)
142-28
(83.5%)
266-62
(81.1%)
331-65
(83.6%)
330-69
(82.7%)
409-51
(88.9%)
332-94
(77.9%)
278-45
(86.1%)
63-10
(86.3%)
7-0
(100%)
5-0
(100%)
0-2
(0%)
          2586-529
(83%)
Ohio
Oklahoma              48-7
(87.3%)
24-4
(85.7%)
 48-18
(72.7%)
42-8
(84%)
20-7
(74.1%)
37-7
(84.1%)
90-17
(84.1%)
86-12
(87.8%)
60-6
(90.9%)
3-2
(60%)
4-0
(100%)
1-0
(100%)
          463-88
(84%)
Oklahoma
Oregon             4-0
(100%)
58-20
(74.4%)
94-18
(83.9%)
34-13
(72.3%)
178-34
(84%)
196-52
(79%)
152-25
(85.9%)
220-28
(88.7%)
226-30
(88.3%)
201-46
(81.4%)
101-20
(83.5%)
71-3
(95.9%)
            1535-289
(84.2%)
Oregon
Pennsylvania             16-3
(84.2%)
169-50
(77.2%)
307-68
(81.9%)
45-15
(75%)
344-80
(81.1%)
467-90
(83.8%)
430-77
(84.8%)
427-95
(81.8%)
433-83
(83.9%)
364-67
(84.5%)
108-24
(81.8%)
19-4
(82.6%)
7-5
(58.3%)
6-2
(75%)
3-2
(60%)
1-2
(33.3%)
        3146-667
(82.5%)
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island              1-0
(100%)
25-5
(83.3%)
2-0
(100%)
26-9
(74.3%)
35-4
(89.7%)
30-4
(88.2%)
28-6
(82.4%)
34-7
(82.9%)
32-8
(80%)
35-4
(89.7%)
33-5
(86.8%)
5-1
(83.3%)
           286-53
(84.4%)
Rhode Island
South Carolina             10-2
(83.3%)
28-15
(65.1%)
20-3
(87%)
4-1
(80%)
49-6
(89.1%)
65-16
(80.2%)
73-22
(76.8%)
81-17
(82.7%)
87-18
(82.9%)
77-17
(81.9%)
5-0
(100%)
0-1
(0%)
1-0
(100%)
           500-118
(80.9%)
South Carolina
South Dakota              13-6
(68.4%)
47-23
(67.1%)
23-9
(71.9%)
84-25
(77.1%)
94-24
(79.7%)
100-24
(80.6%)
109-23
(82.6%)
125-29
(81.2%)
125-22
(85%)
95-17
(84.8%)
6-2
(75%)
            821-204
(80.1%)
South Dakota
Tennessee           3-0
(100%)
104-26
(80%)
123-24
(83.7%)
211-42
(83.4%)
96-20
(82.8%)
8-1
(88.9%)
204-33
(86.1%)
302-63
(82.7%)
311-60
(83.8%)
311-54
(85.2%)
282-37
(88.4%)
287-40
(87.8%)
67-13
(83.8%)
             2309-413
(84.8%)
Tennessee
Texas          2-0
(100%)
17-6
(73.9%)
82-21
(79.6%)
53-12
(81.5%)
221-60
(78.6%)
131-26
(83.4%)
28-4
(87.5%)
274-61
(81.8%)
332-41
(89%)
275-53
(83.8%)
325-71
(82.1%)
333-56
(85.6%)
170-26
(86.7%)
8-2
(80%)
3-1
(75%)
2-0
(100%)
           2256-440
(83.7%)
Texas
Utah            0-1
(0%)
20-4
(83.3%)
73-19
(79.3%)
49-17
(74.2%)
18-6
(75%)
52-8
(86.7%)
65-17
(79.3%)
70-14
(83.3%)
70-13
(84.3%)
72-11
(86.7%)
53-21
(71.6%)
17-1
(94.4%)
             559-132
(80.9%)
Utah
Vermont              4-3
(57.1%)
5-5
(50%)
13-1
(92.9%)
23-6
(79.3%)
24-4
(85.7%)
21-3
(87.5%)
26-8
(76.5%)
25-8
(75.8%)
26-8
(76.5%)
12-3
(80%)
1-1
(50%)
            180-50
(78.3%)
Vermont
Virginia             6-0
(100%)
46-17
(73%)
54-15
(78.3%)
26-6
(81.3%)
164-28
(85.4%)
175-39
(81.8%)
172-49
(77.8%)
141-37
(79.2%)
174-31
(84.9%)
147-30
(83.1%)
17-0
(100%)
7-1
(87.5%)
            1129-253
(81.7%)
Virginia
Washington             1-0
(100%)
5-0
(100%)
37-12
(75.5%)
44-14
(75.9%)
89-26
(77.4%)
137-25
(84.6%)
167-31
(84.3%)
197-39
(83.5%)
188-34
(84.7%)
157-41
(79.3%)
66-11
(85.7%)
5-0
(100%)
            1093-233
(82.4%)
Washington
West Virginia              4-1
(80%)
34-10
(77.3%)
12-2
(85.7%)
81-18
(81.8%)
100-14
(87.7%)
95-36
(72.5%)
83-28
(74.8%)
94-22
(81%)
62-7
(89.9%)
67-10
(87%)
6-0
(100%)
1-1
(50%)
           639-149
(81.1%)
West Virginia
Wisconsin            18-13
(58.1%)
112-17
(86.8%)
278-63
(81.5%)
186-51
(78.5%)
38-10
(79.2%)
227-57
(79.9%)
325-73
(81.7%)
296-66
(81.8%)
309-60
(83.7%)
338-70
(82.8%)
277-50
(84.7%)
259-59
(81.4%)
8-2
(80%)
1-0
(100%)
           2672-591
(81.9%)
Wisconsin
Wyoming             1-5
(16.7%)
29-5
(85.3%)
15-6
(71.4%)
0-1
(0%)
42-12
(77.8%)
37-7
(84.1%)
55-9
(85.9%)
47-11
(81%)
41-13
(75.9%)
47-12
(79.7%)
33-15
(68.8%)
14-6
(70%)
            361-102
(78%)
Wyoming
Prep Schools              6-0
(100%)
2-2
(50%)
0-1
(0%)
35-15
(70%)
82-18
(82%)
76-11
(87.4%)
74-21
(77.9%)
90-21
(81.1%)
91-17
(84.3%)
47-11
(81%)
44-10
(81.5%)
2-0
(100%)
           549-127
(81.2%)
Prep Schools
 
NATIONAL9-1
(90%)
119-38
(75.8%)
202-62
(76.5%)
283-81
(77.7%)
284-81
(77.8%)
302-61
(83.2%)
329-70
(82.5%)
317-66
(82.8%)
298-61
(83%)
287-58
(83.2%)
66-15
(81.5%)
158-66
(70.5%)
854-206
(80.6%)
1317-298
(81.5%)
3746-985
(79.2%)
3296-799
(80.5%)
1212-291
(80.6%)
6038-1269
(82.6%)
8663-1692
(83.7%)
8266-1611
(83.7%)
8480-1663
(83.6%)
8557-1579
(84.4%)
7381-1305
(85%)
3514-642
(84.6%)
1532-316
(82.9%)
276-54
(83.6%)
135-32
(80.8%)
25-11
(69.4%)
5-4
(55.6%)
3-0
(100%)
  15-2
(88.2%)
8-4
(66.7%)
4-2
(66.7%)
  65981-13425
(83.1%)
NATIONAL


Note: By comparison, blindly picking the team with the better record (and the home team in case of equal records), would have yielded the following percentage for the season:  73.4%
(In other words, anything up around 75-80% is pretty good, but it's important to understand that it's easy to pick 70% in regular-season high school basketball, due to the large number of mismatched games.)